Southern California EV Juice
Yuck. Southern California Edison rates are messy and make no sense.
I finally completed the version 1.0 spreadsheet for all you Southern California Edison customers. Want to know how much it might cost you to drive an EV? Want to know what difference solar panels will make for you? Want to optimize the size of your solar array? Download my Southern California Edison spreadsheet here.
So how much does it cost to charge an EV in SCE’s territory? Once again, the answer is “it depends.” For me, and without solar, it seems to cost about 5.5 cents per mile. With our solar array, it is free – even with the car, we are a net generator. With other usage profiles, the numbers vary quite a bit – strangely, if we used a lot more electricity at home, then the EV costs less per mile to drive. Play around with the spreadsheet and you will see.
Those of us living with this utility company have 3 main choices for our electric rate schedules – the normal “Schedule D” rate is a 5-tiered rate that is similar to PG&E’s “E-1″ rate.
SCE offers two “time of use” (TOU) rate schedules, cleverly named “Schedule TOU-D-1” and “Schedule TOU-D-2.” These are weirdly different from each other – it is hard to see which one is the better choice without actually plugging in your usage numbers. Weirdly, once you switch over to a TOU rate, the whole tier thing goes away – you pay the same for the first off-peak kWh as you pay for the thousandth off-peak kWh. Same for on-peak.
SCE also offers a special TOU rate for charging an EV. They used same clever naming convention – it’s called “Schedule TOU-EV-1.” This rate may only be used to charge an EV – you must install a separate meter just for your EV if you want to use this rate. As far as I can tell reading all the regulations, you are not obliged to choose any particular rate schedule just because you are charging an EV at home. (This is different than PG&E.)
If you have solar panels, then you have (or should have) a Net Energy Metering (NEM) account. This is simply attached to one of the other rate schedules – you can have an NEM D schedule, an NEM TOU-D-1 schedule, or an NEM TOU-D-2 schedule. (You can’t have an NEM account with TOU-EV-1 because you cannot put solar panels on the EV meter circuit.)
Like my PG&E spreadsheet (see my previous blog posting called EV Juice), this one lets you plug in your usage, try out different EV usage profiles, try out different solar array sizes, etc. to understand the cost of charging an EV, to understand the benefit of adding solar (and to optimize the size of your solar array), and to see the difference between the available rate structures.
Building the spreadsheet for Southern California Edison was much more difficult than for PG&E for two reasons. First, the rate structures are illogical, the bills are grossly disorganized, and the correlation between the actual rate structures and what is printed on your bill is quite obscure. Second, SCE seems to hide their rate structures on their website deliberately. Try, for example, using the search button on the SCE site and searching for “TOU-D-1.” The search will find a rate sheet for that schedule, but it will be some obsolete revision – the search does not find the current rate sheet! (Or if it does, it is way down the list.) Try to find a web page that simply lists all the residential rates and links to the current rate schedules. You won’t find it. Grrr.
Please let me know if you find problems. Thanks!
My Charger (update)
I got my PG&E E-9 (Time of Use) meter last week – see picture below. Amazingly, annoyingly, they did not install a SmartMeter, so I must pay a $6.78 per month meter charge to pay for some ‘droid to come read my meter. Although SmartMeters are supposedly available in my territory, they don’t have SmartMeters that are smart enough to measure the E-9 rate schedule. PG&E has their best brains on it though, and expect to have a smart meter for me in about 2 years…
Somebody suggested that I should install a sub-meter in front of my Tesla charging station, so that I would absolutely know how much electricity my car is using. Brilliant.
I bought a used (but perfect condition) utility company-style watt-hour meter and the electrical box that goes with it on ebay. With shipping, it cost me less than a hundred bucks. It arrived last Thursday, right on schedule.
Carolyn and I spent Saturday afternoon installing the thing in my garage, which involved un-installing my EV charger, re-doing half the conduit, installing the meter above the EV charger, hitting my hand really hard with a hammer as I tried to knock out a so-called knock-out on the Tesla charger, and finally re-installing the charger. I am very lucky that my sweetie is willing and able to help me with such projects! See pictures of the new installation below.
A couple of notes about that picture: First, the big can to the left of the charger is my central vacuum machine. Because it was already there, I was quite squeezed for space on that wall! Second, the dark thing right above the sub-meter is a hole in the drywall where the conduit goes in. I haven’t patched it yet. Third, the little round white thing above the hole (and partially obscured by my garage door track) is a smoke detector that connects to the charger. Tesla includes a smoke detector because I nearly burned my garage down charging AC Propulsion’s tzero! (A story for another day.) But the short version is that I want the car to stop charging and the charger to de-energize the cable whenever smoke is present. Fourth, note the plastic hose hanger I use to hand the charging cord. This one won’t chip the paint on my car door…
Sometime later on I will report how much energy my car is actually consuming, and also report what the computer on the car claims it is using. Should be interesting.
187 Comments so far
Leave a comment
<a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <pre> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>


Is the telephone the instrument Carolyn used to notify the emergency room that you’ve been doing another home project?
Martin sez:
Hey, she does about as well as I do with projects leading to emergency room visits
As the caricature American in an old Dr. Who eposide said, you can’t make omelets without breaking a few eggs…
Comment by Roger Richardson September 15, 2008 @ 5:51 pmYes you can make omelets without breaking eggs- like the Russians do with their painted eggs by sucking out yolk thru a small hole-but that’s beside the point. My car goes about 400 miles per tank, so EV cost would be $22 per tank-less than half gas cost. But then there’s solar- what a concept: EV car & solar. I want to know if the Japanese will be able to significantly undercut the GM Volt price due to their previously announced deals with Japanese Li-Ion battery companies. Also, S. Korea makes Li-Ion batteries and Hyundai recently announced a project to make a plug-in hybrid Sonata apparently. I wonder if someone will be able to come out with a 40 mile range plug-in for maybe $30,000 ?
Comment by TJ September 15, 2008 @ 7:58 pmLuckily for us, our next door neighbor is a retired ER doctor and a good friend of ours. Once we moved in, he said he updated his suture kit.
Comment by carolyn eberhard September 15, 2008 @ 8:03 pm# Martin wrote:
## Try to find a web page that simply lists all the residential rates and links to the current rate schedules. You won’t find it. Grrr.
What about this one?
I just did a Google on “SCE rates” and got there right away. It looks like it might have current rates… no?
Martin sez:
Hmm… Too obvious
I tried the search function on SCE’s own website, foolishly.
Of course it would be more helpful if that page also had the rules for the NEM rates, defined what the baseline amounts are, and had a map of the baseline regions. You cannot find what you need on that page to figure out how much your bill is.
I was also really surprised to find that our SCE bill don’t even tell us what baseline region we are in – PG&E tells you right on the bill.
Comment by TEG September 15, 2008 @ 9:36 pmEx-treasury head Lawrence Summers said (on Charlie Rose Show) re. Lehman Bros./Merrill Lynch Wall St. happenings & future of economy, that he believes in the “trickle up theory”- as in govt. programs targeting the middle class. He mentioned rebuilding infrastructure as one. I think he’s got that right. Pull the plug on the money pit of a war and put all the money into this country-that would start to do it. This would mean not only infrastructure but also going huge into green tech.-and also business and avg, Joe tax breaks/incentives for all things green. It would also mean, as other commentators have said, a program to get rid of all the lousy mortgage deals possible that are dragging down so many dumb/suckered home owners (not including the speculators). Most commentators on Rose’s show think that the only light now in the tunnel is a train headlight One guy sees the recession getting worse in terms of job losses and ending only in 18 months to 2 years. But direct govt. spending/green tech. breaks per Summer’s idea, that could do something pretty fast. Question is: with our fat-cat & lobbyist controlled country what do they care about the have nots or have lessers ? On a side note, I’m afraid (for Martin-but not afraid for Muskrat) it would also mean taxing Tesla owners more and giving a tax break to Mini-cooper owners. Yes, this would be most convenient.
Comment by TJ September 15, 2008 @ 11:21 pmDoes Martin or any reader now know enough to recommend electricians in Silicon Valley, East Bay, and San Diego who can install the charging station?
Martin sez:
Sorry, I don’t. I don’t particularly like the firm that Tesla has contracted to install chargers, so I installed mine myself. I am pretty comfortable doing electrical work and I understand the relevant code, but I am not a licensed contractor. Fortunately you don’t need a license if you are doing your own work – you just need to install to code and pass inspection.
Comment by berkeley/ SD September 16, 2008 @ 8:46 amMartin,
Which Doctor is “your” doctor? I’m a Tom Baker man myself (I was such a nerd that in college I had a replica of his scarf made – all 16 feet of it. I still wear it occasionally, when the Texas winters actually get chilly enough for such things).
I’d kind of guess you were either a Baker or a Pertwee fan. Close?
Martin sez:
Tom Baker, of course
Comment by Gabe September 16, 2008 @ 11:43 amYou might find http://www.cpuc.ca.gov/PUC/energy/electric/Rates+and+Tariffs/ and the pages it leads you to useful. Among other things, it appears to have a map of the SCE rate areas.
Comment by Steve Uhlir September 16, 2008 @ 12:23 pmUnrelated, but have you looked at the Volt that was introduced today?
All together I think it looks pretty good on the outside, but the gloss white iTunes dash is a bit more fashion than function.
Look at where the gear selector goes into the dash. It is very pretty to look at, but how many people are going to smash their hands on the dashboard grabbing it to pull it out of park or pinching a finger when they put it back into part? Women are going to be breaking their nails and guys are just going to get bruised knuckles.
Comment by Mark September 16, 2008 @ 4:18 pmGM Volt final design looks like a glorified Chevy Malibu. GM’s Lutz sez the car is “beautifully proportioned, nice and slick”. Looks like any other semi-boring sedan to me. For being such a different kind of car I say it should look like a different kind of car. GM sez it’s out to “lead the reinvention of the automobile” (after being automotive footdraggers for years- and kicking and screaming about “no raise in fuel mileage standards” on top of it)-well, too late, Martin & Co. have been there, done that. Tom Friedman of N.Y. Times had good editorial today titled “Innovative Economy is Central to U.S. Power”. He slammed the republican convention mantra-chant of “drill more oil now” . He also mentioned McCain’s 45 nuke plant idea: “McCain talks of how he would build dozens of nuclear power plants. Oh really? They go for $10 billion a pop. Where is the money going to come from? From lowering taxes?…from borrowing more from China?” For some strange reason he didn’t also say the obvious : “imagine how much solar and geothermal power (lightweight & nimble, in many convenient forms) you could throw up-and quickly- for that kind of cash-and after you DID throw it up, imagine how cheap it would be to throw up the NEXT round of solar/geothermal plants”-man oh man and jeeezzz of top of it! I’d like to see someone do a full page ad in “U.S.A. Today” explaining to “the general public” the real facts, in great, specific, detail, about just what is out there in green tech. NOW and what is very fast approaching. The general public doesn’t have a clue as to what the real deal is- and of course the powers that be like it that way, so the myth of ” green power not ready yet-someday, maybe” can be successfully perpetuated for as long as possible. The economy and energy are the only issues that really matter. Defense is a “scare the lemming-like public off a cliff issue”-period. So ask yourself this: why isn’t there detailed knowledge out there in the country at large about ALL things green tech.? Yeah “drill more oil now”- try drill more lithium now -then launch a major govt. push to put a plug-in hybrid in everyone’s garage ASAP. Then stand back and watch what would happen re. “the oil question” ! ! and !
Comment by TJ September 16, 2008 @ 4:57 pmHere’s another way to get a lot of plug-in hybrids out there fast: a federal govt. pact with all state and local govts. to replace ALL fleet cars used by govt. EVERYWHERE with plug-in hybrids immediately. The govts. in question have a nice, handy 2 years to prepare for this, so what’s their problem?
Comment by TJ September 16, 2008 @ 5:04 pmSince may govts. now use Prius cars, this would also dump a lot of used ones on the market, making them available at a good price to those who can’t afford a new plug-in- an’ this ain’t bad either.
Comment by TJ September 16, 2008 @ 5:08 pmInteresting- Lynn Forrester de Rothschild, big Hillary backer, now is for McCain. Whereas other” Rotchshild, et al team member” George Soros is a big backer of Obama and “Move On.org”. Does this mean a real schism in the weasel ranks, or just a way to assure yet another very close, divisive election ? All I know is that the combination of idiot Americans at the top (the investment firms, mortgage companies) and at the bottom (the dummies that racked up huge credit card bills and got stupid mortgages) are wrecking things quite nicely for a whole bunch of smarter ( perhaps half the country, probably less) Americans right now .
Comment by TJ September 17, 2008 @ 4:35 pmPer CNET News: Google and G.E. today announced a partnership to “develop smart grid tech., plug-in hybrid cars and enhanced geothermal systems”.CEO Schmidt of Google said that if by 2030 the U.S. were to get 100% of its power from renewable energy and replace half the cars with plug-in hybrids then we could cut co2 emissions in half. He said that “this would save 77% of $2.7 trillion in energy spending over 22 years-so expenditures (on green energy) would only be $600 million”. Now if only Google could have funded all of Testa Motors outright-perhaps Martin would still be there and the long-term company outlook (and interests/projects) would be better.
Comment by TJ September 17, 2008 @ 5:34 pmExcuuuse me: make that $600 billion- still “a small price to pay for luxury” – namely that of being mostly rid of fossil fuels.
Comment by TJ September 17, 2008 @ 7:10 pmTesla just announced it will build sedan plant in San Jose- I always thought N. Calif. was the place-why commute people all the way to Albuquerque anyway? Word is that the senate wants to offer rebates of between $3000 and $7500 on plug-in hybrids. Now we just need state incentives (registration cost breaks, tax breaks or whatever) on top of it.
Comment by TJ September 17, 2008 @ 8:43 pmMartin, good news, and nice job done
Comment by Alex September 17, 2008 @ 11:17 pmSo… what are people thinking here about California props 7 (solar) and 10 (wind)?
I’m on a neighborhood email list that favors household solar energy installations, and the vendors on the list are against prop 7; the notion that it favors big-utility solar at the expense of small projects seems to have some weight. I haven’t looked into prop 10 yet.
Any other thoughts?
Comment by Doug September 18, 2008 @ 6:53 amWatched some of Bob Lutz on TEG’s Colbert Report post-until he said that “he didn’t believe global warming was caused by co2″. Lutz has a job where, and makes how much money ? -(and is a college grad too)- Another example of what’s whacked out about this country.
Comment by T.J. September 18, 2008 @ 3:01 pmTJ,
I just watched the Colbert interview with Lutz, and it was hilarious. It’s mind boggling that someone in BL’s position doesn’t believe that global warming is caused by CO2 from fossil fuels. No wonder GM is locked into a downward spiral towards oblivion. Their only hope is a $25 billion handout from the Feds, and that will probably only delay the inevitable for another 2 years or so. It’s highly doubtful that the Federal Government will give them that money anyway, as they can’t afford to bail out every company that is in trouble right now. Even if the feds handed over the dough, it would not go to creating jobs in the US, as GM is already drastically overstaffed.
I have to go on record at this point to say that I think the Volt is nothing more than a red herring. It is not a sincere attempt by GM to reduce oil consumption. I think that it is being produced to placate the “green” consumer until, as GM believes, this whole “green thing” passes. I believe that GM does not want to produce a car that has no ICE because it would cost them a huge chunk of their “parts” business.
It’s funny (actually sad) to think that 9 years ago GM was building a car that had a range of 150 miles powered by batteries and an electric motor. Today, with superior battery technology available, they are building a car with only 40 miles of “electric only” range. And, if the rumours are true, the standard “electric only” range will be 20 miles. You will have to go with the larger battery option if you want the full 40 mile EO range. That just doesn’t sound like progress to me. Anyway…
All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey September 18, 2008 @ 5:32 pmInteresting deja vu: some advisors talked Reagan into “deregulating the banking system” which led-directly, point blank, as the experts attested to after the fact- to the S & L collapse of 20 years ago, and formation of RTC to regulate banking. A lot of people walked off with tons of cash, never to be seen again, at taxpayer expense. Supposedly sometime in the Clinton admin. “advisors/experts” – including notably Phil Gramm (he of McCain economic advisor fame) – got rid of depression era regulations against investment banks (and others ?) getting into the mortgage business. Lo and behold then, over the past few years, some weasels signed up people, en masse, left and right, to dumb, risky subprime mortgages-and then packaged these as investments to the investment banks and others- skipping proverbial town and passing on ALL the risk to someone else and pocketing big bucks-the losses they engineered now being paid back at taxpayer expense and a lot of “pain on main street”, and to underlings on Wall St. as well. So much for deregulation. What I smell here, which definitely was almost surely the case with the S & L collapse (having read a book on all of this) , is a pre-meditated plan to first get the president/congress to get rid of certain rules “since everyone knows less regulation is good” and then using that to make a pile of cash-these people knowing exactly what the plan would be IF they could get certain regulations removed. Also, other copycats, seeing this, no doubt joined in. So much for all sorts of breaks for the wealthy and everything associated with them. I agree with ex-Harvard pres./ex-treasury head Lawrence Summers-who pitches the “trickle up theory”-actually more like the “trickle everywhere” theory- target the health of the middle class and it will trickle outward to the lower and upper middle class, and then downward as well-and also up to the wealthy class-on the Henry Ford principle of put good money in the pockets of a whole lot of people and they will be able to buy the products of the companies of the more wealthy. I don’t know where the Fed. Reserve/govt. is getting all the required multi $100’s of millions (some say over $ 1 trillion bucks) in bailout money, but it seems to me that that kind of cash could have done one heck of a lot for green energy and EV cars. Assuming everything will be cleaned up re. all of this in 2 or 3 years, then some “interests” will still be saying, re. green tech./energy- “oh, it’s too expensive, it’s not ready enough-you can’t subsidize EV cars that much”, etc.- which will all , of course, be one huge lie . This current crisis clearly shows that “the required cash can be found”-and if you need some more, just tax the rich a tad more-many of these guys would literally not even notice it. Bill Gates and Warren Buffet totally agree. In a world where everyone has just one rather short life (or very short, on a historical scale) and where we have just one small planet getting trounced environmentally- there is no excuse for not finding the required cash-or for giving the rich continual breaks at the expense of everyone and everything else-when they already have achieved one quite nice of a break for one lifetime.
Comment by TJ September 18, 2008 @ 6:09 pmChris-yeah, you may be right-hopefully Toyota, Nissan ( & Hyundai), etc., using their battery company JV’s (announced earlier this year) with the likes of Panasonic, will push the plug-in envelope. If thru these companies & govt. incentives you could get a plug-in for $30,000 (or less, in short time?) that goes 40 miles or more per charge-this would potentially be huge. One way or another the potential by 2010/2011 is spectacular- question is: will this ” plus 50% dumbo country” get WITH it or not ? Latest poll, ” USA Today” : approx. 50% of people think they have a guardian angel -Lutz maybe thinks it may be all these angel’s breaths causing global warming. I hope this poll is seriously flawed-but probably not. Lutz is incredible-and he went to Berkeley, not Podunk State-double incredible. May his stint in the Marines explains it somehow. He ignores the conclusions of thousands of scientists (going back to 1957)- not only THAT, it makes perfect common sense (but of course, Hercule) that humans would be causing the vast majority of global warming. Just figure in the unprecedented rapid rate of warming, the thickness (make that “thinness”) of the atmosphere, the actually small size of earth, the fact that neither the oceans or plants remove co2 at a fast rate at all, the fact that we have been putting out co2 24/7 non-stop in ever-increasing amounts for like our 200 years- just what do you think MAY be happening out there Lutz “The Nuts Putz” !? I say give me some good GM advisors, show me to my office and I’ll do an equal or better job than Lutz for 1/10 the pay-or less.
Comment by TJ September 18, 2008 @ 6:33 pmChris- also, the “ace in the hole” is that it looks like Tesla will be around to force the big auto companies to push the envelope- or else leave the high ground to Tesla until they become a major threat. It would be much preferred if Tesla could stay private to avoid a hostile Muskyish-style takeover.
Comment by TJ September 18, 2008 @ 7:07 pmChris- it just occurred to me, exactly what DID the GM EV-1 cost,with its quite handy range, in today’s dollars? Since it was a “lease only” car I never heard-yeah, that’s the question. Another question iz: how about having Li-ion batteries and cheaper regular ones as well-must have been some advance in these from EV-1 days-thereby double (or more ?) the range without costing an arm & a leg, if people so want the option. ALSO- gear fed. and state govt. incentives to the range, thereby getting some good money back on this option . Yeah, between the tech. & the govt. the answers are there alright- just a matter of de-dumbing the country.
Comment by TJ September 18, 2008 @ 7:17 pmMan, you have got my head spinning. I can’t tell when you’re in Woodside or Sierra Madre.
SCE, means this is your Sierra Madre home (I’m just a few miles away in Pasadena). So, you’re Roadster is here in SoCal? I have my VR Panorama rig setup for car panoramas here I basically thrust that thing from the driver side window, & spin it around (4 shots with a Sigma 8mm circular fisheye lens) I can swing by your place & do a panorama of your Roadster. Then, you can post the VR panorama (Flash or QTVR) on this blog, & also have a PangeaVR pano running on your iPhone. I.e., pull out your iPhone & show them a VR pano of your Roadster..pretty killer techy demo. I just showed it to Story Musgrave (Space Shuttle astronaut) at a local Astronomy conference, & he was impressed. He even emailed me back, & I think we might be working together on a NSF funded proposal for Astronomy Outreach.
I originally planned on doing some tests at some local Pasadena auto dealerships (VW on Sierra Madre Blvd near Foothill Blvd, Porsche, Jaguar, etc), before I hit up Tesla LA store. The latter is a good 20 miles away, you are far closer (2 miles). I gave up my 4×4 van (declared it non-operational until June ‘09, because of exorbitant gas prices), so I’m a 100% biker (& bus + train) these days.
BTW, I want a feel of your “wildman” driving in a Roadster. I can get HD video from the passenger seat, & put it on the Tesla Roadster iTunes video-podcast. This is a great way of getting your agenda out to the masses. An iTunes video-podcast is just a syndication (via special RSS feed) of a video-blog. This “Tesla Founders” text blog can take Blip.tv embedded videos (which have RSS video “enclosures”). So, you can setup a “Tesla Founders” iTunes video-podcast, where people all over the world can get your message over iTunes. I.e., Roadster videos, interviews/commentary on various subjects (charging, etc). I can set that up in 1 minute, & make a submission to Apple/iTunes (approval takes 1 day or less, my last submission took only 6 hrs!). Or, I can tell you how to do it.
Comment by chimpanzee September 19, 2008 @ 12:22 amTJ,
Yeah, I was glad to hear that Tesla had reverted back to the old idea of pure BEV for the Whitestar (I still can’t bring myself to calling it the Model “ESSS-SUH-SUH”,
). I’m still wondering how they are going to achieve the claimed range (240 miles per charge, according to ZED), considering that it will be a heavier vehicle (it HAS to be, right?), unless they are planning to double the capacity of the ESS somehow, but I don’t see how they could do that for under $60,000, do you? Maybe Martin has some idea of how they might achieve that range. Also, just to tie into the topic of this thread, I’m guessing it’s going to cost more to drive per mile than the Roadster (given the same price per kWh for “EV Juice”
).
Comment by Chris Harvey September 19, 2008 @ 1:26 pmPS I think that image of E-9 TOU needs to have that acct no smudged over using Photoshop (security reasons). Is there a square hole in the wall? I would cover it up, since it can invite rodents. I had such a hole-in-the-wall inside my back-door, & mice were coming in. I had this maddening problem for MONTHS..didn’t figure out the “leak” until now. I only recently finished the re-modeling, so the rodent problem disappeared.
Martin sez:
Yeah. But all our power meters are hanging out of our houses anyway – at least in theory, I can read the account number off your meter any time I want to.
Yes, I fully intend to patch the hole – I have worked hard to drywall my entire garage and more importantly, make it completely rodent-proof. I just hadn’t got to it when I took the photo.
Comment by chimpanzee September 19, 2008 @ 8:10 pmChris-I’d like to know what the financial situation is in Canada re. “dummies in debt” and “dummies in bad mortgages” and ditto for the financial company dummies. Bill Moyers on PBS always has a good show- tonight he had financial author Kevin Phillips on (who predicted “all of this” years in advance)- dig this: between 1987 and 2006 debt quadrupled in the U.S. In terms of the govt. favoring of industries, the manufacturing sector was neck and neck with the financial sector in the ’80’s. Since then the financial sector has been favored by the govt. powers that be, including the fed. reserve/congress. Phillips said that the govt. “has been aiding and abetting the financial sector in their push to get Americans in debt” and into stupid mortgages. He said that this has ” created great wealth for a small slice of America”- which he says is about 1 to 2% of the population. However, the people behind all of this, as opposed to their companies, walk away as usual like the bandits that they are. The ex-head of Lehman Bros, made $354 million over the last 10 years. The ex-CEO of Merrill Lynch walked away with severance package of $161 million. The ex-CEO’s of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are getting $24 million in severance money. It’s pretty obvious that this country started losing it after JFK (no wonder)- first “the scam called Vietnam” – big moneymaker (which to enact required “JFK leaving office”), then look at the Nixon years on: you had total weasels in govt., then the scam called the OPEC oil embargo, where Carter started to do things to “get us off oil and into green tech.” ( which were soon abandoned when he left) . Then 22% inflation, then the bad times re. manufacturing/jobs epitomized by the Chrysler bailout-and look at the dumb/bad cars Detroit was making in the ’70’s and ’80’s. Then there was the scam called the savings & loan/bank collapse-BCCI and all of that. Then the huge military build-up of Reagan to help defeat the commies (which mainly just helped the military-industrial complex), then the rather “do nothing, get nowhere in particular” Clinton years- where the financial sector furthered and entrenched, it turns out, the big credit scam- leading to the blow up now. If it weren’t for computers/the internet, tech. companies, Bill Gates/silicon Valley and all of that, the progressive scene would have been really nowhere. Pundits marvel at how the Rove-style republicans can get “middle America” to “vote for the interests of the rich”-which on the face of it have NOTHING to do with them-talk about voting for “the elites”. They are conned into thinking that Hollywood and media types are “the elites” that they have nothing in common with. But always remember: beware of “Tax and spend big govt. liberals”-even McCain’s ads are actually yapping about this again. Yeah-and Mr. conservative Bush and his conservative party have racked up the biggest deficit in U.S. history-while being a bigger bunch of weasels than even the Nixon team while they were at it-and Nixon actually eventually got out of a lie of a war instead of into one: “Lie of a War II-the Con Goes On” . Man oh man- I am quite disgusted with a large segment of this country. Lie, con, plot and manipulate-and dumb down all the populace that is “dumb-downable”. No doubt the rise in cheating in schools, from my day, is a coal mine canary of this. Also, Musk & Co. firing Martin is part of the whole picture too- no principles at work there. There sure is plenty of money out there in govt. circles that is thrown away on totally worthless B.S.-like a war and now bailing out financial weasels, who helped dumb people get in major debt. Of course major debt is good for the likes of many in the die-hard ( and notably republican) elite : like Walmart- something like 5 members of the Walton family are in the top 10 or 20 of the richest Americans- maybe they could stand to lower their “always low prices” even more-or maybe it would be better to let their suppliers make more than 2 cents in profit. The level of what is basically corruption ( of lie, cheat ,steal, manipulate,con, schmooze, lobby variety) in this country is staggering-and also how entrenched it is. The green tech. potential is also staggering but it’s up against a lot of these weasels and their interests, in terms of conflicting with their “profit base” and in terms of “their money needs”- as in they want the money (”our “taxpayer money) to go to worthless B.S. like war and the military and every other leech- like, dug in tick- like vested interest. Sad- maybe 1/3 of this country is with it, but we’re dragged down by the other 2/3’s of the clowns- 1/3 being clown cadets maybe, the other 1/3 being third degree bozos.
Comment by TJ September 19, 2008 @ 10:43 pmA suggested answer to an earlier Martin statement.
Comment by vfx September 20, 2008 @ 7:56 amWe have to find a new word…
http://www.teslamotorsclub.com/news-articles-events/1662-evo-magazine-electric-special-tesla-roadster.html#post12901
Is Martin secretly planning to get back in the mix? Didn’t he say something about “after Nov.” awhile ago ? Sergey Brin of Google has a blog now. In the best of all worlds Google should have funded Tesla entirely from the start. Their funding of projects is great-they should keep it up and increase it. Al Gore is on their board right?- that “can’t be bad”.
Martin sez:
I think it’s a good bet that I will be up to something new come November. Odds are also that I will need to be secretive about it for a while. The nature of new ventures…
Comment by TJ September 20, 2008 @ 3:46 pmSpeaking of EV juice: a company called QuantumSphere just announced that “it is working on nano technology that increases li-ion battery capacity by up to 5 times”. The same weight battery would hold 5 times the charge. They have filed a patent on this “and hope to start commercial production in six months to one year” in China. “Drill more oil !”-yeah, right try ” Mine more lithium !!! ” – and also : ” Go, Martin !” (per above). Now all we need re. green tech. is: “Go federal govt. !” (parts of it literally, others parts-the good parts- figuratively).
Comment by TJ September 20, 2008 @ 8:42 pmTJ,
I’m not going to pretend that we don’t have financially irresponsible people up here in Canada, because we do. However, I think that there was slightly more government regulation of our mortgage and banking industry, and that prevented people from over-extending themselves financially in the way that many in the US did. That being said, Canada often lags behind the States by 6-12 months in situations like this, and I’m fairly certain that economic hard times are coming, especially to Ontario. The total exposure to asset backed commercial paper (ABCP) by the big six Canadian Banks was only about $2 billion (CAN), so they are relatively unscathed compared to Wall St. The biggest problem up here will be the loss of manufacturing jobs in Ontario. We have quite a few auto assembly plants in Ontario (GM, Ford, Chrysler, Toyota, Honda, Suzuki),
http://www.jama.ca/industry/manufacturing/vehicle/
as well as many parts manufacturers (Magna, Linamar, Lear Seating, Walker, etc.), and since the (not so) big 3 are scaling their operations way back, it is inevitable that massive layoffs are coming. Ironically, Toyota and Honda are expanding at this time. Toyota has a plant about 10 miles from where I live, which they have doubled in size in the last 10 years, and they have just opened another plant in Woodstock, about 30 miles away. However, this will not be enough to offset the job losses related to the big 3. As people lose their jobs in Ontario, more and more houses will go up for sale, and we will experience our own downturn in the housing market. I may be wrong, but I don’t anticipate that it will be as severe as the downturn experienced in Vegas, Sacramento, Stockton, Florida, etc., but who knows? Many of the people who lose jobs in Ontario will probably move to Alberta (oilsands), Saskatchewan (potash mines, the Bakken oil formation), British Columbia (lumber, other natural resources), or Newfoundland (oil). Some of these people only put 5% down-payments on their homes, so if prices drop, say 10%, they will lose all their equity. Not catastrophic, but not pleasant either… On the whole, I expect a shallower downturn in Canada than in the US, and as Canada finds alternative markets for its manufactured goods and raw materials, I think it will start to recover sooner than the US, but hey, these are just guesses.
Canadian national debt is around $500 billion, most of it run up under Brian Mulroney (Conservative Prime Minister, 1984-1993). So, despite all the revenue from oil, we are still in quite a bit of debt (per capita). It’s kind of funny that the Conservatives & Republicans try to paint themselves as economically savvy & frugal, because the historic record shows that to be untrue. As you pointed out, Clinton left office with one of the largest surplus’s in history, and yet the national debt increased under Reagan, Bush 1, and Bush 2. The current Republican administration has managed to almost double the national debt.
Comment by Chris Harvey September 20, 2008 @ 8:42 pmUS debt will be the single biggest factor in the decline of the American empire, and it may well contribute to the collapse of several other economies around the world too, IMHO. We are living in interesting times, scary too.
“I place economy among the first and most important republican virtues, and public debt as the greatest of the dangers to be feared. To preserve our independence, we must not let our rulers load us with perpetual debt.”
Thomas Jefferson, third US president, architect and author (1743-1826).
Comment by Chris Harvey September 20, 2008 @ 9:05 pmI have seen in some place on the Web (some rumor surely) that Martin may become involved in perfecting solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC) for car usage.
Public is well informed about other type of fuel
cells – proton exchange membrane (PEM) cells.
PEM cells have well known issues requring clean (99.5%) hydrogen as a fuel – hard to store, expensive to produce and distribute etc.
SOFC are much better because they could use familiar hydrocarbon fuel (gazoline, methane, kerosene) combined with regular air and convert its chemical energy to electricity with efficiensy
60-70% versus 30-40% for best ICE engines (even clean diesels included).
SOFC are practical devices already managed for pilot commersial use for electricity generation.
In combination with modest size battery and electric drivetrain SOFC could manage ~100 mpg ballpark of fuel efficiensy fit with today’s fueling infrastructure like normal cars.
One more advantage of SOFC is that they are not using expensive materials so they could finally manage mass scale car under $30000.
The key issues to overcome with SOFC would be power density per unit of weight. As I have seen today it stays close to ~10 W/kg. This means ~5 kW of sustained power for 500 kg unit. Sure taken as is it is not practical for cars. But if somebody has good idea how to improve power density at least by order of magnitude it may finally become a major breakthrough for cars.
As I could guess just from basic physics knowledge I has one possible way of such improvement could be radical increase of working pressure for gases used in SOFC. Current SOFC are working close to atmospheric pressure using fairly thick ceramic layers. If somebody manage thin ceramic layers working at pressures few hundred times the atmospheric pressure it might manage required improvement.
Personally I consider this option as one of the most practically promising for cars improvement. Sure it is just my personal opinion having no weight because I have no leadership talents.
We will see in several months from now is this guess any close to what Martin is going to do.
Comment by Anatoly Moskalev September 21, 2008 @ 2:00 pmI just wanted to share one idea I got recently about managing zero CO2 emission cars. May be it could be useful.
It exist a well known technology to produce liquid air from regular air. It is very well developed. Assuming engine intake (SOFC intake for that matter for example) would use liquid air and heat it by its exaust which is waste heat anyway it could generate very high pressure air by evaporating liquid air. It could rich higher than 600 time atmospheric pressure by that. As a side effect exaust could be cooled below freezing temperature of CO2 (and H2O for that matter). So exaust would be virtually cleaned out of H2O, CO2 and other byproducts leaving mostly clean air as remaining gas. This gas would go out again via some heat exchanger so finally exaust would be mostly nitrogen with trace of oxygen slightly cooler than ambient air.
Such frozen air would accumulate inside liquid air tank ensuring it would be safely stored as long as liquid air is present which take several days to evaporate even if car is idle.
While running car should keep producing liquid air to feed its intake. This would require just fraction of electric energy generated by the engine if we have fully electric drivetrain.
For high pressure SOFC described idea would be very thermal efficient way to generate high pressure air for SOFC operation because SOFC would not have issue of detonation limiting ICE engine working pressure.
After using most of oxygen inside SOFC high pressure gas could be used to expand pistons. Modern compressed air engine technology could be used for that stage of process.
It appears that with described set up we got synergetic combination of SOFC and compressed air engine advantages together with completely clean exaust.
Sure by product of this set up would be dirty mixture of dry ice and water ice from exaust. For each gallon of fuel it should end up producing ~12 kg of that ice mixture. In solid condition quantity is manageable to store in a car for say 5 gallon of fuel covering 500 miles of range.
In this concept it is required that some centralized car exaust collection facility linked to fuel distribution system should exist. Dscharging frozen exaust would be fairly easy. Firstliquid air should be pumped out of the tank and heated exaust from previous cars pushed through the tank warming it and evaporating frozend exaust out. After that normal air should be pumped into the tank and it should be refilled back with liquid air in its heat isolation.
In case if somebody build up solar based biofuel production facility such a mixture would be just what is needed to feed plants in such facility for fastest photosynthesis.
Described concept sure has significant number of subsystems. But none of them require costly materials or not proven technology. It means that taken together concept could be managed to mass scale car without driving experience or car cost of ownership compromizes.
I guess in this way we could finally have a true market for car exaust so that collected as described exaust would be sold to such facilities for real money as normal incoming product. Finally we get no goverment in between and no artificial value for car exaust. We would have just balanced together ordinary markets of biofuel and frozen car exaust. So it would have normal incentives for cars having exaust collection and for business people to produce biofuel using intense photosyntesis hence having its cost not too high.
Just share some thoughts.
Comment by Anatoly Moskalev September 21, 2008 @ 2:51 pmAnatoly-what do you make of QuantamSphere announcement? -Maybe SOFC as backup to that ? Chris- I read somewhere that Reagan, who used to be a democrat, got his ” big idea” for downsizing govt. from JFK originally. Jefferson and Jackson were the original “downsizers”. I also read that economists said that JFK was one of the best presidents re. being with it in economics field. He did a great job spending money on the moon program-an excellent govt. type program, with good “trickle down” potential. I know that he was also limiting military expenditures (yeah-his plan to get out of Vietnam totally after ‘64 constituted a huge limitation right there also) and monkeying with “the pet projects and turf” of the military/industrial complex”. Of course green tech. would be THE best similar fed. govt. project area now. If the fed. govt. wants to check the “decline of America” , putting the pedal to the medal and keeping it there re. green tech. & energy would, of course, be an excellent (x 3) idea. Not only that, fostering everything else related to the tech. sector in this country would be a no-brainer. Not only that, too bad college here isn’t free as in a great many other countries. If you join the military you get the G.I. bill at least. I would say that at least student loans should be at like 1%-what is the rate anyway ? JFK would be WAY-stoked about the govt. potential to really do something re. green tech. & all this, and more no doubt.
Comment by TJ September 21, 2008 @ 3:49 pmIt looks like George, and Hank, and their Wall St. cronies have figured out how to steal from the future, and the American taxpayer will be left to pay the bill. This is theft on an unprecedented scale. Hopefully Congress can fix up this legislation so that it benefits average Americans more than the obese felines from the banks.
Comment by Chris Harvey September 21, 2008 @ 5:28 pmAnatoly,
I heard (or more likely, read) the same rumour about Martin and SOFCs. I haven’t seen any confirmation from Martin though… maybe he wants to keep it quiet until he’s in the clear in December.
All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey September 21, 2008 @ 5:33 pmChris-I was just minding my own business watching Charlie Rose when someone said that it all started sometime in Clinton’s admin. when some fat felines-including Phil Gramm ( of Texas, what else is new ? )- persuaded everyone that it would be a good idea to get rid of the regulation from the depression barring investment banks getting into mortgages. During the “S & L collapse” of like 20 years ago, the state where the greatest amount of taxpayer money was shelled out and never recovered was Texas- Texas Sen. LLoyd Bentsen made out very well from all of this, according to book I read by a Houston Post reporter-who first just started looking into funny business in Houston for his paper, but he found out so much nationally & internationally that he made a book out of it. That crisis wouldn’t have happened if “certain people” hadn’t gotten banking deregulation passed. A member of the Fed. Reserve Bank of San Francisco said that no way the whole S & L thing would have happened if the regulations were still in effect. The deal is: people who know the system really well get regulations removed -knowing exactly what they can then do with that. That seems to be the M.O. of fat felines in question, but conveniently for them : “prove it”.
Comment by TJ September 21, 2008 @ 6:36 pmTo T.J.
I glanced over QuantumSphere company. There is nothing theoretically impossible with their claim. So in that sense it is better than EEstore ultracapacitor. But this still means almost nothing in batteries because key problem in this area is how to prevent nasty chemical side reactions with increasing density of high energy atoms inside electrodes. I do not see how with current science level anybody could theoretically predict atoms behavior in solid or liquid materials.
As a result having patented idea is close to nothing. Something significant unavodably has to be proved battery prototype experienced thousands of tests successfully. This is not even on any horizon with just a patent. So I would not be exited much about that thing.
In contrast SOFC are very much developed to working prototypes and demonstrated nice practical behavior already. Also SOFC are fuel cells instead of batteries. So I would not call them any back up for batteries. They are just totally different devices. SOFC are doing the same job as electrical generators with diesel engines. They “burning” hydrocarbon fuels and converting part of its energy to electricity.
Key advantage of SOFC versus diesel generators is efficiensy of fuel conversion into electric energy. That efficiensy is basically about twice higher. In that sense it matches today large scale electricity generation efficiensy. So electrified car with SOFC and serial hybrid drivetrain will match overall system efficiensy of battery electric cars using electricity from best fossil fuel elctricity generation plants of today.
From the other point of view serial hybrid car with SOFC should have ~100 mpg for exactly same car and drive pattern as ~30 mpg car of today.
Key problem is power density of SOFC per unit of weight – that is it. It is still hard to solve and it is not proven but to me it does not sound impossible.
Current power density comes from the fact of ceramic electrodes and electrolyte in SOFC. Ceramic layers has to be thick to keep ceramics from cracks. This makes low surface to weight ratio preventing high power density.
But I think if somebody increases pressure ceramics would be proportionally more populated with fuel and oxygen molecules managing roughly proportional to pressure power density increase assuming no bad side effects.
Assuming fuel is evaporated from liquid state under high pressure it should be quite efficient to get high pressure fuel vapor in SOFC.
SOFC itself works at ~1000 C ballpark temperature.
Key problem is how to get equally high pressure air and how to avoid energy losses by letting out 1000 C exaust gases from SOFC.
This is why I proposed the idea with liquified air intake because evaporating that liquid would manage high pressure air pretty efficiently because heat itself would make the air compression instead of using mechanical energy in a pump. Having high pressure would also alow expansion of gases after SOFC through something similar to compressed air engine. At high temperature it will manage nice adiabatic cooling of 1000 C exaust from SOFC down to normal ambient temperature of air generating extra electricity in the process. Overall the set up seems to be very suitable for high efficiensy car.
Sure some alternative could be just reducing thickness of all the 3 ceramic layers involved in SOFC by order of magnitude or more but avoiding cracks somehow. That would solve power density problem too.
Martin expressed his great appreciation to East Asia approach to technology development. Managing the SOFC ceramics thickness down would suit perfectly to that culture. So may be he finally balnced together his wokr ethics ideal with technology problem to be solved.
If our guesses about SOFC are true I would say that we would not here from Martin by December this year. Likely we would here anything specific from him about his technology only after his new venture develops unbeatable competitive edge. This means Martin will not say to us anything technically interesting for next few years most likely.
Comment by Anatoly Moskalev September 21, 2008 @ 6:51 pmThe S&L Collapse book in question was called “The Mafia, the CIA and George Bush” by Pete Brewton-you can read good reviews about it on Amazon.com. The title comes from the fact that a lot of the banks and players had big connections to, or were fronts for, the CIA (like the BCCI bank -in europe)-with mafia complicity with CIA “associates”- also there were connections to Bush Sr. and his crew. Bush Sr. was an ex-CIA head-as if we already don’t know that his family is more tied into the “weasels that be” than any political family in U.S. history. Amazon’s snippet review says that the book deals with “connections between the mafia, the CIA and a small group of powerful Texas businessman” . So when I hear that Phil Gramm of Texas was one of the guys that got regulations repealed leading to the current disaster, it is, as John Fogerty said in a recent song about the Iraq war & Vietnam “deja vu all over again”. Iraq and Vietnam: same M.O., some of the exact same bigtime profiteers-notably Kellogg Brown & Root of Houston and, of course, the in’tl bankers via huge debt and the military/industrial complex as usual. “Those who forget history are doomed to repeat it”- but in this society no one remembers anything past 2 weeks, as the media/powers that be change the agenda and public consciousness & memory at will-as if how many people know the score to BEGIN with ? It is also clear, yet again- no surprise- that ” something is rotten the state of Texas, Horatio”.
Comment by TJ September 21, 2008 @ 7:06 pmAnatoly- drawback to SOFC is burning something to get energy. Maybe ultimately there is an electrical solution down the road where no co2 is put out yet “refueling” is fast ? You think SOFC could make for like a $20,000 car with 100 mpg or more ? Would be nice power source for an Aptera-major mpg there already. So, guess QuantumSphere is hyping their idea (to raise more money?-since why not just wait till they’ve really got the goods?) – since they need major battery testing to see what happens- have to build it and see if it melts, no ? Could be huge, obviously, if it works.
Comment by TJ September 21, 2008 @ 7:26 pmI left out part of Amazon snippet quote above, end of quote is: “…a small group of powerful Texas businessmen and politicians and the $500 billion savings and loan scandal”.
Comment by TJ September 21, 2008 @ 7:32 pmI looked up SOFC’s on wikipedia. They say that BMW, Rolls-Royce and Delphi Automotive, among others are working on this. My first thought was that if Martin was into SOFC’s it would be looking into some kind of lower temperature ones- maybe so?: at the end of the wikipedia article they said that lower temp. SOFC’s -ITSOFC’s (”intermediate temperature”) “can be made with cheaper materials” and be more durable. Article said: “the push for high performance ITSOFC’S is currently the topic of much research and development”. If an ITSOFC could make for a car costing $15,000 or lower even, and running on gas or ethanol- that would be something. I still wonder about this scenario also: couldn’t it also be part of a more expensive GM Volt type Li-ion car? If SOFC’s run on gas at the efficiency of 100 mpg, that’s a lot better than the gas engine/generator in a Volt type car, no ? So after going “the first 40 miles on electricity” per the Volt, all the miles traveled from then on with an SOFC making the power instead of a gas generator would mean like triple gas savings, no ? Interesting, captain- I must know Anatoly’s rumor source, is it silicon valley ferrets or, dare I say, KGB ? (no couldn’t be that).
Comment by TJ September 21, 2008 @ 8:04 pmLooks like the SOFC world is a crowded field, including very fat cats- web search came up with “Acumentrics, Cummins Power, Delphi Automotive, Fuel Cell Energy, G.E. and Siemens designed and manufactured SOFC electrical power generators in the 3 to 10 kilowatt range”. Also a company called Versa Power makes different types of SOFC’s. Maybe someone working in this field came to Martin with a new twist ?
Comment by TJ September 21, 2008 @ 8:27 pmTwilight Zone episode script , submitted for your Rod Serling -like approval : same history repeating itself (”what a coincidence”) decades apart: Vietnam (cost: $133 billion, wonder what that is today’s dollars?)= Iraq (final projected total cost $1 trillion, or more). Savings & Loan collapse (made possible by repealed regulations, Texas weasels heavily involved, cost: $500 billion, ditto: ? cost in today’s dollars)=Mortgage Crisis Collapse (made possible by repealed regulations, Texas weasels involved, cost: over $1 trillion)-and no one, almost, is the wiser.
Comment by TJ September 21, 2008 @ 9:12 pm[...] be secretive about it for a while. The nature of new ventures Comment by TJ September 20, 2008 @ 3:46 pm [...]
Pingback by What will Martin do Next? - Page 5 - Tesla Motors Club Forum September 22, 2008 @ 12:02 pmChrysler has jumped in with its EVs (note the plurality).
http://www.autoblog.com/2008/09/23/chrysler-llc-debuts-dodge-ev-jeep-ev-and-chrysler-ev/
Any thoughts/comments/flames from the experts here?
And yes, the Dodge ZEO ripped off a few lines of Tesla’s business plan, presumably because it was a good one.
Comment by Gabe September 23, 2008 @ 11:49 amCorrection, they announced the EV Sportcar as the Dodge EV, though it may take the ZEO concept body and name.
Martin sez:
The Dodge body looks an awful lot like the Lotus Europa body to me. They made some extremely minor styling changes (notably the wheels) and slapped a Dodge badge on it. Were I still CEO of Tesla, I would be a bit annoyed, to put it mildly.
I wonder if they are working with ZAP on this one?
Comment by Gabe September 23, 2008 @ 11:57 amI’m interested in the transmission solutions for these Dodge EVs. Is it a 1-speed or multi-speed gearbox? Xtrac has already come up with a breakthrough with their offroad development partner, it involved extensive empirical testing at races. Break, return to factory for tear-down, beef up parts. Do-until-works. Whoala..1st place, 3rd place, 1st place: 2nd in season points standings, needs a strong finish at upcoming Baja 1000 to get the crown. I wonder when the 1st Jeep EVs hit the offroad race scene? Perfect marketing opportunity. Kia, General Motors (Vortec Trophy Truck program years ago) are all examples of MFRs using Auto Racing as a “marketing vehicle”. I guarantee you, if Dodge can do Durability/Reliability tests of Jeep EVs at Baja races (the shockload is INCREDIBLE, Paris-Dakar Rally hardware & cars gets thrashed in Baja competition), then street applications will have a solid battery pack.
Sample pre-run (non-race) rides here,here, & here. Pre-runs are “toned down”, racing is at a different level altogether (insane).
CORR pre-runs here & here. Xtrac is involved with CORR, & has Pro 2 clients using their gearboxes. Most racers use automatic trannys (easier to drive, less stress on drive-train)
Comment by chimpanzee September 23, 2008 @ 2:46 pmThe Dodge sports car IS a Lotus Europa, according Autoblog-and another news website. Every car maker will be going elect. Next will come all the German car makers- elect. Porsche & Audi will be something to see. Hopefully the Koreans will get the price down- a plug-in Sonata has been announced. “Mine, baby mine !” (lithium). If Martin is in on ITSOFC fuel cells it looks like an really crowded field, per wikipedia. Perhaps rumor is a red herring.
Comment by T.J. September 23, 2008 @ 3:07 pmCame across some recent fuel cell news (July 31): google search: “MIT Nocera lab fuel cell”. They say it’s “simple, inexpensive and efficent”. Video mentions it being great for home solar power storage-and powering EV car at night from solar power made during the day-grid free power at all times: this would be poifect !
Comment by T.J. September 23, 2008 @ 3:29 pm# Martin wrote:
## I wonder if they are working with ZAP on this one?
UQM (you might recall that they were working with Phoenix for a while).
…Familiar battery pack, inverter and eMotor locations…
Comment by TEG September 23, 2008 @ 5:38 pmThe senate finally voted to renew solar tax breaks for another 8 years-next goes to house vote.
Comment by TJ September 23, 2008 @ 10:46 pmRe Ahatoly Moskalev’s post on SOFC devices, these sound like they are closer to reality if the cars needed only about 10 kW for sustained operation (10 kW capacity would mean 1000 kg based on Anatoly’s post), but this is not possible with the Tesla or the Volt as now configured.
But it is very close if the car is a Miastrada which can handle the weight. Perhaps even an Aptera could be beefed up to handle that weight.
All this to point out that cars really need to change to make some interesting new approaches feasible. Solar feasibility would come a lot sooner as well.
Of course, the idea of what is “cool” needs to change.
Comment by Jim Bullis September 24, 2008 @ 9:55 amHouse passes $25 billion loan for domestic automakers
Comment by TEG September 24, 2008 @ 5:03 pmRe. automaker loan and solar tax credit extension-so much for the political mantra of “not favoring big govt.”, particularly pitched by the “so-called arch conservatives”. I’m in favor of big govt. if it does big, progressive things with the money. Supposedly the automaker loan is to help the car makers go more green- and, as Michael Douglas (almost) said: “Green, for lack of a better word, is GOOD” : the color of money and the earth (discounting the water, of course-though “sea green” is a color- and deserts -and snow -but it’s our green plant buddies that count anyway, ’cause without them we ain’t around). Now we need a govt./industry program to color all the middle class green: a package, one-stop great deal on the simultaneous purchase (staring in late 2010) of home solar, home fuel cell (for solar power storage) and a complimentary EV or plug-in car . Ja, maybe a fawn-TAS-tic combo of rebates, tax breaks and really low interest loan- and so on and so forth.
Comment by TJ September 24, 2008 @ 6:09 pmJa-hear me once again, und listen to me later, when I say this: I don’t think other countries have any problems helping their key industries and interests (China, Korean, Japan-so on, so forth) -we should have no problems helping green tech. and old industries (autos) adopting green tech. -for it is the key sector, no ? I vill now go smoke a big cigar to celebrate the possibilities-or, maybe not.
Comment by TJ September 24, 2008 @ 6:37 pmThe complete, appropriate per news of the day, Michael Douglas as Gordon Gecko “Wall Street” movie (”n is the new d”) quote: “The point is, ladies and gentlemen, that green, for lack of a better word, is good. Green is right, green is good, green clarifies, cuts through and captures the essence of the evolutionary spirit. Green, in all its forms- green for life, green for money, for love, for knowledge-has marked the upward surge of mankind-and green, you mark my words, will not only save Teldar Paper but that other malfunctioning corporation called the U.S.A. Thank you very much”. Lizardman wuz right.
Comment by TJ September 24, 2008 @ 7:11 pmCNET news: JB Straubel of Tesla said today that Tesla wants to make a minivan, coupe and light pickup truck after the sports sedan-cars costing between $20,000 and $30,000-said that they want to make hundreds of thousands of cars per year. With sports sedan cost of around $60,000 an appropriate standard color would be Gecko Green, the optional metallic version being Gordon Gecko Green.
Comment by TJ September 24, 2008 @ 10:36 pmTJ:
Just remember, the government can’t give you anything without taking it from you first.
Comment by Rob September 25, 2008 @ 3:54 amAnatoly!
Great to hear from you again.
Comment by Malcolm Wilson September 25, 2008 @ 8:56 amYes, the Dodge EV is a Europa, but according to various articles, that vehicle configuration is essentially a concept mule. From what I understand, Chrysler will follow/steal/borrow Tesla’s plan and have lotus build a chassis (and either a unique Lotus body along with or supply their own) and build the car that way. One possibility is to use the ZEO concept look on the Lotus chassis.
Comment by Gabe September 25, 2008 @ 10:40 amRob- not totally from me-they could take a little more from “the rich” (who would barely notice it) and from shutting down all the waste/ corp. loopholes (good luck, right ?)-and not giving so much to the military/industrial complex. I’d want a diversion of funds, more than anything-into progressive green tech. Nobody could come up with the kind of incentives to “make the middle class green” except fed./state govts. Of course guys like Bill Gates (Buffet/Allen, and many more) could help more , but he’s targeting most of his cash to the “third world”. Get the simultaneous package deal of home solar/fuel cells/EV cars into the paws of the middle class (with a program bettering the German one) and whoa-stand back, watch out- both greed and green would be covered: big money into the economy, big co2 reduction-continual. The new Gordon Gekko (his family name used to be Gecko, but he wanted to be known as a Wall St. Wizard-not lizard) would be stoked , way.
Comment by TJ September 25, 2008 @ 4:12 pmSeems that the Chevy Volt story changes almost daily, and not for the better. This quote is from a story on CNN:
“GM initially said the Volt would be able to run 40 miles on its lithium-ion batteries, with a small internal combustion engine recharging the batteries to extend the range hundreds of miles. A top executive said the same thing as recently as last week.
But company spokesman Rob Peterson said Wednesday that engineers changed the design so the Volt engine will power a generator that would run the electric motor after the batteries are depleted. A small amount of power from the generator will recharge the batteries, but most will be used to directly run the car, he said.
He said bypassing the batteries is more efficient, and GM did not intend to deceive people by maintaining that he motor would only be used to recharge the batteries.
“At the end of the day, to the consumer, the vehicle will operate much the same way,” he said.”
http://money.cnn.com/2008/09/25/news/companies/GM_plant.ap/index.htm?postversion=2008092511
By 2010 it will be a 6.5 litre V8 that gets 9 mpg!
All the best,
Chris H.
Martin sez:
Wow, that is really bad news. I have been so hopeful that GM would make a comeback with the Volt. This new millivolt is not going to do it for them.
I am going to bet they are having battery problems.
Comment by Chris Harvey September 25, 2008 @ 4:12 pmHow can intelligent people continue to allow the term “zero emission opertion” for electric car operation? How can people think that cheap electricity drawn from the grid at night will not be in one to one correspondence with coal?
This is worse than people thinking it will be ok to take out a mortgage loan without reading the paper.
Martin sez:
Man that is really dense, Jim. Do you take your paycheck in cash and carry around a wad of bills, or do you put it in the bank and withdraw money when you need it? If you use a bank, don’t you feel bad about living 100% off of other people’s earnings?
Comment by Jim Bullis September 25, 2008 @ 5:22 pmWikipedia info. says middle class= about 45% of population (housesholds making between $25,000 and $75,000)-more if want to make limit @ $100,000. This equals 50,700,000 households. With a big enough-huge- govt. program to bring prices on EV type cars, cheaper solar like Nanosolar, and home fuel cells down considerably via volume, a $10,000 “rebate” per household could , ultimately, go a long way-add to this maybe up to $5000 in state program money. Add in also maybe some cheap loan money, like 2% interest. At $10,000 that would be “only” like a $510 billion dollar program-paid out of course over years. In the end there would be many times that economic benefit “trickling down”. The govt. would also get money back via taxes on the companies making all the required gear, and companies installing it-and income taxes on all the people hired by these companies. So the govt. starts getting some of its money back from the beginning-and the money that the middle class saves on energy benefits the economy so that the govt. keeps getting even more tax money.
Comment by TJ September 25, 2008 @ 5:39 pmWhy we need the package deal of solar home/ solar power storage/EV cars worldwide, and the price is a steal: latest AP news item: “World co2 output increased 3% from 2006 to 2007. That’s an amount that exceeds the most dire outlook for c02 emissions projected by a Nobel-prize winning group of international scientists in 2007″ . Meanwhile “forests and oceans are sucking up c02 at lower rates than in the 20th century… figures show that China’s added emissions accounted for more than half the worldwide increase”. A scientist at Oak Ridge National lab said : “If we’re going to do something about reducing emissions it’s got to be different than what we’re doing”.
Comment by TJ September 25, 2008 @ 6:19 pm@Jim Bullis: In Northern California, most of the night time electric generation is hydro and nuclear. The rest is generated by power plants that have to keep burning fuel to keep them warm so they can start the next morning, whether they are generating any power or not. And none of it is coal. Is Northern California typical of the country? No, of course not. And “one to one correspondence with coal” simply isn’t universally accurate. (I don’t know if it is accurate anywhere; I don’t claim to know the details everywhere.)
Comment by Steve Uhlir September 25, 2008 @ 7:29 pm2007 U.S. co2 emissions info. (from U.S. Energy Information Admin.): 67% of co2 from building power (residential=21%,commercial=18%,industrial=28%), 33% of co2 from transport . So focusing on home solar for house and car would work on two big parts of the problem-and “installation in volume” would cheapen solar for commercial/industrial use-besides the “middle class trickle everywhere benefits” mentioned before.
Comment by TJ September 25, 2008 @ 10:21 pmChris, a photographer went out to the speed trials at the Bonneville salt flats, took a lot of photos of the people and cars, and then sent them to the folks involved. A guy I know got one of them, and his comment was “WHO IS THAT OLD MAN WHO IS WEARING MY CLOTHES?”
My question is, who is that crank writing your recent posts? Do you, like me, have an evil twin who sometimes posts in your name?
Are you sure that something important has changed in the Volt driveline? It sounded to me like they just corrected an innocent and obviously technically incorrect statement about what the motor and generator do after the batteries are depleted.
This site was started by an automobile enthusiast who loves high performance cars. I don’t think his intention was to try to punish and disparage people he didn’t like by using the energy and climate problems as a weapon.
The countless millions of good people who commute to work in cars are contributing a lot to climate and energy problems. Vehicle enthusiasts don’t add significantly to the problems, but many of them have been centrally involved in developing and promoting technical solutions.
The problems have a PR component. GM paid for the development of the modern electric car and started producing them, but you know what happened when well-meaning do-gooders tried to shove them down their throats.
Comment by Steve S. September 26, 2008 @ 1:39 amRe Steve Unlir,
Hydro can usually be stored to use during the day to reduced usage of expensive fuel and the inefficient peaking natural gas generators that are cut in for heavy loads. This is especially the case in Northern CA where the water is in reservoirs. If this is not the case, then there is a heavy government hand and an indirect tax on electricity users.
I recently found a site where forthright data is provided on power plant operation for the Province of Ontario. Unlike CA, where no end of trying has yielded nothing honest as to fuel usage, here is a hard data base to work with.
http://reports.ieso.ca/public/GenOutputCapability/PUB_GenOutputCapability_20080916.xml
From this you can see several interesting things about the schedules. They have price regulation of some form and they have public programs to try to reduce coal usage. This is much like CA. They have even more hydro than we do.
A special note, they have quite a lot of cogeneration, and it appears from a partial study that these are the natural gas generators that are run at night. This makes sense since this is the only way natural gas can compete with coal as fuel for electricity generation.
You are certainly correct about nuclear in CA running full tilt, day and night, and it shows in this data to be the same in Ontario.
Comment by Jim Bullis September 26, 2008 @ 9:11 amAnd Martin,
There are two events.
First event: you install solar panels and get your meter to run backwards. That is a good thing. Your credit in heaven is for the part that you paid, not what the public is giving you in a rebate.
Second event: They deliver a repaired Tesla. You have a choice to (1) take the Tesla and start charging it, and coal will be commensurately shoveled into a furnace somewhere, or (2)say “Thanks, but no thanks” to the Tesla and get a Prius instead. You keep $80,000. The CO2 comes out a little better. And no, don’t cobble in batteries in the Prius trunk.
When the Miastrada comes out, you can use $12,000 of that remaining $80,000 plus interest to buy one of these.
Of course people will laugh at you as you don’t fill up with gas.
Martin sez:
Yep. There are two events. You earn some money and deposit it in the bank. You get credit in heaven.
Then you go to the ATM and pull out a stack of 20’s that some other poor working stiff earned and deposited in the bank. Somebody had to bring those 20’s to the bank, you know. You are spending his hard earned money, you naughty mooch.
Jim, with or without any rebates, our solar array produces about 10 kWh per day more than our house plus our car uses. This means that we are actually reducing production by 10 kWh per day from the power company’s generators. Simple as that.
You can add on top of that the plain fact that the energy we generate during the day prevents the creation of the dirtiest energy from peaking power plants, while the energy we consume during the night is from the cleanest generating facilities – and facilities that more or less run continuously regardless of load – nuclear and hydro, as Steve U. pointed out.
Jim, I don’t mean to be too harsh on those of you who are honestly trying to do something about dirty energy consumption, but until you can actually manufacture and sell your Miastrada cars, you have nothing. As far as I can tell, all you have is a cartoon picture and some unsubstantiated claims. The Internet is awash with similar naive, hopeful schemes and inventor’s dreams that will never (usually can never) be realized. (I have a file folder of proposals from such inventors for cars that actually produce more energy than they use!)
Prove me wrong. Sell me for $12,000 (cheaper than a Hyundai Accent!) a DOT approved, safe production car that gets 200 mpg at 80 mph, and powers my house more efficiently than PG&E does while it’s at it. I’ve got my checkbook all warmed up Jim; let me know when you can deliver.
Comment by Jim Bullis September 26, 2008 @ 9:25 amRe my above answer to Steve,
I confused things by using CA for California, not Canada.
Also, clicking the link gets only one page. If you type it in you can get the whole year and more. This is an amazing resource.
Comment by Jim Bullis September 26, 2008 @ 9:43 am@Jim Bullis: Actually you’d be surprised at how much hydro can’t be stored. There are minimum flow rates required through the dams in order to avoid killing the wildlife in and around the rivers (downstream). This water can go through a turbine or straight down stream without generating anything, but the water flows at night, too. And the night time power generation in Northern California does have the mix I described.
Comment by Steve Uhlir September 26, 2008 @ 11:24 amFor the 20’s you yourself put in the bank, if you want to take credit on earth instead of heaven, that’s ok. Now you can take the 20’s out of the bank with interest. There is no mooching involved if you don’t try to take out a loan you can’t repay.
But I think the real question for solar systems is, “How much do they really cost?” And, “What fraction of their output will go to charging the car?” The fractional cost needs to be looked at in respect to the car cost. But I am not very concerned if rich people want to drive around in a hot looking car, but just a little envious.
I am more interested in large scale transportation issues. Here is where solar costs become interesting.
So on to “clean power” from nuclear and hydro. Is there reserve capacity in nuclear? I don’t think so. Most agree these are running full tilt, and can not be persuaded to do more. Is there reserve capacity in “minimum flow” hydro? I don’t think so. If there is, then the California Public is now getting fleeced. So the “clean power” now is supplemented by coal power. And that is the energy source that corresponds to use of electric energy in cars.
It really doesn’t matter when a few people plug in their Tesla’s. The issue becomes important when there are a lot of plug-ins. There is a big problem when the Tesla example leads to large numbers of inefficient electric cars, as seems to be the direction of the auto industry and there seems to be political support for this trend.
I should clarify that I think the Tesla is a real achievement. It is more efficient than conventional cars. However, at the present time it is not sufficiently efficient.
The problem with electrifying cars in general, where nothing much is done for efficiency, is that we are just shifting from one bad energy source to another. We could be greatly reducing energy usage overall, and then the source would no longer be all that important.
Comment by Jim Bullis September 26, 2008 @ 1:47 pmMartin,
I wish you could not classify Miastrada with perpetual motion machines. I am not quite that dumb.
Unsubstantiated is a bit overstated. An unusual feature of the Miastrada shape is that is the most thoroughly wind tunnel tested shape known. It was just done a long time ago. I am old enough to be happy about that. Look at Freeman, NACA Reports, 1933 for starters.
Look again at the Miastrada site. True, there are no photographs of Miastrada, but the pictures are renderings of almost complete, detailed 3D CAD engineering drawings. I guess the pretend people shown sitting in the car could be called cartoons.
You also might look at the tubular cage structure without side doors. The rear entry ramp is also a bit radical. But nice!!! I would rather be up high in a protective structure if someone tried to push me under a Mercedes Benz.
Naivity is a fair charge when it comes to me thinking people will go for Miastrada. I am slowly coming to grips with that problem. I appreciate your frank evaluation of some time ago.
But we are really talking about a whole different world. I make good use of lead acid batteries, both for weight and as a power source. Though if cheap Lithium-ions came along that would be great.
But as to getting DOT approval. That is a nightmare that will require more talent than I have. I am hoping to build only a demonstration model. The real car will depend on getting a real company together, such as you were able to do for Tesla.
So, you might well invest your $12K in longer term notes. I will grind along and see what happens.
Comment by Jim Bullis September 26, 2008 @ 2:14 pmThe Miastrada is kind of a big Aptera. That car is one different scheme that somehow came to life- over 3200 orders so far. I like it- if I were more rich , with a bigger garage & lived in Calif. I’d order one. On the Miastrada I’d for for 4 wheels, normal size or slightly large- wouldn’t 6 create more friction ? I did sketch once (once !) similar to the top of the Miastrada , airplane- like top (”if you recall”) but more sleek and less zeppelin- base was like a LeMans car-with center support short vertical ” fin” link between the two- “regular” gull wing or hinge forward (per Aptera) doors. The car looked quite (quite) nice-but an acquired taste, like the Aptera. Re. the great energy debate, solar and geothermal combined could kick the halibut out of the whole problem- in re. to buildings, and cars.
Comment by TJ September 26, 2008 @ 4:28 pmInspirational quote du jour, from Daniel Burnham-urban planner around end of 19th century: “Make no little plans. They have no magic to stir men’s blood and probably in themselves will not be realized. Make big plans. Aim high in hope and work, remembering that a noble, logical diagram,once recorded, will not die”. Some big plans thru the years: Teddy Roosevelt and the national parks, FDR and his new deal programs, Eisenhower and the interstate highway system, Robert Moses and all his civic works in New york City, JFK and the moon program. Of course the opportunity for big plans staring us right in the face now is green energy/tech. The fact that this isn’t the “talk of the country” a lot more than it is is pretty ( more than pretty) pathetic.
Comment by TJ September 26, 2008 @ 4:59 pmTJ
A lot of work went into the USS Akron airship leading up to the wind tunnel tests in 1933. Also, a lot of work went into the Morelli shape, which I perceive to be the Aptera without wheels, that was tested with results published in 1983. Both are very good aerodynamically with Cd of about .05.
I made slight modificiations to get the airship a little more sleek, but I hesitate to do much without having wind tunnel opportunities. I actually used Morelli rules to a limited extent so I am reasonably confident I didn’t mess it up.
Rolling resistance is mostly a function of total vehicle weight, and it has little to do with the number of wheels. But the six wheel system has a real purpose which is the articulated stabilizing system which does not get noticed immediately. This articulated system makes possible a tall and narrow vehicle which is dramatically different from the Aptera. I think it will be a much more pleasant ride. I also prefer to keep tandem seating and to provide substantial side structure and side impact zone which the Aptera does not have. Getting Aptera to pass side impact tests led to significant engineering work, they say, but I contend that this test is an artificial specification by the NTSB, where the side impact is with a broadside blunt ram.
But a good look shows that the Aptera is a very wide vehicle, and notice they avoid any statement of that width dimension, or so it was the last I looked.
But thanks for your observations which I take very seriously.
Comment by Jim Bullis September 26, 2008 @ 5:02 pmJim- I would give up a little in CD for the sake of great lines/proportions, “as required”. But if it looks really clean & slick it probably is, so no doubt not much CD loss required. Geothermal info.: two wikipedia sites- on “Renewable Energy” and “Future Costs of Nuclear Power”- say that projected nuke power cost would be 5.93 to 6.7 cents per kwh, and their studies quoted are like three years old-costs no doubt have risen due to use of steel and conc. by China. Projected future cost of geothermal is 1 to 8 cents per kwh. However-the west, and Nevada especially, has plenty of easily accessed geothermal sites. This power could be shipped all over the country. So if just developed in those parts of the country where “it’s conveniently at ” I would say the cost would be like 1 to 2 cents. Geothermal was projected as being the lowest cost renewable per the table on the wikipedia site- but this was tabulated before cheaper solar like Nanosolar appeared on the scene. Still, what with recent MIT study on big geothermal potential,it looks real good. Another website said that Germany has 150 geothermal plants in the works- to compliment their “in the vanguard” position on solar energy. Their latest plant also uses ammonia (recycled, no doubt, along with the water) to somehow boost the energy from the turbines. Who knows what could be done with geothermal- if the projection is 1 to 8 cents I would say there could/should be some tech. developments, if pushed, that could make that like 1 to 3 cents.
Comment by TJ September 26, 2008 @ 7:52 pmHi Steve S.,
it’s good to hear from you again. I was beginning to think you had left us.
Regarding my recent posts on the Volt: the last post was almost entirely cut & pasted from the CNN story, only about two lines of it were my own writing. I think that the CNN article represented more than a correction of a technically incorrect statement, it appears to be a new characteristic of the power train. In fact, given this new information, I’m not sure that it can still be classified as a serial hybrid (I’d be interested in hearing other people’s opinions on this point).
As for the other post where I referred to the Volt as a red herring (I think that’s the comment you were referring to…), well, it’s just my opinion, based on their use of the Volt as more of a marketing tool for the company, or as a federal fund-raiser tool, rather than as a sincere attempt to produce an efficient PHEV. Again, it’s just one man’s opinion, and not the last word on the subject by any stretch of the imagination.
Anyway, it’s good to hear from you again. How’s the housebuilding in Florida going?
All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey September 26, 2008 @ 7:58 pmSteve S.,
I just read the CNN article over again, and I think you might be right. I may have misinterpreted it. It says:
“A small amount of power from the generator will recharge the batteries, but most will be used to directly run the car, he said.”
Which, for some reason, I interpreted as meaning that the ICE would be driving the wheels directly. Now that I re-read it, I see that it probably means that the electricity from the generator will be used to power the electric motor, and some of it will go to the battery. Thanks for pointing that out. I guess I must’ve been tired when I first read it
.
All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey September 26, 2008 @ 8:14 pmBill Moyer’s PBS show has author Andrew Bacevitch on who says, basically, that the decline of U.S. policy / progressiveness, overall, started after JFK with Vietnam war. He says that Carter, as a brief “respite” , raised the red flag of oil, energy dependency and green energy (and talked about an important long term crusade) but no one wanted to hear it. Also, he said that while Reagan talked about smaller govt. (like JFK) both govt. and deficit increased under him. What needs to happen is that the progressive tech. set-guys like Martin- needs to rise in influence to swamp the bad elements of the country. For example, the Google guys should have even bigger plans than they have now-whatever the plans are. The more they make the more the can invest in all things really progressive. I also think Bill Gates is too fixated on “the third world” . He (Buffet, Allen-the usual whoevers) should also invest in green tech. here- green power this country and costs would go down to green power poorer countries, and this overall would lead to good trickle down benefits. Once over the initial cost hump of green tech. it would no longer require the help of people like him and govt.. What’s the time frame of this hump -looks like 10 years or less to me, with a real push from all those with the cash/resources to really help.
Comment by TJ September 26, 2008 @ 9:00 pmI realize my thinking can seem a bit grandiose, but here is some relevant information that explains how I have been thinking:
http://blog.wired.com/cars/2008/09/worlds-fastest.html?cid=132487850#comment-132487850
My comments there with edits are:
After seeing a steady stream of bicycle and motorcycle accidents, Miastrada started as an alternative that would have something like the narrow shape advantages. Then the aerodynamic shaping process adapted something like this ideal shape to the Miastrada wheel system.
So now it is a motor powered variation of the above pictured bicycle, and it should easily go 80 MPH without the need for a person to pedal it.
It is very interesting that drag of this body of revolution shape does not seem to be seriously increased by the ground effect, as is the presumption in car design aerodynamics.
Posted by: Jim Bullis | Sep 27, 2008 1:57:53 PM
Scott, I agree that this is a great achievement, both technical and physical. That 400 watts is better than half a horsepower, which is a lot for a person, but a lot less than the 75,000 watts (100 hp) needed to drive even our smaller cars.
Technically it validates the idea that high speed travel is indeed possible with very low power. My reaction is that we should be able to engineer a motorized vehicle that uses these principles, and thus get to a vehicle that most people can use. A vehicle under development, Miastrada, is an example of how that might come out. It is not that complicated and nothing new is needed except a purpose built configuration.
Now maybe we can try to think about a project for American industry that could end dependence on foreign oil and substantially solve global warming. Oh yes, it even could bail out the economy in a real way.
Posted by: Jim Bullis | Sep 27, 2008 2:09:46 PM
Comment by Jim Bullis September 27, 2008 @ 1:20 pmMartin, I think I have the same file of proposals as you. I would love to share the history of these failed ideas and dreams.
Once in a while, you get the chance to help make one of these dreams a reality. In my case, it was with the Aptera.
Since I have one on order, we should to a ride swap…
One thing that really gets me, as a designer, is most people don’t understand the difference between “design” and “style”. If
you do a careful analysis of the Aptera, you will not find any style in it. Most ventures sadly miss out on a key piece of strategy in creating “the vehicle that can change the world!”, to their continual detriment. Why do you think the Tesla, the Fisker Karma, and the Aptera are being taken so seriously (with funding and orders to prove it!) ??? All 3 recognize design from the beginning, not style added after the fact.
Jim, you are correct about the known Morelli shape vis a vis the Aptera.
Anyway, love your color and stripe choice on your roadster. I will keep my eyes out for it in Socal.
J
Comment by Jason September 27, 2008 @ 3:49 pmChris, thanks for the kind words. I’ve been preoccupied by employment lately on a few very pressing projects, even pulling several all-nighters. The GM staff working on the Volt evidently hasn’t been that dedicated, because the new show car which recently appeared at AltCar Expo was still minus its battery pack and gas engine. It did have a small battery pack so it could move itself a little.
The new Volt design looks pretty good to my eye, and I’m optimistic about its future. I do have a few nitpicks, but I’ve been keeping them to myself because I suspect that Martin may have something to do with GM after the non-compete expires. He openly expressed his intention to buy a Volt, even before the new design was released, and is no doubt aware that several other interesting EVs and hybrids will be on the market by the time the Volt appears.
OK, here’s one nit: the big grille (emblematic of a big radiator to cool a big powerful gas engine)is blanked off because it isn’t necessary. For a landmark car, avoiding dishonesty in design would seem desirable. On the other hand, it’s no Dodge pickup. And the ‘56 and ‘57 Corvettes that I drove and liked so much survived their little fake airscoops on the tops of the fenders.
I didn’t make it to AltCar because of the expense and annoyance of the air travel experience, but I’m eager for news about it.
Here’s a link: http://www.evworld.com/news.cfm?newsid=19303 about a Hyundai highway capable electric car to be sold in New Zealand starting at the end of this year.
“The Getz is a retro-fit electric car, meaning that the batteries and electric motor are fitted to the car after the petrol engine is taken out. This process will be undertaken in New Zealand.”
Evidently Hyundai of New Zealand will do the conversion. It seems very odd that they would take out the gas engine, gas tank, etc. and ship them back to Korea, instead of just shipping a glider in the first place. Maybe that’s what they’re doing and the article is a little misleading.
Back to work.
Comment by Steve S. September 27, 2008 @ 11:39 pmIncidentally, the Hyundai Getz is the first automobile to be named after a jazz musician, unless you try to include the Miles. Go, Korea!
I have to admit that I would have named it the Coltrane, or even Desmond instead.
Comment by Steve S. September 27, 2008 @ 11:53 pmHere is a long story on the Getz and the link to the manufacturer:
Blade Electric
These guys plan to have volumes reaching 1000s of cars on the roads next year
Comment by kert September 28, 2008 @ 1:49 amQuick details on the Hyundai conversion : Lithium phosphate batteries ( ThunderSky ) 18kWh, Azure Dynamics 3-phase AC drive, highway speeds and ~100km urban range. Price tag is still a tad high, but hey, being early adopter has never been cheap.
Comment by kert September 28, 2008 @ 1:56 amIMHO this spells “success”, they already have local organizations as small fleet customers.
Kert, thanks. Great information! I’d buy one of the cars instantly. By the way, I found that in July of this year the Australian dollar was worth .985 US dollars.
Comment by Steve S. September 28, 2008 @ 6:29 amI don’t understand why everyone has been being so hard on the volt. The engine will still run at constant rpm with the battery acting as a load leveler. Why would anyone want the battery to be charged while driving? You want as much energy as possible coming from the grid, not gasoline.
Comment by D Wade September 28, 2008 @ 6:43 amThe Volt, drawing power from coal burning power plants running at 33% thermal efficiency, should be compared with the Prius, powered by a gasoline engine that runs at 36% to 38% thermal efficiency (Argonne Nat. Lab. tests). The result is that they come out about even in overall thermal efficiency, but the Volt comes up short in CO2 emissions. We should not be financing the re-tooling by GM and cohorts with $25 billion to build this inferior product.
Comment by Jim Bullis September 28, 2008 @ 12:27 pmD, the reasons why people are hard on the Volt could fill many paragraphs. The short answer is that people don’t trust GM for a lot of reasons, including the EV-1 debacle, and the fact that they seem to be dragging their feet on the Volt. Their public-spirited actions always seem to be a few years into the future. We’ll all trust GM again when a thousand or so Volts, sold and not leased, to private individuals, are driving around. Personally, I think GM management is serious about making the Volt happen. Some folks think that GM ownership has a lot to do with oil money, which affects their actions. I’m still outraged by GM acquiring a controlling interest in Ovonics (now Cobasys}, the inventor and owner of key NiMH battery patents, and then selling it to Texaco (now Chevron) which pretty much killed the development of pure electric vehicles for years, until lithium ion batteries were developed for the electronics industry, and then adapted to vehicle use by a brilliant young engineer.
You’re right about wanting the battery pack to be charged from the grid, except that a certain amount of battery charge on the highway would be desirable for helping the small 1.4 liter gas engine, with its efficiency penalty caused by the generator – motor link, drive the car up long hills.
As nearly as I can tell, the motoring press recently tried to point out that the difference between the Volt and other hybrids is that the gasoline engine never drives the wheels. A GM guy, in the interest of accuracy, pointed out that most of the power from the gas engine is used to drive the wheels, through the electric motor. A certain amount of confusion resulted.
Comment by Steve S. September 28, 2008 @ 1:24 pmSteve, thank you for the response. I was referring to the technological aspect of the volt. IMHO the Volt’s drivetrain, based on everything I have heard, still acts as a serial hybrid and sounds like the most efficient way to run. It seems like a lot of people who did like the volt have changed there minds because the generator doesn’t only recharge the battery. Is this due only to confusion as to what that means, or a real inadequacy with the volts operating scheme?
Comment by D Wade September 28, 2008 @ 1:42 pmWith a plug-in serial hybrid (like the Volt), equivalent fuel mileage will be so dependent on how you drive it. For someone who only drives 30 miles per day and always plugs it in, 100MPG equivalent seems believable. At the other extreme, someone who never plugs it in and does a highway commute on gas only would (IMHO) be lucky if they could even get close to 40MPG.
Certainly there will be some people with very long commutes who buy it by mistake, and/or those who find that they didn’t actually have a convenient place to plug it in, but hopefully most will fit the profile of the short range daily driver who makes sure to plug in every night. In that case the behavior when the battery pack is exhausted is somewhat irrelevant.
Comment by TEG September 28, 2008 @ 3:11 pmJim I replied to your comment , and other stuff (some auto industry related) , but it got lost in ozone-or deleted: too off-topic and /or controversial. Found some interesting info. on govt./ regulatory roots of the current financial meltdown, but typing may be a waste of time-so won’t mention it.
Comment by TJ September 28, 2008 @ 10:00 pmJim- yeah Bacevich sez that the country in many ways “lost the scent” decades ago-and he’s right. Bill Moyers and Tom Friedman of the N.Y. Times are two of the best commentators out there. Just saw clip of Gore on T.V.- he was saying that green is (everything) good (”for lack of a better word”)- and THE “solution in question”, economic and otherwise. He is, of course highly right-a continuing trend there. I’m doing my part by e-mailing Sen. Reid and giving Harry hell (kind of) with detailed green facts to back it up -which he should pass along, Truman style. Sure, he no doubt ain’t reading any of it himself -but someone(s) on his staff is-and, per the Trickle DownTheory (beloved by Phil Gramm-who in ‘99 helped to get us into this current crisis and so enabled us to become a “nation of whiners”), we can only hope for good results over time, no ?
Comment by TJ September 28, 2008 @ 10:24 pmJim-what !?- now your last post lost in ozone too? !-shades of Tesla Motors site moderation-well, not quite that bad.
Comment by TJ September 28, 2008 @ 10:43 pmTEG sez:
Certainly there will be some people with very long commutes who buy it by mistake, and/or those who find that they didn’t actually have a convenient place to plug it in, but hopefully most will fit the profile of the short range daily driver who makes sure to plug in every night. In that case the behavior when the battery pack is exhausted is somewhat irrelevant.
Comment by wayward September 28, 2008 @ 10:48 pmWouldn’t someone with a long commute still benefit from the Volt if the made sure to plug it in every night? Seems to me an 80 mile commute would be a lot cheaper, and more friendly to the environment, if the first 40 miles of it were all electric.
Well, yeah, I was just pointing out the extremes. Your mileage may vary.
Once you have drained the pack, and are at highway speeds, you would be better off with a Prius style direct coupling between gas engine and driveline.
Comment by TEG September 28, 2008 @ 11:10 pmTo me it seems the Volt is going with the “true serial hybrid” (gas engine only ever runs the generator) so they could claim it was an EV not a PHEV. Volt technology is great for around town and short commutes, but long highway commutes will start to favor alternatives like the Prius.
Turning a generator to make electricity to run through an inverter and eMotor just adds efficiency losses for long cruising. Also, I recall that the eMotor was supposed to be more powerful than the gas engine, so if the battery pack is drained, you may run into long uphill situations where you get power limited.
TEG, great answer! I get caught up in techno-geek fine points, and assume other people are familiar with all the technical details.
D, as far as I know nothing important, if anything, has changed with the Volt driveline. I know of no technical reason to not buy a Volt, for anyone with a place to plug it in and without a very long commute. The gripe most of us have with the Volt is that it isn’t coming to showrooms soon enough to suit us. Hopefully, millions will be sold, along with other cars that get most of their power from plugging in.
Comment by Steve S. September 28, 2008 @ 11:47 pmbut long highway commutes will start to favor alternatives like the Prius.
Comment by kert September 29, 2008 @ 1:35 amOnly as long as you think traditional piston engines. There are more efficient ways of burning gas for energy than Priuses Atkinson cycle. Microturbines, linear combustion engines, Stirling engines etc may all work out as alternatives for future series hybrids, and are utterly unsuitable for direct mechanical coupling with drive train.
wayward, by the time the Volt shows up the factory Toyota plug-in Prius will be available. For the relatively few people with very long commutes, it will take advantage of the all-electric miles you mentioned in addition to better depleted-battery efficiency. Toyota has test fleets of them already running around, contrasted with a Volt show car minus an engine and proper battery pack. However, the Volt should be very competitive for its main intended use, and we can expect a big demand for all plug-in cars.
kert, any alternative gasoline-fueled power sources will face very tough sledding for long vehicle commutes, due to the importance of light weight, low cost, small packaging size, and proven reliability; and to the efficiency penalty of the generator – motor drive.
Comment by Steve S. September 29, 2008 @ 4:41 amHi guys, I have been following teslafounders for some time as I have an interest in electric cars and alternative energy, but this is my first post. I wondered if anyone is following the Chinese car manufacturer BYD. They have some duel mode cars coming out soon, as well as, an all electric in 2009. Does anyone think the Chinese will enter the U.S. market with these duel mode/electric cars anytime soon?
Below is an excerpt from Gas2.0.
BYD(Build Your Dreams) is China’s largest battery maker, and moving into the automotive industry. BYD’s first plug-in hybrid planned for the Chinese market will be the F6DM mid-sized sedan in the second half of 2008, and use lithium iron phosphate batteries. Its top speed is expected to be be 100 mph, with a range of 62 miles in all-electric mode and 267 miles total after the gas engine kicks in. A fully electric version called the F6E is planned for 2009. The F6E will be a 5 seater sedan with a top speed of 100 mph, range of 186 miles per charge, and expected battery lifetime of 2,000 cycles, or 373,000 miles.
The company is following this up with the impressive F3DM, which will be smaller, less expensive (selling for around $14,000 in China), and the company claims will have up to a 100 mile range in electric-only mode. The F6DM styling is being compared to a Toyota Camry, while the F3DM (pictured above) is similar to a Corolla.
Currently BYD plans to sell the cars exclusively in China, expanding sales to Europe in 2-3 years. However, Portland is trying to entice the company to bring the cars to the United States.
BYD envisions eventually selling the F3DM and F6DM in the North American market. The cars would likely will sell in the US for $25,000 to $30,000.
http://gas2.org/2008/09/12/portland-attempts-to-woo-chinese-plug-in-and-electric-car-maker-byd/
P.S. Martin, you’re a genius!
Martin sez:
Yes, I have been watching BYD for many years, particularly after they bought a Chinese car company about 4 years ago.
Interesting news in Automotive News today:
Comment by Jimmy Banks September 29, 2008 @ 5:54 amlight weight, low cost, small packaging size, and proven reliability
Yes, and for this task rotary engines for example are better match than piston engines ( way better power to weight, less moving parts ).
Once you are free of the torque curve requirements of mechanical drive train, the trade space really opens up.
Martin sez:
Unfortunately, the rotary engine is if anything a bit less fuel efficient than its piston counterpart.
Comment by kert September 29, 2008 @ 6:11 am[i]# kert wrote:
## There are more efficient ways of burning gas for energy than Priuses Atkinson cycle. Microturbines, linear combustion engines, Stirling engines etc may all work out as alternatives for future series hybrids, and are utterly unsuitable for direct mechanical coupling with drive train.[/i]
Another “moot point” since the Volt isn’t using any of those technologies. Why not? Isn’t GM trying to make the Volt as efficient as possible? Trying to outdo the Prius however possible?
[i]# Steve S replied:
## kert, any alternative gasoline-fueled power sources will face very tough sledding for long vehicle commutes, due to the importance of light weight, low cost, small packaging size, and proven reliability[/i]
Don’t forget emissions and noise. Those rule out a lot of other seemingly good technologies. Also, if it burns gas it needs to be compatible with catalytic converters and needs to get up to proper temp quickly so the catalytic converter can work quickly. Also, having a “foreign” engine technology could be a regulatory hassle and be a problem in finding service stations familiar with doing service on them.
How about this [url=http://www.greencarcongress.com/2007/07/liquidpiston-cl.html]HEHC-Cycle engine?[/url] or a [url=http://www.greencarcongress.com/2007/04/gm_unveils_seco.html]Fuel Cell[/url] (hey we went full circle here)? Recall the Volt was really just a spin-off of fuel cell research and you understand why it is a serial hybrid.
Martin sez:
I am actually optimistic about Solid Oxide Fuel Cells (SOFCs) for this purpose. It seems feasible to build one with an internal reformer that runs on gasoline or (more easily) propane. These should be silent and more than twice as efficient as the best combustion engine/generator technology.
Often cited as a problem with SOFCs is their startup time, because they must run hot (hotter than 600 degrees C). But in a series hybrid, this is not a big deal – the control system knows far in advance when the battery will be depleted.
There is still work to be done to create a SOFC design suitable for automotive use, though.
Comment by TEG September 29, 2008 @ 6:55 amHere is a recent story mentioning GMs desire to get the Volt rated as 100MPG to outdo the Prius.
Comment by TEG September 29, 2008 @ 7:23 amUnfortunately, the rotary engine is if anything a bit less fuel efficient than its piston counterpart.
Im not sure if this is universally true, if designed for constant RPM/best efficiency. Freedom Motors for instance claim better efficiency and lower emissions over their piston competition.
And turbines definitely beat pistons in efficiency and power-to-weight, its the cost where they fall short.
Martin sez:
One surprising issue with a series hybrid such as the Volt is that you really can’t run the engine at constant rpm all the time because it will be too loud when the car is stopped or moving slowly. For aesthetic reasons, the car must be designed to throttle the engine way back in these circumstances. The engine/generator must therefore be designed to work reasonably efficiently all the way down to idle.
Just imagine a car stopped at a red light or cruising through a quiet neighborhood with its engine cranked up to 5,000 rpm!
Comment by kert September 29, 2008 @ 7:50 amUnfortunately, the rotary engine is if anything a bit less fuel efficient than its piston counterpart.
+1
A couple of guys I know that own Rx-8s constantly complain about their low fuel efficiency. Of course, these guys are mostly tuners that have modified their Mazdas for speed, so maybe they are not a good data sample.
Comment by Gabe September 29, 2008 @ 8:08 amWith BYD Company now out there, it’s really going to be something by 2010 or so. What’s next ? Martin started a coming tidal wave-not forgetting Alan Cocconi with his original t-Zero car (the “original” wave generator) either.
Comment by T.J. September 29, 2008 @ 9:33 amYeah-tidal wave, meaning “sea change”. Right now it’s out at sea and not noticeable to many. They’ll notice when it hits the shore. So “Frisky” Buffet puts $230 million into BYD. There was sole guy to have invested in Tesla Motors from the start. He stays out of managing the companies he invests in. But he was in Nebraska and Martin was in Calif.-and never the twain did meet.
Comment by T.J. September 29, 2008 @ 11:24 am(Fixing formatting… Mixed up VBB and WordPress)
# kert wrote:
## There are more efficient ways of burning gas for energy than Priuses Atkinson cycle. Microturbines, linear combustion engines, Stirling engines etc may all work out as alternatives for future series hybrids, and are utterly unsuitable for direct mechanical coupling with drive train.
Another “moot point” since the Volt isn’t using any of those technologies. Why not? Isn’t GM trying to make the Volt as efficient as possible? Trying to outdo the Prius however possible?
# Steve S replied:
## kert, any alternative gasoline-fueled power sources will face very tough sledding for long vehicle commutes, due to the importance of light weight, low cost, small packaging size, and proven reliability
Don’t forget emissions and noise. Those rule out a lot of other seemingly good technologies. Also, if it burns gas it needs to be compatible with catalytic converters and needs to get up to proper temp quickly so the catalytic converter can work quickly. Also, having a “foreign” engine technology could be a regulatory hassle and be a problem in finding service stations familiar with doing service on them.
How about this HEHC-Cycle engine? or a Fuel Cell (hey we went full circle here)? Recall the Volt was really just a spin-off of fuel cell research and you understand why it is a serial hybrid.
Comment by TEG September 29, 2008 @ 2:08 pm# Martin sez:
## I am actually optimistic about Solid Oxide Fuel Cells (SOFCs)…
It would be nice to see SOFCs in home heating (and power applications). Wouldn’t that be great if your water heater and central heating were providing electricity whenever they run?
Slow startup times aren’t an issue there either since your central heat and water heater can be slow to respond.
Perhaps a mobile SOFC unit could “range extend” an EV on the road, but also home SOFC (and/or Solar) could recharge the batteries when parked at home.
Martin sez:
I bet that a small SOFC can never reach the efficiency of the better utility-scale electric generators. But the best way to charge up at home is with solar – completely eliminate the hydrocarbon fuels and the CO2 emissions.
Comment by TEG September 29, 2008 @ 2:18 pmMartin-yeah- solar is IT for home use, especially in like 2/3’s of the country. Hope that that supposedly cheaper MIT Nocera Lab fuel cell pans out. Then the last piece of the puzzle is there, assuming later Nanosolar comes in as cheap as advertised. With BYD and Hyundai coming in, and Th!nk Cars, there’s got to be a cheaper EV on hand in a few years. Technically it’s all coming together in a perfect storm ? Germany is already set to really take advantage of the storm-what with the price of gas there and their continuing major solar installing of Nanosolar and First Solar product. Warren (”Full Course”) Buffet is IT for investment use-except his M.O. is to buy into companies with a track record, as far as I know. He would have been the preferred solo Tesla investor fer sure.
Comment by TJ September 29, 2008 @ 5:44 pmAptera now has orders for 3600 cars, last I heard it was 3200. They also hired CEO who was Saleen CEO and a development guy who used to work on Dodge Viper & Ford GT programs, also a marketing guy who worked at BMW and Audi. Newsletter said they are moving into new facility and hired 21 people, and made a number of improvements to car- I see it now has a small side window. I wonder if they are sketching anything on a future four wheel car. Google invested another $2.75 million in Aptera. They have a philanthropic website, Google.org, that I didn’t know of. They’re doing a lot of things- this company I like. Philanthropic branch of Google has $2 billion in funds.
Comment by TJ September 29, 2008 @ 9:52 pmFor over a century, a huge amount of ingenuity has been applied to trying to improve the gasoline engine, without much real impact. It doesn’t cost much to try out an idea, so many thousands have been tested.
One promising area is trying to capture the wasted heat from the exhaust and radiator. A scheme that interests me from a fun engineering standpoint is the six cycle engine, which squirts water onto the piston when it comes up again after the conventional power stroke. The water boils, cools the piston and combustion chamber, and provides a steam power stroke. A different camshaft arrangement would be necessary. However, the idea would be easy to implement on the GM 2-stroke diesel, choosing either fuel or water to inject in any desired sequence. Incidentally, now that direct gasoline injection has been well developed, a gasoline version of the GM 2-stroke would be fun for engineers to toy with.
Here’s a good absolutely free idea, in the unlikely event that someone else hasn’t thought of it, for the Volt engine: use a turbocharger exhaust turbine to power an electric generator (alternator) instead of a supercharger turbine. The Prius could use it too.
The Achilles heel of the Wankel rotary engine is poor fuel economy. All of the other problems have been solved, and, as has been pointed out, it has wonderful simplicity and excellent power to weight and size ratios. But it has poor fuel efficiency, and a huge amount of effort failed to find a solution.
Gas turbines for automobiles are much worse for fuel efficiency. It’s been tried, by Chrysler and others, with elaborate heat exchangers, etc. In school I personally did measurements and calculations for a Rover gas turbine for a class. Disgusting efficiency, but it made a fabulous sound.
The SOFC idea is very intriguing, especially the microtube configuration, but the high temperatures (over 1100 degrees F) and fairly exotic (although not horribly expensive) materials would seem to make it a very tricky R & D project. I have some ideas about how some research prototypes might be fabricated, but it looks like BMW and others are already hot on the job.
Remember, the Volt is designed to primarily run on its batteries, charged by plugging in, and to use the gas engine as little as possible. And cost is a huge factor in marketing the car. The natural target for improvement effort would be the batteries.
Comment by Steve S. September 29, 2008 @ 10:52 pmSteve S.,
As usual, you are ignorant of the facts. The rotary engine has now been developed into a “compound” configuration by Moller International, with additional modifications to eliminate “quench” of the air/fuel mixture along the combustion chamber walls to yield high efficiency, low emissions, low noise and cool exhaust temperatures:
http://www.moller.com/files/Breakthrough.pdf
Comment by Jason M. Hendler September 30, 2008 @ 7:08 amMore commentary on ICE based series hybrids here
Comment by TEG September 30, 2008 @ 9:32 amLots of good comments about turbines, both pros and cons, and particularly their suitability for series hybrids.
Comment by kert September 30, 2008 @ 9:53 amMaybe Actacell or QuantumSphere or someone can make a Li-ion battery so good that back-up power for a plug-in hybrid will be a not much used afterthought. Don’t know what Martin will do next-but Tesla idea sure was a nice, neat sitting duck of an idea-or more like a sitting t-Zero. Also, it was of a “people can relate to big” type as well . Will be hard to match that.
Comment by T.J. September 30, 2008 @ 2:47 pmFinancial pundits are saying that this meltdown, being a nice last straw, will effect the avg. U.S. standard of living for years to come-which is just what we need now that “coming soon to your neighborhood” people could be adopting green tech. for home and highway use- but it takes green to go green , per the Gordon Gecko axiom. But-don’t get me started ! (or Martin will be forced to hit the delete button).
Comment by TJ September 30, 2008 @ 3:59 pmHere’s the best new thing some VC types could do-barring some genius style green tech. breakthru item: start the “Bank of Green”, like the New Resource Bank of San Fran., but much more. Anyone with the brains to want to go green should make a good to great credit risk. Get a lot of foreign money in this bank too- since they have most of the spare cash now anyway. People would just need to take some of the ongoing savings they’d get via green car and home power to pay back the bank. With the “sea green home and car power tidal wave” on its way, no doubt New Resource Bank will get in on this.
Comment by TJ September 30, 2008 @ 5:11 pmPlanning must be underway for the announcement in two years of the “Gecko Green Bank” dealing exclusively in funding for the Extreme Home Makeover Green Improvement Package (Green car/solar/fuel cell)- a branch of the New Resource Bank, funded by Warren Buffet, Google.org, Gates Fdn. and more. A minimal or non-profit operation that plows most money back in, would be convenient-seeking returns thru high volume over a long time.
Comment by TJ October 1, 2008 @ 8:24 pmCNET News: Google CEO Schmidt announced a plan to “eliminate coal and oil use in the U.S. in 22 years”. He said that U.S. political leadership has totally failed. Ausra Solar just got $60.0 million in new funding from three sources- to go with $25.5 mill. in Aug. and $30 mill. in Feb. One of the sources was ” ‘Generation Investment Management’ of London, whose chairman is Al Gore”. Also, the Ausra V.P. left to “push for renewable energy policies, including those of Obama”. Schmidt is also an Obama advisor. “In unrelated news” (totally) they found ID cards of flyer Steve Fosset where I thought he went down: eastern slopes of the Sierra Nevada, near Mammoth Lakes- (2 1/2 miles from “the Minarets” mountain peaks, of “Ansel Adams scenic quality” -which would look especially nice from an airplane- perhaps !? ). Yes, just as I thought (Hercule): what he was doing was swinging back near the mountains doing some sightseeing on the way home, not knowing of the major downdrafts happening especially there. Would have been low on gas, so if he went into the forest around there and a fire didn’t start you’d never see the plane. Could have crashed in jagged rocks too. A witness heard a plane nearby at the time in the area-yep, that was him. Tiny planes near major league mountains with winds coming off the Pacific Ocean- bad combo/ bad move- natural selection/culling the herd at work again.
Comment by TJ October 1, 2008 @ 9:18 pmFor those who don’t know The Minarets-check out google search of “The Minarets in the Sierra Nevada”. I wouldn’t get anywhere near that in a small plane if I wanted to stay among the herd.
Comment by TJ October 1, 2008 @ 9:45 pmOver on the TM site there’s a new blog entry on VP11’s trip out to Seattle to see the Microsoft boys, one of which apparently almost blew past the cones in the parking lot and would have ended up sideways in the street. Although they don’t name the driver, I think it might have been Paul Allen, who was apparently there.
All of this in preparation for the Seattle store due to open sometime next year.
Comment by Gabe October 2, 2008 @ 6:29 amNews (from “Greentechmedia”): green tech. VC money in 3rd quarter= $2.8 billion, more than double the prior quarter, with solar tech.= $1.5 billion. Total green tech. VC investment this year= $5.09 billion- 49.7% increase over last year. Sharp Electronics plans to increase its thin-film solar manufacturing capacity by 6 fold by 2014. Sharp, with 2 other companies, is also working on Li-ion batteries with up to 40 times the storage capacity of laptop type batteries- to be used for storage of home solar power. This could compete with fuel cells (?)
Comment by T.J. October 2, 2008 @ 2:37 pmOMG Franz-Joseph Paefgen Chief executive, Bentley is in for a shock, excuse the pun
. Read his comments below taken from a BBC news item about Italian contract carmaker and engineering firm Pininfarina unveiling an own-badged electric car at the Paris motor show.
“For the car industry as a whole, however, electric cars offer no silver bullet, according to Bentley’s chief executive Franz-Joseph Paefgen.
Sure, solutions must be found to reduce oil dependency, cut emissions and improve efficiency, he acknowledges.
But to push electric cars beyond their rather worthy niche, batteries must be 500% better than they were during the 1990s – the last time electric sockets featured seriously in the electric automotive debate.
Instead, in spite of a string of advances, they still have not exceeded a delivery far beyond 50% more than they did a decade ago and as such are not really viable, he insists.
“We have this hype again,” Dr Paefgen cries.
“It is not very likely that you will see any electric car with a range of more than 50 miles in the next five years.”"
The full article can be read here http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7649656.stm
Comment by Mark Tebbutt October 2, 2008 @ 6:06 pmBBC News: Italian car design firm Pininfarina is coming out with their own brand name EV car-introducing at Paris auto show-neat looking, kind of techy little car. Paolo Pininfarina sez: “The car is real” . Batteries are “lithium metal polymer”. He says they will sell the car in europe, Japan and U.S. by end of 2010. Mine more lithium! Mine more lithium! (I must go prospecting in the desert-what does “lithium ore” look like anyway ?)
Comment by TJ October 2, 2008 @ 8:59 pmDid Google image search on Pininfarina car-nothing out there yet. Front view on BBC News website looks quite nice, wonder if back is suitably zippy as well ? -looks to be about Mini Cooper size. I wouldn’t mind having one of these cars.
Comment by TJ October 2, 2008 @ 9:06 pmJason, welcome back! I heard that you even went missing from the Volt site a while back, and I was afraid you had lost interest.
I almost didn’t see your post because some guy keeps writing one stream-of-consciousness post after another and filling up the latest comments display.
Did you see that my prediction came true that the Chairman’s spacecraft would reach orbit? I knew he had hired a lot of bright and experienced guys, but the truth is that I was as surprised as anyone that their success happened so soon.
What do you think of that Bullis guy? He certainly has none of your wit and style.
I did some looking into my idea about using a supercharger exhaust turbine on a Prius or Volt engine, but using it to power a high speed generator to charge the batteries or provide extra power to the electric motor, instead of a supercharger.
From aircraft engine data on centrifugal and turbocharger blowers I found about a 20% upper limit on efficiency increase, which probably translates to about 10% at most in the real world. That sounds like a lot, but would only increase the overall efficiency by about 3 percent numbers, e.g. from 30% to 33%. That would translate to only about a 3 to 5 mpg improvement on the two cars I mentioned, and result in considerable development and a fairly expensive and somewhat complex system. The plug-in economy increase is much more interesting.
You no doubt saw this Wiki paragraph:
Aside from being used for internal combustion engines, the basic Wankel design has also been utilized for air compressors, and superchargers for internal combustion engines, but in these cases, although the design still offers advantages in reliability, the basic advantages of the Wankel in size and weight over the four-stroke internal combustion engine are irrelevant. In a design using a Wankel supercharger on a Wankel engine, the supercharger is twice the size of the engine.
The compound Wankel idea sounded so bogus on its face (an inefficient supercharger on an inefficient engine) that I didn’t even look it up in Wiki until today. Evidently a straightforward compound engine would weigh nearly three times as much and take up nearly three times as much space as the same horsepower turbo Wankel. However, as we say in aerospace, you don’t need to actually do anything to be a success. You just have to get funded.
We all know that Mazda isn’t stupid about Wankel engineering. However, it’s amazing to me that they read the market so well and made such a wonderful success with the Miata (and whatever they call it now), and dropped the ball so badly with the RX series cars.
They would have gotten a lot more traction with a supercar with a circa 500 hp four rotor engine and very poor fuel economy, instead of a car with mediocre power and poor fuel economy.
Interesting times!
Comment by Steve S. October 2, 2008 @ 10:48 pmSteve S., which Jason are you responding too? Of course, in my view, there is no other. Not sure what you are on about with your response above.
Jason
Comment by Jason October 3, 2008 @ 7:35 amJason, I was responding to the comment about 14 posts before yours. Been visiting here long?
Comment by Steve S. October 3, 2008 @ 8:06 amJason,
Steve S. was talking to Jason M. Hendler. They have a history. Recently, they were on break from each other but apparently have come “back, here at the turn of the tide.”
I genuinely like them (or at least their online personas) both a lot, and the adult angst that will no doubt spew forth is lots of fun to read, so let’s get back the show.
Comment by Gabe October 3, 2008 @ 9:22 amSteve-talk about stream of consciousness post-”as you should”. Why don’t you post more, I don’t mind. I’m trying to post about larger issues than wankel(schmankel) engines. I do believe that that approach is a more conscious stream.
Comment by T.J. October 3, 2008 @ 12:01 pmPardon this extra stream Steve, sorry to be so snippy (no doubt rekated to the current banking/ D.C. halibut). I don’t mind anyone’s posts, though some tech. posts, like “Anatoly’s past” for example, are outside my realm. Point iz, not much gets posted on this site -compared to say, the Tesla Motors site. Lots of times you can hear crickets in the background. If this weren’t so,my posts would just blend in with a large pack of other posts. So, why don’t more people say more here ? Also, Martin could post fresh topics more. Should be more of stream ,rather than a dry creekbed.
Comment by T.J. October 3, 2008 @ 1:34 pmMartin
Have you considered a Honda natural gas generator t?
http://world.honda.com/news/2007/c070403HomeHeatingPowerSystem/
Martin sez:
I think these things are really cool. If I lived someplace where I needed much heating, I would own one.
Comment by charlie October 3, 2008 @ 1:37 pmT.J., I hope you’re not trying to use the discussion of the compound Wankel engine to deflect attention away from the fact that you often clog up the Recent Comments section. My suggestion is to type your ideas into a word processor like Word or Notepad, and then paste them in every half hour or so instead of making six different posts in the same length of time. I wouldn’t presume to make any suggestions about the content of your blog. After all, the classic definition of a blog is “The random and disconnected thoughts of someone you would prefer not to meet.” I certainly wouldn’t put you in that category, but it’s something to think about.
Comment by Steve S. October 3, 2008 @ 2:04 pmHi! Has anyone mentioned the new electric car and plug-in hybrid tax credit. I believe the credit is $2,500 plus $417 per kwh for batteries over 4 kwh. The maximum is $7,500. I read several news releases and I believe this is correct. Only one report I saw mentioned both electric and plug-in hybrids (most just mentioned plug-in), but I didn’t read the actual bill. Can anyone else confirm if this is correct? Have a great day!
Comment by Jimmy Banks October 3, 2008 @ 2:23 pmGot it. mr Hendler is it? No, not posting long. Enjoy of the, uh, info that is posted here.
J
Comment by Jason October 3, 2008 @ 5:39 pmJimmy- all I know is that I read somewhere online that “the environmentalist” type members of the U.S. Senate were trying to get a “rebate of up to $7500″. Steve-actually clogging the recent comments section doesn’t mean much, it’s just like a “recent contents section”. If more people posted, and the stream bed weren’t so dry, that wouldn’t happen. But yeah, I’ll consolidate my comments into one post more for the sake of not “seeming to hog the blog”, even though actually a blog is infinite so there is no such thing.
Comment by TJ October 3, 2008 @ 6:39 pmT.J., I was mostly just yanking your chain a little bit as part of making conversation. I know you make an important contribution, whereas I seem to put a damper on discourse. The demands of employment will soon force me to take another break from this blog, and give everyone a rest.
I recently found three exciting headlines on http://www.autobloggreen.com/ .
1. An audio of Chris Paine’s talk at the recent AltCar Expo. The link is dead, and I was unable to find even a transcript with a web search.
2. A new Honda company blog. No further mention of it was made in the article about the new Insight concept (with no information about the drivetrain layout) and I was unable to find any trace of it with a web search.
3. A GM-produced video about the details of the Volt power train operation, intending to clear up the recent confusion. The text was illegible, but I found a link in the comments section to a high res version on another site. It took a while to load, and then started out with a misleading statement.
The Volt video ended up being OK. The batteries would be good for more than 40 miles, but they’re reserving a “buffer” amount of charge below the “depleted” condition to help the gas engine with going up hills, etc. The car could end up being really good. My comment about the fake grille turned out to be explained by the fact that the Volt vehicle platform will be used by a couple of other conventional gasoline powered models.
But my opinion of http://www.autobloggreen.com/ took a big dive. Anyone know where to find the Chris Paine AltCar stuff or the Honda company blog?
Comment by Steve S. October 4, 2008 @ 9:05 pmInsight blog:
http://automobiles.honda.com/insight-hybrid/blog.aspx
Comment by Gabe October 5, 2008 @ 11:56 amSteve- nice photos of the Pininfarina on Autobloggreen-that’s a neat little car, totally appropriate for “my use”-in yellow, or yellow/cream. I must look into the French Co. Bollare which is partner with Pininfarina. I must cut back on blog too-but for another reason- I’m in architecture, so the question iz: “WHAT job demands !?” This is another fine Oliver Hardy mess “Dumb America” ™ has gotten us into. I need to chill out from the frustration level more, like my practical brother. My brother retired early as an optometrist (and he’s got “max. years in” Army reserve money). Of and on, since then -and since he’s a life-long car nut- he’s worked as a car salesman. He sees “trouble in EV city” since most people by far, in his experience, are looking for cars costing like around $12,000, but at least under $20,000-he’s not sure ,for many, that even the “future gas savings ” factor will be enough. But I point to the Prius success. It’s something else that in the waning days of Bush, the economic meltdown is his and “Dumb America’s” ™ last, final parting consolation gift to the country (as in “so long, suckers !”). Now McCain and Palin are dredging up Obama’s link (on a charity board in Chicago a few years ago) to ex- ’60’s radical Bill Ayers (Weatherman group). Obama was like 8 years old when Ayers was in this group-and per wikipedia- Ayers himself was never convicted of anything. He’s been a proverbial respected college prof. in the years since. This B.S. is right out of the Bush/Rove playbook- aimed, again, straight at “Dumb America” ™. I hope to halibut McCain ends up getting clobbered. Here in Nev. he’s behind- Las Vegas (Clark County) will definitely go for Obama (just like Bush didn’t win here)-it’s the hick rest of the state that’s the problem, “as usual” and as typical across the country. “Dumb America” ™ runs this country-especially for the last 8 years. I’m agreeing with everything Obama sez and just about everything re. how he’s running his campaign. Imagine him as prez. having Gore and Google CEO Schmidt as advisors-to name but two. As for the credit problem-forget two more years of this, we don’t need two more quarters. There needs to be a summit meeting of the leaders in congress with the heads of all the good banks out there, with the focus on “do your job and lend to the usual worthy borrowers as usual”-and, of course, the plug needs to be pulled on the $10 billion per month war. But I must stop while the frustration level is still moderate.
Comment by TJ October 5, 2008 @ 5:12 pmI noticed a comment about steam based six-storke engine. I was interested in the idea and spent some time for its analysis. I realised that by physics of it it has to lose heat of the exaust and only partially uses waste heat typically lost in cooling system. Typical energy balance of ICE is that ~40% goes to cooling system. Using this energy via relatively low pressure steam engine would at best take 20% of that energy so overall efficiensy improvement would be close to 10% at the very best. So used with gasoline ICE this concept just improve efficiensy to the level of diesel engine. This would be hard to compete against well invested clean diesel technology.
Comment by Anatoly Moskalev October 5, 2008 @ 6:01 pmUsed together with diesel the principle would reach 50% efficiensy as promised. Unfortunately for so undeveloped and different principle of engine from the ICE mainstream promise of 50% efficiensy is just too low I think because at similar level of fairly radical intrusion to an engine concepts delivering 60 – 70 % exist.
Breaking news: on CBS “60 Minutes” a segment on Tesla is on now. They’re saying ” a few years ago Musk(rat) started Tesla motors” after “someone” decided to power a car off of thousands of laptop batteries. The wonderful media at work: no mention of Alan Cocconi or Martin. Now Lutz of GM is on-wonderful again. They’re talking about GM crushing the EV-1’s. They say in Jan. Lutz said that “man-made global warming is the crock of halibut”-he doesn’t want to comment on this now on 60 Minutes. The guy’s a turkey. They also showed the Aptera on the show. The other two segments on the show were also excellent- one on the roots of the economic crisis- Wall St. firms selling “debt swaps” which were nothing more than insurance on their funky mortgage package “instruments”. However they couldn’t call it “insurance” since then it would have been subject to govt. regulation and they would have had to have money on hand, per regulations, to cover the “insurance”. The show said that all these problems are being caused by just 6% of mortgages in the country. The whole thing , an expert on this says, was so stupid that a $45,000 per year apprentice employee of these Wall St. firms wouldn’t have gone for it-and that basically it was criminal. But they also said that there may be up to $30 trillion in other financial “instruments” that basically no one knows what is going on-this figure is based on “voluntary reporting” on these things, since they aren’t regulated. The third story I already knew the bottom line about. The head of the U.S. secret Delta Force that went after Bin Laden, after 911, was on, in disguise-he has written a book on this under the fake name Dalton Fury. He said that they knew approx. where Bin Laden was in the Tora Bora mountains. Their first plan was to come over the back of the 14,000 ‘ mountains-this side wasn’t defended- using oxygen. This plan was denied by “higher-ups” in the U.S. Govt. in D.C. – he never knew who they were. The second plan was to mine the escape route valley Bin Laden would have to take out-to at least hold up his forces for air attack. This was again denied. Then he was told that he had to use a local afghan force to help him, not U.S. troops. One night they were within 6000 yards of Bin Laden-but waited till morning – since the afghans “never fought at night”-and he wasn’t sure Delta Force was big enough. In the morning the afghan troops suddenly arranged a “cease fire” with Bin Laden’s troops- for 12 hours, during which he escaped. So: no U.S. troops used, and the best Delta Force plans were denied-twice. They asked the force commander “has this denial ever happened with any Delta Force plan you’ve ever heard of?” He said no. Bottom line: Bin Laden was allowed to escape,on purpose by “someone” of “someones” at the top of the Bush admin.-after all, the Bush family has been buddies with the Bin Laden family for years- “among other considerations”.
Comment by TJ October 5, 2008 @ 7:16 pmElon Musk apparently by his own nature is and will be all about himself thinking he is “God Creator of everything”. Such a personality naturally should paint all the achivements on himself personally. So what happened on the show is all expected. The irony is that ego of Musk is a good driver to promote EV technology core developed.
Comment by Anatoly Moskalev October 5, 2008 @ 7:47 pmI see it like this. Alan Cooconi by personality is hard core technical enthusiast. He crossed the dessert of making extremely original technology prototype and demonstrating its the technology petential. At that point it is not a technology. It is just a curious thing detined to be forgotten by itself – never a business. Alan Cocconi got his share of bitterness at the end but he also had a dream come true happiness while developing. Martin come with different talent – being first to see developed but unrecognized technical thing. He managed the leadership to make technology out of a prototype example. On this road he come to his personality limitations to bridge technology into mundane regular mangfacturing business. He had his bright moment of happiness and bitterness at the end on the road. Now ego of Elon Musk seems to be a good driver to scale up the technology most efficiently. Overall the whole path is far from being humane about creators but it is surprisingly efficient in making technical idea into technology.
Green Car Congress just reported another lithium powered car from South Afrifan Optimal Energy.
Its getting hard to count : Mitsubishi MiEV, Subaru R1E/G4e, Nissan Mixim/Nuvu? , Bollore Bluecar, now the Joule, Smart ED ? Seems like everyone has their own city commuter EV project now.
Comment by kert October 6, 2008 @ 3:44 amGabe, thanks for the Honda company Insight blog link!
Comment by Steve S. October 6, 2008 @ 5:33 amHas anyone heard any pricing rumors on the SmartED?
Comment by Gabe October 6, 2008 @ 12:09 pmCorrection:
The 2nd gen Smart ED with Li-Ion ESS (maybe sourced from Tesla?).
Comment by Gabe October 6, 2008 @ 2:17 pmAnatoly-spoken like a true scientist! I don’t know what Musk does at Tesla, besides the money and push factor- Drori is CEO. Too bad Warren Buffet (”he who doesn’t get into management”) hadn’t funded the whole company- I could see Drori, or similar, as CEO with Martin (and even Cocconi as a partner of some kind) in Musk’s spot now. That would have been nice. I don’t think Henry Ford was really a Musk type, so I think that that type isn’t the only way to go.
Comment by TJ October 6, 2008 @ 4:16 pmT.J., thanks for replying to Anatoly. I hope, though, that you don’t think it’s typical of true scientists to make extremely simplistic and poorly informed judgments. To be fair, the language barrier might have a lot to do with it.
Here’s a link to an September 23 interview with a Pulitzer prize-winning NY Times financial reporter about the Wall Street bailout: http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=94928783 .
For a less academic and more irreverent take on the subject, http://www.hulu.com/watch/37758/saturday-night-live-c-span-bailout#s-p1-st-i1
Comment by Steve S. October 7, 2008 @ 5:44 amSteve – I was complimenting Anatoly-he’s right, like Darwin. But while he’s more like Spock, I’m more Scottie/McCoy (like: “too bad. what if ?” to which Spock sez: “bad is a relative concept, Captain -and: too late, as well”).Too bad the economy is now (relatively, or more) shot to halibut-green tech. could make for a good economy but it takes a good economy to help green tech. make a good economy-barring something like big govt. action (and where’s the cash)-or FDR kind of action where you FIND the cash.
Comment by T.J. October 7, 2008 @ 2:56 pmT.J., I don’t know who Spock, Scottie and McCoy are, unless they’re some of the stooges you’re always on about. I can tell you that Anatoly is no Darwin. It seems like just a case of disagreement between you and me, which is no cause for alarm.
What did give me a chill is that the SNL video clip in the second link I sent had been yanked from hulu when I tested it an hour or so after my post. It had formerly been featured in hulu, and was the best political satire I’ve seen on SNL in many years. It was originally broadcast on network TV and had no offensive language or silly bathroom or bedroom humor, and wasn’t about the candidates in the current election. It was a satire of C-SPAN coverage of congresspeople talking about the financial bailout.
The standard joke about C-SPAN is that politicians, etc. can speak frankly there because they know that no one important is watching.
Michael Moore’s movies are his best effort to ridicule and shame big corporations and try to deprive them of their immense power. The movies are funded by some of those same corporations he’s attacking. They can make some money from his movies, so they don’t care about his messages. They don’t care what people think because they feel invulnerable.
If the yanking of that particular clip wasn’t just a strange coincidence, maybe it’s a good sign that some of those folks are starting to feel less invulnerable.
Anyway, that’s more than I ever wanted to post here about economics. Did anyone see the clip?
Comment by Steve S. October 7, 2008 @ 8:14 pmSteve- how about James T. Kirk (of Iowa)? Didn’t see clip in question, but here’s example of something good fed. govt. is doing: U.S. Army plans 500 MW solar thermal plant at Ft. Irwin,Ca. (by 2012-14), 30 MW geothermal plant in Hawthorne, Nv., biomass-to-fuel demonstration plants at 6 army bases, and purchase of 4000 elect. vehicles over next 3 years.
Comment by TJ October 7, 2008 @ 8:35 pmhttp://www.snlbailout.cx/
Comment by NothingToSeeHere October 7, 2008 @ 11:06 pmhttp://www.hulu.com/watch/38041/saturday-night-live-washington-approves-the-bailout
TJ is a Shatner fan?
Comment by TEG October 7, 2008 @ 11:13 pmNothingToSeeHere, many thanks! The right is trying to spin the clip into an attack on the left. I thought it was toughest on the current administration (the previous president achieved a budget surplus) and greedy, unscrupulous financial manipulators (the last time I looked they were on both sides).
Now if I could get help finding a transcript or audio clip of Chris Paine’s remarks at the recent AltCar Expo (promised but not delivered by AutoBlogGreen) it would be icing on the cake.
T.J., thanks for the tip on the upcoming Army electric car purchases. Do you have a link? A military contract can motivate companies toward cooperative ventures, which might be good for Tesla. Maybe a Jeep-like vehicle with their powertrain?
I guess I somehow missed out on all that ancient stooges, etc. pop culture fun. Or maybe it just didn’t appeal to me. Science fiction: bad science, bad fiction.
Comment by Steve S. October 8, 2008 @ 12:59 pmSteve,
http://www.autobloggreen.com/2008/09/27/altcar-2008-chris-paine-talks-who-killed-sequel-coming-in-2/
At the bottom of the article (but not the page) is a “listen here” button. Is this what you were looking for?
Comment by gabe October 8, 2008 @ 2:03 pmGabe, I get the “listen here” rectangle but it’s inactive. In the left side of the rectangle is a little box with a red “x” inside it, like you get when a photo is no longer available. I tried enabling cookies. Does the audio clip play for you? If so, what player does it use? Did you have to join AutoBlogGreen or pay a fee?
Comment by Steve S. October 8, 2008 @ 5:19 pmThanks, gabe… I was just about to post that too!
Steve S. wrote:
Comment by TEG October 8, 2008 @ 5:24 pm# Maybe a Jeep-like vehicle
Jeep EV
Jeep EV
<a href=”http://www.driveev.com/jeepev/”Jeep EV
Jeep EV
Fixed link:
<a href=”http://www.driveev.com/jeepev/”Jeep EV
Steve S – the clip plays for me. I just click on the play button (right arrow) and a timeline appears and the clip starts playing.
It seems to be an Adobe Flash Player 9 app.
Comment by TEG October 8, 2008 @ 5:27 pmAre you running your browser on a Windows PC? Do you have Adobe Flash plug-in installed on your browser?
Fixed link part 3:
Comment by TEG October 8, 2008 @ 5:27 pmJeep EV
Sheesh – that link doesn’t want to post.
Comment by TEG October 8, 2008 @ 5:29 pmOne more try:
Jeep EV
Steve-can find army article thru google search of : green tech-CNET news. I’m an internet dinosaur and don’t know how to post this snapshot stuff-I thought you typed in http address and it automatically posted it, but I tried that once and it didn’t work. So: just how do you do that voodoo (anyway) ? TEG -yeah , Shatner is a funny guy (and humorous as well). I am “A” TJ not “THE” TJ (as Bill Murray kind of said once-maybe in”Groundhog Day”, I forget). The original Star Trek may have been bad science/bad fiction- but the cast was most illogically great, captain. Fascinating !
Comment by TJ October 8, 2008 @ 8:41 pmTEG, thanks for the responses. Yeah, it’s a pretty standard PC with IE, except that I’m still using W2000 pro, SP4 I think, because it’s been very stable. I had a Flash player, and just to make sure I downloaded the latest version. I play quite a bit of video in many formats and have never had any trouble until now. I figured out how to play both downloadable Google Video versions with no help, including with W98 which wasn’t supported by the Google player. The VLC media player is pretty useful. I refuse to use “Real” media players after a bad experience with the company, but they’re not around much anymore. I use Google pop-up blocking, but I tried disabling it with no luck. The easy fix is to avoid AutoBlogGreen media content.
Anyway, it’s valuable to know that the clip works for other people. I’ll get a friend to let me listen to it.
T.J., here’s a try at the army article link: http://news.cnet.com/greentech/
I usually just click on the Address (URL), paste it into the post, and hope for the best. Most of the time it works. A more reliable method is to write the post in Word, which underlines text accepted as a URL, and then select, Copy, and Paste in the Your Comment box here.
Incidentally, the Your Comment editor is annoying because it won’t display a full line of text with word wrap. Lately I’ve been lazy so I use it anyway, with the result of occasional typos.
You’re probably right about the cast of Star Trek. I watched very little episodic television in of any sort in those days, and even less now. Not that I’m a culture snob; Married With Children reruns were high on my list, in part because they showed up so often. I could never be bothered with TV schedules, especially now that everything’s on DVD. I also watched NHRA drag racing pretty faithfully until a couple of years ago.
Comment by Steve S. October 9, 2008 @ 2:49 amWow Steve, Windows 2000 for the win! I kept that running until around 2005 before giving into XP.
I was able to listen to the box with no subscription on XP, Firefox 3. I also tried it on Firefox 2 and it seemed to work.
Comment by Gabe October 9, 2008 @ 9:47 amABC has refused to air a TV ad by the “We Can Solve It” climate change group of Al Gore-even though they air oil company ads, like those Exxon ads about “how great they are at seeing all sides of the energy issue”. The reason ABC isn’t airing the ad is that it slams the oil company lobbying power-even though the ad isn’t any worse than a lot of the presidential ads. As the head of the great German solar program said (on PBS): “the reason we can have such a program and you in the U.S. can’t is that we have no fossil fuel companies with all their lobby power”-and what we have HERE is the latest example-and an example of “failure to communicate”-or more aptly “failure to allow communication”. You can check out the ad on the ” We Can Solve It” website.
Comment by TJ October 9, 2008 @ 5:58 pmGore also has a good 27 minute speech on the “We Can Solve It” website. People at a McCain rally in Wisconsin were very angry, per news reports, that Obama is ahead and want McCain to do something. Boy- do I feel really sorry for them- many (or most ?) of whom brought us 8 such wonderful years of Bush/Cheney. Then there’s a voter group registration called ACORN which is signing up a lot of poorer people, they who would usually be democratic and Obama supporters . Seems in the process that in some states there is some fraudulent registration happening- and the republican powers that be are really angry. Well (as Ronnie Reagan used to say) Boy-…ditto the above. These guys have been doing everything they can for years to quash the registration of these “disenfranchised voters”- especially in Florida (helping Bush win the first time) and in Ohio -helping him win the second time. In fact there was a long study written about republican voter fraud in Ohio (printed in Rolling Stone Mag. as well) -which, they say, actually swung the 2004 election to Bush. These weasels should only talk-they who do every crooked move and every “keep dumbed down America dumb” move POSSIBLE, Rove/Cheney style to make sure that they-and more to the point, of course “their handlers”-win.
Comment by TJ October 9, 2008 @ 8:20 pmGabe, when are you upgrading to Vista?
I listened to Chris Paines’s talk today on a company computer. Thanks for helping identify the problem; the solution, as I pointed out, is easy. I’ll just avoid AutoBlog Green.
Comment by Steve S. October 9, 2008 @ 8:39 pmI’ll probably skip Vista. Despite all the hate, if you’ve got a beefy system with mainstream components and you’re not doing anything too wacky, then it’s not a bad OS. But it doesn’t work well for me. I’ll stick with XP SP3 until 2010 when Windows 7 (or whatever they end up calling it) drops.
I might also check out the rumored google os if that ever devaporizes.
And no, I won’t switch to Apple. It’s not a hate thing, they just simply stop working the moment I touch them (with the exception of my wife’s iphone). I swear, it’s in my DNA or something. I get on a mac, get on safari, and bam, thing locks up. Try to open itunes, locks. Touch the mouse, locks. Look at it, locks. Someone just before or just after me will have no problem, but it is apparent the universe does not want me to use macs.
Comment by Gabe October 10, 2008 @ 6:06 amGabe, what do you think of Chrome? It claims to have a couple of interesting features that may finally drag me kicking and screaming into a 2001 operating system for my desk. It doesn’t support W2000.
Of course almost all the workplace computers use XP, so I’m far from unfamiliar with it.
I’m no fan of MS Bloatware, but I could never warm up to Apple.
Comment by Steve S. October 10, 2008 @ 8:39 amMartin, and other (soon to be) owners looking for a different nav system, I came across this (www.smartmirror.com) a while back, but was reminded of it as I’ve been searching for a better option than the JVC (and I’m really grateful for the other folks posting their research as well – I’m looking hard at the Parrot and Alpine units too). It’s definitely an alternate approach – put the NAV and bluetooth in the mirror, then get a head unit that focuses on music (given the single DIN limitation, sounds like could be a good thing). It is MS software based, for better or worse, and I have no insight yet on how well it works. It’s an interesting different direction to take though. My worries aside from software/UI are getting the wiring to the mirror (is the Tesla mirror electric at all? If so, shouldn’t be a problem, but wasn’t sure it was), daylight visibility, and weather resistance.
Sorry for posting a bit off topic. Wasn’t sure if posted in the old blog entry where this stuff was discussed, whether anyone would see it. Would have posted in the owners forum, but it’s been down a couple days now.
Comment by Rob October 10, 2008 @ 10:51 amI skipped Chrome too – I’m pretty happy with FF3, as much of a memory hog as it is.
Comment by Gabe October 10, 2008 @ 2:25 pmTwo wrongs don’t make a right…
GM & Chrysler discuss merger.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/11/business/11auto.html?_r=1&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&oref=slogin
Wow, talk about throwing a drowning man a life vest made out of lead (Pb)…
Mergers can be difficult at the best of times. I cannot imagine what must be going through these people’s heads… Wow!
The most recent report I heard about GM’s financial position was that they “should have enough cash to see them through to the end of the year”. That’s three months away.
We are certainly living in interesting times.
All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey October 10, 2008 @ 7:23 pmmartin
besides solar, what are the cost for home electricity generation in cents/kw ? is is at all possible to compete with natural gas etc?
Martin sez:
I am not quite sure what you are asking.
Here in California, natural gas is the source for the majority of our electricity, with significant contributions from nuclear, hydro, geothermal, and wind. Solar. (Not much coal-derived electricity makes it to California anymore.) At the utility scale, solar still does not account for much. Today, solar (particularly photovoltaic) is also more expensive than the others, with a payback in the 10 to 20 years timeframe. However, some of the solar thermal installations promise energy at competitive rates.
If natural gas (and coal and diesel) generation had to pay for the damage caused by their greenhouse gas emissions, I suspect they would be the most expensive forms of energy. Hard to calculate and prove the cost of the damage though…
Comment by charlie October 12, 2008 @ 11:14 amT.J.,
here’s a little addendum to my riff on the value & efficiency of trees from a few weeks ago:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7662565.stm
All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey October 12, 2008 @ 11:46 amYeah- I saw that tree article. Re. the car makers- how come you never hear of foreign automakers being in dire trouble?-I mean in europe or asia? (except for Daewoo awhile ago). You want to know what’s wrong with this country in a nutshell ? -Here it is (like, a few examples). Jimmy Carter installed solar panels on the White House and said we need to increase fuel mileage standards over the coming years. Reagan removed the solar panels and said to heck with fuel mileage. The Calif. Air Resources Board required GM to build their EV-1, and the other car makers to build EV versions of existing cars-like the Ranger and RAV-4. Then, per the movie “Who Killed the Elect. Car”. Detroit got to the politicians and it all went out the window. What we have here in this country iz: inability to get long term progressive govt. policy because: of the lobbyists and the fact that avg. Joe Sixpack/ Hockey “mother” does give a flying halibut about anything except what’s in front of their nose. I think G.E. used to have the slogan: “Progress is our most important product”. That should have stayed the slogan of this country. But , like that author of the new book-Banevich is his name, he was on Charlie Rose Show, said: this country lost it, overall, right after JFK. Without the computer/silicon valley revolution we would have really lost it. When I was in high school, for example, you never saw bums-those were guys that hung out at railroad yards. But starting in the late sixties/ early ’70’s “Bums in America” became a growth industry. Also, look at the crummy cars Detroit made in ’70’s, by and large. Compare that to all the different designs and gizmos from the ’50’s and ’60’s-some of it was over the top, but at least Detroit was cooking with enthusiasm for “the product”. We had the war-meister LBJ, Dork Nixon, Carter, who had potential, being clobbered by the phony “oil shortage. OPEC embargo”-and 22% inflation-and the hostage crisis, so he’s outta there. Then Reagan: the two-trick pony” :spend like crazy on defense to beat the Russians and help the rich so they trickle down some cash to the rest of the country. Then Bush #1-what did he stand for and what was he trying to do ?-nothing worth much. Clinton, at least, left us with a surplus. The tide should have turned with Gore, but Rove & Co. cleverly tapped into the vast reserves that was/is “dumbed down America”- no progress to be found there for the country, that’s for halibut sure. Yep-Banevich is right-but his book is yet another book of very many-collect them all. Books on top of books yet precious little real change. The deal iz: big time corp. America looks out for its narrow interest at all costs (including, examples right now “the Wall Streeters “) , and dumbed-down Joe Sixpack/hockey head-check citizen America does the same.
Comment by TJ October 12, 2008 @ 4:35 pmT.J.,
the US needs to make lobbying an illegal activity. At the same time, it would probably help to ban ALL forms of advertising too, that way the corporations could not manipulate your politicians and populace so easily.
All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey October 12, 2008 @ 4:54 pmChris- I’ll give you one more tiny example. I was back in Frisco like a year ago, or more- and rode BART rail system for first time in years. I was in school when it first opened, like in ‘72 I think it was- I still have the souvenir “test card” where you got to ride free, the first day. Anyway- the train pulls into Montgomery St. Station and the lighting in the station is either grimy or burned out, left and right-and the side walls were pretty dirty. Then I remember the Shattuck Station was pretty “scuffed up”/ratty. Yet the system had a lot of riders on it. So I ask you this: WHO is in charge of replacing light bulbs and cleaning a station like Montgomery and WHAT is the lame-brain excuse for NOT doing these simple tasks. Give me a halibutin’ break: there IS no excuse. I’ve never been to Japan, but I hear that at least they keep things spotless over there. Jezzz-hire some homeless people and let them replace lights bulbs and steam clean walls. Bottom line: no governmental brains, no governmental pride. Where’s Robert Moses when you need him ?
Comment by TJ October 12, 2008 @ 4:55 pmT.J., as you probably know, Robert Moses was brought out of relative obscurity by the great biographer Robert Caro’s famous Pulitzer prize-winning book, The Power Broker. I’ve seen Caro talk about it and his Lyndon Johnson biographies on C-SPAN. To admit my bias, I have the highest regard for Caro and his work.
My impression was that Moses, although never elected to public office, was a key figure in accomplishing an amazing number of important New York public works, notably the power generation at Niagara, highways and bridges. He was controversial for being an elitist who loved parkways and disliked public transportation, starting in an era when cars were a luxury. He disliked tunnels and favored large bridges for their monument value, even though they require much more land acquisition at the entrances. He built his highways through heavily populated areas with no apparent concern for routing them to avoid evicting many thousands of people from their homes.
Any evaluation of Moses might be well served by a visit to Europe or Japan to experience the many excellent public transportation systems and well developed inner cities, which are in marked contrast to ours.
It would seem that Moses would probably have been opposed to the construction of BART on many counts, and might have sought to have it dismantled rather than kept up.
Is this off-topic, or what? It does have a lot to do with the history of fuel consumption, energy and transportation, and it involves an important work of scholarship and literature.
Comment by Steve S. October 12, 2008 @ 9:09 pmHere’s a link http://cafeelectric.com/other.php to the builder of the excellent Honda Insight EV conversion I saw early this year. With all the detailed photos you could build your own.
1. Get an Insight and an EV-1 motor and transaxle.
2. Build a custom high power three phase variable frequency inverter.
3. Buy your batteries of choice.
4. The rest is relatively easy.
Press Home and read the unfortunate message about the DC controllers, which are pretty much the standard of excellence for high performance DC vehicles, as I understand it. The site is well known to EV fans and has a lot of good stuff.
Comment by Steve S. October 12, 2008 @ 10:06 pm@Steve
Thanks for the links. I’ve been researching into getting an old NSX shell (I’m such a honda fanboy) and converting it to electric. The problem is that made relatively few of them and they either end up crashed or owners just keep fixing the engines. I can’t afford a fully functional one, even with the payback from selling the ICE, so it’s gotta be a shell. Maybe I can find a lotus shell…
Comment by Gabe October 13, 2008 @ 6:37 amSteve-I was talking the Moses principle rather than the specifics: as in Do something and don’t let things fall apart. He was a product of the ’50’s and early ’60’s where the concept of bulldozing was the rage. Ike with his huge U.S. freeway system project no doubt bulldozed a lot of stuff too- like turning Route 66 into a dinosaur and really hitting all the businesses along the route. I’m talking about if Moses could come back, in the context of our times, where he’d be doing things-but no doubt not in the ’50’s-’60’s style. Whoever is running BART, it’s really STUPID not to be doing simple upkeep stuff- if I were the mayor of Frisco I’d get him in the horn and say ” look, jerk-clean up the halbutin’ stations in question. I mean, I do believe-since I’ve seen photos, if I recall, that in the WORST of economic times in the old CCCP their old Moscow subway stations were kept in pristine condition.
Comment by TJ October 13, 2008 @ 5:27 pmGabe, I’m also a long-time Honda car and motorcycle fan and owner. It’s baffling to me, and I’m embarrassed for them, that they’re not in the forefront with EVs and plug-in hybrids, and that their hybrid system is so lame.
A good friend owned an NSX for several years, and I always say it’s the best sports car I’ve ever driven. It’s light and quick but fully developed as a practical and annoyance-free daily driver, easy to drive in urban traffic and thoroughly competent on back roads at triple digit speeds. They’ll always be valuable to people who know how good they are, and there’s always money available for really good stuff. I think they would have sold a lot better with V-8 or V-12 engines.
The Insight chassis is also made of aluminum, and is a lot more advanced and interesting car than most people are aware of, but the visuals are a little odd in the back. There’s a lot more interest in them with the fancy gas prices, so they may not be as inexpensive now.
As a longtime car guy, I’m thoroughly impressed that Martin made such a good choice for the basis of the Tesla. I can’t think of a better one, esp. since the ugly Elise body could be replaced.
A couple of other possibilites: early Boxsters are selling pretty reasonably because of some onerous motor problems and the much increased performance and desirability of the later ones. The last Toyota MR-2 is very light for a steel car and probably not too pricey.
T.J., I completely agree that it’s stupid and extremely counterproductive not to do maintenance and upkeep on public places. It has a huge affect on public morale. You’re certainly right that Moses was a guy who got things done, and done well, with visually attractive results.
Incidentally, Moses was born in 1888, and was already a powerful man in the 1920s. He ran for governor of New York in 1934. His peak year were from the ’30s to the ’50s, and his power waned after that.
Comment by Steve S. October 14, 2008 @ 12:33 am