In anticipation of our new Tesla Roadster, we installed a 5.2 kW photovoltaic system on the roof of our house in Sierra Madre, California. Since its installation late last November, we have generated over 1.7 megawatt-hours of electricity, with peak production (in the winter!) of about 4.2 kilowatts. We installed this system as part of a more extensive home remodel, so it was easier than most retrofits to hide all the wiring in the walls and attic space, though still a pain. Our cost for this system was about $36,000, after factoring in a $10,000 rebate from the State of California.
One of the common questions we get from neighbors, as well as from the blog-o-sphere, is when we expect the system to pay for itself. I find the question a little odd, and this question prompts me to write this blog.
Let’s get the straight-forward answer to the question out of the way first: This system is producing about 650 kWh per month in the winter, and I expect an increase in the summer – let’s estimate 750 kWh per month on average. (I need to trim a tree back to increase generation, but let’s not even count that.) Depending on our usage, we pay today between 18 cents and about 25 cents per kWh. For easy math, let’s call it 20 cents per kWh. With this math, the panels generate about $1,800 worth of electricity every year. Without accounting for the present value of future money, and without trying to estimate future rate hikes, this system will pay for itself in 20 years. Without the rebate, it would pay for itself in 25 years.
But… about 2/3 of the energy generated by our panels will offset energy consumed by our electric car. These 6 megawatt-hours of energy will power the Roadster about 20,000 miles, eliminating about 1,000 gallons of gasoline I would otherwise have bought for my Audi TT Quattro. At today’s prices in LA, this gasoline would cost me about $3,200. So for us, the panels produce about $3,200 worth of transportation fuel plus about $600 worth of home energy, for a total of about$3,800 per year. Accounting for my car, the solar installation will pay for itself in about 9.5 years (12 years without the rebate.) Again, I don’t account for the present value of future money, and I don’t account for the rising cost of gasoline – wildly assuming one offsets the other.
And… “A solar electric system increases home value by $20,000 for each $1,000 in annual reduced operating costs, according to The Appraisal Institute.” (Reference) In other words, the cost of our solar installation will probably raise the value of our house by about $36,000, or just about the cost of the installation. You can speculate how high this number will be whenever we sell our house, but it seems clear that we will recover some, if not all, of the cost of installation when we sell.
Now you financial wizards will no doubt point out that 9.5 years (let alone 25 years) is a pretty slow return on investment – we could invest in this or that mutual fund and rest assured that we would make more money than our solar installation is saving us.
But that is not the point at all. The point is that starting last November, we are no longer using any electricity from coal, natural gas, or nuclear generators. None. We live in a house that is a net generator of electricity, and it will remain so for at least the next 30 years, when the warranty on our PV system expires. (I have high hopes that it will continue to work for some years thereafter.) This is worth to us a lot more than the cash value of the savings on our electric bills. It’s about freedom for whatever wackiness lies in the future of electric costs or gasoline costs. It’s about knowing that we are doing our part to reduce global warming, and to reduce American dependency on foreign energy. It’s even about that grin I get every time I see our power meter spinning its little wheel backwards, unwinding the electric bill we wound up last night.
I used to give Prius drivers a hard time about their choice of cars. You know, I said, that car cost $6,000 more than an equivalent non-hybrid. You realize, I said, that it will finally pay for itself in about 50 years. Your car won’t even last for 50 years, I said. It’s a bad investment, can’t you see?
Some smarty-pants Prius owner asked me when, exactly, my Audi TT Quattro was going to pay for itself? Ding! She was right, of course. Prius drivers are not stupid (or at least not especially stupid). Most know perfectly well that the hybrid option is not a money-saver. They bought their Priuses for the same reason we bought our photovoltaic system: somehow to do the right thing about energy and the environment, and also to gain a little freedom from OPEC and the price of energy. You want to see smug – look at the face of a Prius driver filling up her tank (12 gallons, takes the car 660 miles) when the poor sop at the next pump is putting a hundred dollars of gas in his Hummer! (32 gallons, goes 416 miles.)
Here is the way I look at it. Here in Sierra Madre, the median home price is $850,000. If that house was built in the last couple of decades, (a bit of a stretch here in Sierra Madre, I admit), then the house is already insulated and is passably energy-efficient. Without considering an electric car, a $17,000 solar installation would just about provide all the energy that median house consumes. In other words, by increasing the cost of the house by 2%, it becomes one that is completely energy-independent. The owner of that house will never, ever pay an electric bill – no matter how high goes the cost of electricity. Isn’t that worth it?
It’s about freedom, not about the money.
Now let me grind my ax a little…
The solar panels themselves accounted for only 1/3 of the installed cost of our system. The rest was the inverter, brackets and things, the cost of retrofitting into our existing electrical system, the cost of fishing conduits through our walls and attics, the cost of reinforcing our roof structure, the cost of repairing our composite roof after the roof jacks were mounted, and the cost of patching holes in our stucco where we ran conduits.
Imagine if building codes required all new construction (as well as substantial remodels) to be “solar-ready.” No solar installed, mind you – just solar-ready. What would this mean? I think this is the complete list, with my cost estimates for new construction:
- 2 reserved slots (for a 240V breaker) in the electrical main panel (cost: $0)
- Reserving a location (probably on an outside wall) for an inverter, and providing standardized mounting points (such as Unistrut at a prescribed spacing) (cost: $20)
- Conduit from the main panel to the inverter location (cost: $20)
- Conduit from the inverter location, through the attic, and onto the roof. (cost: $100)
- Adequate rafter structure to support solar panels. (cost: $100)
- Roof jacks through the roofing material with standardized connection and spacing. (cost: 100)
This $340 of additional cost during new construction would save about $12,000 for any solar upgrade – installation would require only bolting the panels and the inverter onto standardized mounting locations, and installing the breaker in the main panel. No more rooting around in the attic to pull wires, chipping holes in stucco, fighting to squeeze two more breakers slots out of an old electrical panel, glopping roof-patch goo around retrofit roof jack penetrations, hammering struts into attics to support sagging rafters, etc.
If all new houses were built this way, I bet builders could sell solar installations as an upgrade to more than half of their customers. And the rest (or subsequent buyers) could easily add solar at a later date.
If any of you readers feel like taking up this cause, I would love to see someone push to update the Uniform Building Code, California’s Title 24, or other similar legislation to make all new houses solar-ready. (Yes, I know that some houses are situated where solar energy production is not possible. Suitable exemptions should be part of the requirements.) You would have a huge impact on the number of solar panels installed on houses, and help make a huge reduction of residential fossil fuel usage.
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It is great to see others with the same view on solar. I still can’t see why every new building, residential or commercial being built in areas that are good candidates for solar aren’t being made solar ready, or better yet having a solar system as part of the plans. There is all this talk about making new government building green, but rarely do you hear about them putting solar systems to supply even part of the power needed.
I know it’s expensive, but I think you summarized it best, it’s not just about saving money, and it won’t be for some time. People need to see that every little bit helps. A solar system will be going on my house as soon as I am out of school. My first solar project will most likely just be a solar thermal water heater. The cost is a lot lower and the payback is a lot quicker.
Good to see you back and posting!
Comment by Chris L. February 25, 2008 @ 7:00 pmChanging the building code is a great idea, but I wouldn’t want to wait for the bureaucracy (or any government over the world) to catch up with reality, and still, this would only apply to new buildings. The way to achieve success in a mass market for any environmentally friendly product is to have the choice make as much (if not more) financial sense. The Tesla roadster fits into this category well – for that market, it makes a certain amount of sense – at least as much as any super car does. As you said, PV’s make much more financial sense when coupled with an electric car, so maybe when the whitestar (fingers crossed) or some other equivalent hits the market, and solar panels become marginally cheaper, this could be the case!.
Also, having said that about governments, California is certainly leading the way with Cleantech – who would have thought Arnie would have done such a job?.
Martin sez:
Hey, I am no great fan of government regulation, but I can’t think of any other good way to bring about uniformity and preconfiguration in buildings. And my experience convinces me that a big chunk of the cost of a PV system could be eliminated by a little (mandatory) forethought.
I have built a house in California, and I was obliged to meet the energy efficiency requirements of Title 24. The result was quite good: that house (and every other house since Title 24 became law) is pretty energy efficient. It was WAY more efficient than my previous house, built in the ’50s. As with any piece of regulation, it is easy to take potshots at Title 24’s stupid bits. But this one (like the vehicle safety laws discussed in previous posts) is overall a good law. It has led to a lot of houses built with insullation, double-pane glass, etc., and has lead to reduced energy usage here in California.
Here in our over-regulated California, we have used about the same energy per capita since the 1970s, while the rest of the country uses more energy per capita every year…
Comment by Nathan White February 25, 2008 @ 7:12 pmYou are using your car to pay off your solar system. Using solar panels to replace gas REQUIRES an electric car. Are you saying electricity is worth more (costs more?) when you have an EV?
Martin Sez:
That is not quite what I said, but it is actually true: most electric rate structures charge a lot more for your last kWh than for your first. So if you add an electric car to your load, you will pay more for its electricity than for your house. (But some areas have special low rates just for EVs, if you pay to have a second meter installed.)
But if you understand my point, I don’t particularly care when my PV system pays for itself. It will, and how long it takes depends on how you think about it.
But there is a neat synergy between PVs and EVs; having an EV justifies a larger PV installation and reduces your carbon footprint further.
Comment by Patman3 February 25, 2008 @ 8:07 pmI think you make many insightful points, but I take issue with your accounting: Your gasoline savings are due to your choice of fuels, not return on your PV investment. That notion is a rationalization.
Your assumption that you could invest in “this-or-that mutual fund” and beat a 9.5 year ROC is fallacious, as mutual funds are far from risk-free, and you are potentially comparing apples to oranges in that with PV you are consuming the income, whereas most mutual funds yield poorly and are geared toward growth. The PV is a better relative investment than you give it credit for in this respect.
Finally, wouldn’t establishing and publicizing a standard for “solar-ready” new homes that market forces could make a standard be more sensible legislation? Some of us who don’t live in CA think your state is over-regulated.
Thanks for your post!
Martin sez:
I am not sure why you think accounting for my car’s energy is rationalization. We bought an over-sized system specifically to power the car. If we just wanted to power the house, we would have bought a much smaller system and saved quite a bit of money.
If I bought a concrete mixer to build my driveway, it is not rationalization to say that it pays for itself in the cost savings over my other driveway alternatives.
I know, of course, that mutual funds come with risk. My tongue was in my cheek for that bit. But on the face of it, there are other ways to invest money that return better- until you factor in the intagables. And not everything I buy is for investment anyway.
Comment by Josh Wilcoxson February 25, 2008 @ 8:20 pmLove the idea of building code changes to “enable” simple retrofit to solar. It should be done. But there’s a shed-load of existing rooftops out there. Imagine if anyone could sell back the power to PG&E at say 2X or 3X the going rate until the retrofit equipment is paid for. I’d expect hundreds of thousands of people would chop $30K worth of holes in houses just to be more green. It’s a win, win, win (PG&E, homeowner, environment all win). Plus a few hundred thousand housetops would cost less than a nuke plant!
I wish we Americans’ could get media attention on doing something like this. A simple tax law change would do it. Other countries have creative plans to build out infrastructure one house at a time, why can’t we?
Comment by Dale D February 25, 2008 @ 9:16 pmWelcome to the club.
Comment by TEG February 25, 2008 @ 10:23 pm$17,000 is roughly 2% of $850,000… not 20%. Big difference!!
Martin sez:
Thanks! My bad typo, and I will fix it! No matter how many times I proofread my writing…
Comment by MDU February 26, 2008 @ 12:42 amAll sounds great to me. Why doesn’t the bloody sun shine in England? That said, the Germans seem to find a way of making it pay.
Comment by Andrew Kelsey February 26, 2008 @ 2:50 amAgain, I don’t account for the present value of future money…
Another way to look at it:
You should be able to invest $36.000 over a longer period of time at 5%, giving you $1.800 each year. Your PV *also* gives you $1.800!
And I wouldn’t be surprised if your PV’s value would increase over time.
Not a bad investement. And surely a lot more fun!
PS: 20% of $850.000 is $170.000, not $17.000.
Martin sez:
Yep. Typo fixed!
Comment by Raymond Michiels February 26, 2008 @ 4:07 amSolar is a very hard sell!
1. Most states have no incentives. Mine doesn’t.
2. If your home’s value has actually increased because of solar installation than there will be extra taxes to pay each year.
3. Your cost per KWH is vastly inflated compared to most parts of the country. 1 KWH costs an average of 7.3 cents over a whole month here.
A “current” solar system would take a child from birth to retirement or even death here without ever paying for itself assuming it could last that long.
Solar technology is also advancing which is a good thing, but will depreciate your investment.
I’m glad CA has created an expensive test environment that makes this remotely feasible so that new technologies will continue to develop.
I appreciate people like you who are investing in the future so that these technologies eventually become cost effective, and if I were anywhere near your level of financial independence I would join you.
Martin sez:
The cost and benefit landscape for PV here in the States is indeed quite uneven. Electricity in New Mexico (which is almost purely coal-generated) costs about a nickel per kWh. In New York City, it is not legal to connect a PV system to the grid at all.
Because of its clean-air rules, its high population density, and its limited fossil fuel resources, electricity is pretty expensive here in California. We also have graduated rate structures, making the baseline electricity far less expensive than what we pay if we use a lot of electricity. You are right – this cost (along with lots of sunshine) make California a great place to invest in solar – driving costs down for everyone else as we figure out how to make it cheaper.
Comment by Mark February 26, 2008 @ 4:21 amI’m hoping that my future investment in solar power pays off alot quicker. I’m building an off grid house in lower michigan, and just running power from the nearest pole was quoted at $6000. The difference between the roof trusses that i could have bought to build the house without the weight of solar panels on the roof would have been about $500 cheaper than what I’m going with. With all this considered, and with power going for 9 cents a KWH around here, the system should pay for itself in about 9 years. Doing the installation myself also saves a bundle.
Comment by coal_burner February 26, 2008 @ 4:46 amMartin Said “One of the common questions we get from neighbors, as well as from the blog-o-sphere, is when we expect the system to pay for itself.”
Do you ask your neighbors when the expect there electric bill will pay for itself? Your thoughts are spot on. I’ll spread the word about building reg’s in NM. Our Governor is pretty open minded when it comes to energy policies.
Comment by Brandon February 26, 2008 @ 6:27 amMartin,
Great write-up on your efforts and thoughts.
It is hard to sell increased regulation, especially when it costs people more. I was debating on a conservative blog that the cfl and led lightbulbs pay for themselves several times over, during their lifetime, without having to replace lamps, fixtures, etc., but no one was budging.
Our Congress keeps attaching a requirement to eliminate the tax breaks recently given to oil companies, as a part of the Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation Bill, ensuring Bush will veto it, so the incentives that consumers, cities and states have for sustaining growth in the renewable energy systems will soon end, killing the momentum that the industry has.
Martin sez:
Some people are against regulation no matter what – I am not one of them. California led the entire world with the creation of the first clean air regulations. We forced the car companies to invest in smog-reducing technologies that have since been adopted everywhere. These regulations are responsible for major improvements in air quality the world over
(I don’t know if this is widely known. California is the only state in the Union that has the right to set its own air quality rules; all other states are given a choice. They can adopt the federal EPA rules or they can adopt the rules set by the California Air Quality Board (CARB). This is because CARB predates the EPA…)
Without regulations imposed on the car companies, our cars would not be nearly as safe as they are either. As I have opined before, the FMVSS, with all its warts and bumps, is good regulation that has saved very many lives. One oddball Studebaker aside, no car company was going to install seatbelts in its cars until required to do so. Regulation levels the playing field – GM doesn’t have to worry about Ford undercutting their price by building a car without seatbelts…
Building construction is already highly regulated – the National Electrical Code, the National Plumbing Code, the Uniform Building Code, Title 24, earthquake structural requirements, fire codes, etc. Most of this regulation has resulted in better buildings, and the uniformity they require has driven costs of components and construction down.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 26, 2008 @ 6:39 amAfter eating a hearty lunch and pondering what the Dem Congress is actually doing, I’ve decided that I like the idea of the Dems eliminating the tax cuts for oil companies.
As it stands, the wealthy and corporations pay the lion share of taxes, so it is the wealthy that are subsidizing the oil companies. If these tax benefits are eliminated, then drivers will pay these costs at the gasoline pump, creating a far less progressive tax system in general. More people paying the true costs of the goods and services we use is actually a more sound economic system.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 26, 2008 @ 8:38 amI love the whole idea of having solar panels on my house or garage…and it’s good to know that they are continuously improving them. Just this morning I read about a new technique that mimics Moth eyes to create a solar panel that is only 2% reflective (compared to the 35-40% of current models)…and best of all, it doesn’t even cost as much as current anti-reflective technologies. Very cool!
http://www.treehugger.com/files/2008/02/moth-eyes-solar-panels.php
Comment by Craig February 26, 2008 @ 9:52 amGreat stuff,
As the owner of a 4.4kwh system and en electric city car (gem) I echo your points and have a few more to offer.
Some would finance their solar system on a home mortgage. In our case the system cost a net 23k after rebates. Financed on a home loan at 7% it equals approximately $165 a month. The interest on the mortgage is tax deductible, unlike our SDG&E bill, thus lowering that number to a net of $135 a month. Our SDG&E bill runs 26 cents a kwh for the top tier and our system generates 500 kwhs a month saving us $130 a month in electricity.
So from the very beginning our system cost is a net neutral. Coupled with other energy saving such as dimmable cfls we are now energy independent.
2nd point. We all understand that renting a home for $3000 a month is a lot cheaper that buying a home for $700,000 right? Not really. With a fixed mortgage payment in several years rents outpace the home loan not to mention appreciation in the home. That’s a pretty universally accepted concept.
Buying a solar system is no different. You can rent your electricity for $130 a month or own it for 23k. Owning it is a far better choice. As an example, when energy is being sold at 50cents a KWH our systems will be worth twice as much.
As a family of five, We are going to be waiting for the white star or the Chevy volt, until then, my little 4 seat gem does just fine around town, powered by the sun.
I feel that the paring of renewable energy (sun/wind) and the electric car will be the great idea of the century.
Cheers
Comment by Peder February 26, 2008 @ 9:54 amWow, Jason, straight from the Laffer curve, eh? Your idea that we would all be better off if we squeezed every dime out of the middle and lower classes and let the rich profit gratuitously from wage slavery is sick and immoral. The concept that conservatives manage to call themselves Christian and believe things like this is hard to understand. But Laffer is also bad economics…hardly any economists agreed with him at the time, and Bush senior as you’ll recall called it voodoo. Our economic history simply doesn’t support the claim that “trickle-down” encourages growth…even if we were so shallow as to consider GDP growth our only goal, instead of a “means” to the “end” of a high standard of living for our people. Also, your assertion that corporations are paying a lot of taxes is bunk; this was true in 1950, but for quite some time now the corporations have been getting off real light. Their share of the revenue bottomed out in 2003 at just 7.4% of total tax revenue, or 1.2% of GDP, and while they have risen some since then (a reflection of the fact that ALL the gains from the Bush tax cuts have gone to corporate profit (read: rich folks), while the worker has actually lost money) they still are a much smaller percentage than they were before 1983 when the major change happened.
When we had a highly progressive tax system, strong unions, a “war on poverty” (which worked quite well, btw) and fair wages, America was incredibly strong and getting stronger. Every class of society was getting wealthier at remarkably similar rates. Since we wrecked those systems, the richest fifth of the country has tripled it’s wealth and the bottom three fifths have lost a goodly portion of theirs. Now we see both public and private debt crises and an America that is clearly sliding backwards as an economic world power. This doesn’t work. Reagan hoodwinked us. We need to get back to progressive politics before it’s too late.
(Sorry for going OT Martin…sometimes you just can’t help it)
Comment by Hunter February 26, 2008 @ 10:01 amHunter,
If you truly believe that, then why are you supporting the Dems in pushing more fuel costs onto everyday drivers, when it is currently carried mostly by the wealthy and corporations?
Go tell them to leave oil companies alone, and focus on what is going to replace them.
Martin sez:
What a strange twist of logic! Giant tax breaks for the oil companies are there to help the poor?
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 26, 2008 @ 10:13 amKeep in mind, there’s a huge difference between tax breaks for corporations, and tax breaks for CEO’s. My political inclination would be to reduce taxes on corporations, but increase taxes on CEO’s. (FWIW, I am the CEO of my own corporation, albeit a small one.) By all means, keep the taxes low on the oil companies per se, but get rid of the harmful subsidies, and tax the cabbage out of their massive executive salaries. Just my two zillion cents’ worth.
P.S. Martin, see you at TED!
Comment by Ben Weiss February 26, 2008 @ 2:08 pmI try to work the problem as if everyone followed the same plan. What I do personally is not going to make much difference to the globe. The $10,000 rebate has to be a temporary provision that can not be sustained if everyone tries to get such a rebate.
I don’t see that it is an odd question to ask about payback. It is just a way of understanding what the cost is for doing what you choose to do.
The money, whether it is $36,000 in your case or $46,000 as it would be without the rebate, has to come from somewhere. I use 5% as a return that could come from an insured savings account. If you left the $36,000 in that account, every fourteen years it would double. So in 28 years, it would be $144,000. That is money you will not have if you spend it on solar panels that last 28 years. This is just an approximate example, and there is a lot of room for adjustment based on personal circumstances, but it is where people need to start to get a correct appraisal of the cost of a plan. Strangely, this is not included in most discussions of solar.
Comment by Jim Bullis February 26, 2008 @ 2:22 pmMartin,
It is reality, not twisted logic. The Congress should leave the petroleum industry alone, because everything they attempt will only be passed along to consumers. If they just focused on maintaining or strengthening support for renewable fuels, the petroleum industry will retract from “natural capitalism” – a better product(s) that consumers prefer will displace it.
Any increase in gasoline prices will just hurt our economy.
Martin sez:
I just don’t see giving one industry tax breaks that others don’t get as “natural capitalism.”
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 26, 2008 @ 3:06 pmJim,
The way I look at it is the same as my house example.
One way: I pay 3000 a month in rent instead of buying and invest the 700k at 5% which doubles every 14 years, after 28 years I have 2.8 million!
What is left unsaid is that assumes you have the 700k to invest, and what happens to the rent during those 28 years, how much have you paid, as well as what is the value of the home 28 years later that you did not buy because it was cheaper to rent.
My way, the solar is a net neutral from the day of installation, financing it on my home loan. I am energy independent and as rates go up as I am sure they will, my payment stays fixed. After 8 years when the bill is double except for mine, cause I invested in solar, I can invest the real savings if I wish. After 28 years the system will still be producing 80% of the power it does on day one thus still of great value.
Math and statistics are great and you can look at this a dozens ways I am sure. But….the little meter spinning backward is priceless!
I’ve posted a few pages in detail as well as my bill. Just click on my name if you care to check out my savings. It’s over $300 a month (solar gets the credit for about half of that) and that was January and February. As the days grow longer it will get even better.
I also agree that the rebates are not sustainable and will subside. The thought is that the cost of the panels and installation will be less in the future as the industry ramps up and the panels continue to gain in efficiencies.
Cheers
Comment by Peder February 26, 2008 @ 3:13 pmPeder
Peder,
Financing the cost on your home loan is roughly equivalent to taking the money out of the bank as far as your net worth is concerned. Either way there is interest on the money that is tied lup in the solar installation.
Sure, there are a lot of things to think about. I checked into the cost for me to do a solar installation. It doesn’t quite work for me, but our electric rates are less than Martin pays. I don’t know why that is since we both are in California. But the real difference is the interest on the money.
Comment by Jim Bullis February 26, 2008 @ 4:43 pmMartin,
At this point, those tax incentives are already a part of the current market. Whether the feds should have given the petroleum industry those breaks in the first place can be debated some other time (I think they were given as a response to the damage done in Hurricane Katrina).
Since they are a part of the current market, if Congress takes them away, it is effectively a tax increase, which will only be passed onto consumers, which will hurt the economy.
As for the rest of the energy bill, solar energy companies are only asking for a renewal of the tax incentives that were already on the books, but that is now held up, because Dems always have to take a pound of flesh – they never learn that the flesh comes from regular consumers.
If the braindead Dems would simply keep the market as it is, renewable energy would overtake petroleum and coal – messing with the market will only create a ripple effect through the economy, and the feds will spend all their time trying to remedy their ill-advised remedy.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 26, 2008 @ 4:48 pmRaymond Michiels wrote:
# I wouldn’t be surprised if your PV’s value would increase over time.
Not a sure thing. Newer technology keeps coming out so today’s system may look dated, overpriced and worn out in 20 years time. As long as you stay in the house and it works you are getting your money’s worth, but I wouldn’t count on any appreciation for the system itself. Thin film PV and other technologies threaten to drive the price down substantially.
Mark wrote:
# If your home’s value has actually increased because of solar installation than there will be extra taxes to pay each year.
Not everywhere.
California grants a property tax exemption for solar energy system related improvements
—
Oil company tax break link
Comment by TEG February 26, 2008 @ 5:15 pmyes it is about freedom! and doing it right!
Comment by Johan February 26, 2008 @ 5:29 pmAnybody see what happened in Florida today??
Comment by Freewheelin' Franklin February 26, 2008 @ 5:57 pmJason, you realize that in three short posts you managed to twist yourself entirely around to where you were completely arguing against yourself, right? When you say things, do you at all bother to think back to what you said before?
You started by saying you support getting rid of the oil-specific tax breaks, because it would basically make overall taxes less progressive. Luckily that’s not true, but thanks for baring your true greed. By your last two posts you were arguing against getting rid of the tax cuts, using some absurd misconstruance of what “leaving an industry alone” should be. Then you call Democrats “braindead” for taking the position you said you agreed with in the first place. That’s not a nice thing to call yourself.
But to address your specific claim that any tax increase on oil companies would be passed to the consumer, consider that these companies are unable to set price. They are relatively small providers of a commodity in a market controlled by a much larger cartel. Their costs are simply not connected to the price at which they sell oil. So, when prices swelled tremendously in the last few years, these companies saw a huge windfall. Meanwhile, a grotesquely oil-friendly administration gave them a huge freebie, which did nothing for oil prices and had a debatable effect on the economy. Taking it back won’t do anything to prices either, but giving it instead to an industry that is less glutted with profit and will actually spend the extra money on development has a real chance at changing the spot on the price curve where renewable sources intersect with fossil fuels. That means earlier adoption of new energy sources and cheaper energy overall, not to mention the benefits to the environment and other issues.
Also, I note this isn’t the first time you’ve shilled for big oil around here and Tesla’s blog.
Comment by Hunter February 26, 2008 @ 7:10 pmHey Everyone! We put a solar water heater on our roof back in July of ‘07 at a cost of $4,950.00 installed. I just returned a couple of hours ago from a trip to the accountant and yes indeed, I got $3,000.00 dollars of the $4950 back. (he-he) So, for $1,950.00 I have kissed the gas company goodbye. No muss, no fuss. You know how good that felt???
About the system: the collector has a 10 year warranty and the tank (80 gallon – equipped with a heat exchanger), I believe is 8. It has a back up heating element that I have had to turn the breaker on once. Oddly enough that one time was in the middle of August. We had 3 days of cloud cover and on the 3rd day we started running out of hot water.
My message to everybody here is I’ve never experienced such bang for my buck.
The PV Installation is going on this house in October in anticipation of some sort of electric vehicle in the near future. Even though Martin has no clue who I am I’ve been watching him over the last year and a half and he’s lit a fire under my glutes so to speak. Watching him made me decide It’s time for me to take action NOW. (Thank you Martin!) In the future when it’s time to sell my home I’m certain no utility bills to a potential buyer will look rather lucrative.
Comment by Freewheelin' Franklin February 26, 2008 @ 7:44 pmSolar is in my future and am not worried about ROI for my home, but it is a factor on the rentals (Uncle Taxman says so). I’d rather just use cash accounting and then let the CPA use whatever leveraged accrual (credits, rebates, etc) he wants and will be gravy for me.
I’ve designed several windgenerators (75KW up to 350KW at 480VAC) as retro-insurance work and know what happens when there are tax incentives. “POOF” if you miss their deadlines.
Does it matter what it is used for? The only matter is that the usage will NOT draw from the grid and will pump new power into the grid when his home usage is low.
Storage is still an issue. What is our plans on that end? This may be the biggest and most expensive component/system.
Martin sez:
Boy do I ever agree with you. Storage is the heart of the matter for so many clean generation and consumption technologies – wind, solar, electric cars, etc. While solar PV systems like ours are relatively few, we can use the grid as storage, offsetting other people’s energy consumption. But when most houses have PV – when we have enough PV to meet most of our daytime consumption, then we will need storage.
For energy production (solar, wind, tidal, whatever), the size and weight doesn’t matter. maybe pumping water or compressing air is good enough. Maybe we need further development of flow batteries. For mobile applications like cars, the storage problem is tougher – size and weight matter.
Needless to say, I have been looking into storage technologies for the last month or two.
I don’t know if you saw my testimony to the US Senate last year. Part of my message was that our next energy crisis will be one of energy storage.
Comment by bent1 February 26, 2008 @ 8:46 pmFranklin,
How many in your household and did you compare against a tankless hot water system?
Have not looked into that area in detail, yet.
My initial thoughts has me asking where the break point between them is and guessing on how many people or when & how much hot water demand within a short period of time (morning).
My system will have a tank regardless which way I go. Too many forget that they have 30-40-50 or more gallons of potable water in their water heaters. So a tankless system will still have a large, traditional gas fired water heater, just not hooked up and that thing should last forever…
Comment by bent1 February 26, 2008 @ 9:11 pmHi,
What do you think about nanosolar? (www.nanosolar.com)
Somewhere in their website I read their technology can achieve a similar cost per Watt generated by coal ($1 per Watt)
Best regards
Comment by Enrique February 26, 2008 @ 10:25 pmI don’t think anyone needs to justify their environmental positions any more than they need to justify buying a house vs. renting (when often renting is a better economic choice). However, with regards to calculating savings based on gasoline cost instead of electricity cost, it seems a little disingenuous to not consider the cost of the EV in the equation.
Comment by Pete February 26, 2008 @ 10:46 pmHunter,
I was being facetious with my comment about the Congress intentionally making a less progressive tax policy. While it is true the effect of their bill would be to increase the burden on consumers (since Congress cannot set prices), I am not in favor of it. The best thing the Congress could do it just renew everything is currently on the books.
These tech never could take root before, because fed policy was constantly in flux, and no one could make the longterm investments necessary to bring them to market. Fortunately for all of us, European nations have made longterm favorable renewable energy policy. European industries sprung up first, but American industries have caught up quickly. American Industries have made significant implementations in the US, but are now on hold, because Harry “Who’s My Daddy” Reid, and Nancy Pelosi think they are smarter than everybody else on these topics.
While I think they should just renew or strengthen renewable energy benefits and leave the petroleum companies alone, I would not be upset if Congress forced a less progressive system of fuel costs on consumers – it IS better economics, but not better policy.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 27, 2008 @ 7:24 amHydrogen cheaper than gasoline – more breakthroughs in hydrogen production:
http://www.eetimes.com/news/semi/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=206801669
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 27, 2008 @ 7:26 amJust checked my inverter today. It says it has generated 6960 kWh of power. It has a readout that says “11831 lbs CO2 saved”.
This is after being online for about one and half years.
Comment by TEG February 27, 2008 @ 8:17 amOne approach been noodling ever since purchased the solid state compressor patent portfolio for SunMicro is hydrogen ICE or fuelcell as the storage system.
Generate hydrogen & oxygen from the photovoltaic array instead of pumping it back into the grid after consuming whatever.
After the sun goes down, use the gases in hydrogen ICE or fuel cell.
Issue will be the tanks and liquid hydrogen & oxygen the better way….but….the losses from a compressor another issue.
The solid state process is very efficient and is scalable from a postage stamp to tonnage of refrigerant.
Too bad Sun has no interest in these patents. Diamond foam was one discovery we made while working on this.
Comment by bent1 February 27, 2008 @ 10:10 amSuperconducting (and future Ultraconducting) magnetic energy storage
Superconducting Magnetic Energy Storage (SMES) systems store energy in the magnetic field created by the flow of direct current in a superconducting coil which has been cryogenically cooled to a temperature below its superconducting critical temperature.
A typical SMES system includes three parts: superconducting coil, power conditioning system and cryogenically cooled refrigerator. Once the superconducting coil is charged, the current will not decay and the magnetic energy can be stored indefinitely.
The stored energy can be released back to the network by discharging the coil. The power conditioning system uses an inverter/rectifier to transform alternating current (AC) power to direct current or convert DC back to AC power. The inverter/rectifier accounts for about 2-3% energy loss in each direction. SMES loses the least amount of electricity in the energy storage process compared to other methods of storing energy. SMES systems are highly efficient; the round-trip efficiency is greater than 95%.
Due to the energy requirements of refrigeration and the high cost of superconducting wire, SMES is currently used for short duration energy storage. Therefore, SMES is most commonly devoted to improving power quality. If SMES were to be used for utilities it would be a diurnal storage device, charged from baseload power at night and meeting peak loads during the day.
Advantages over other energy storage methods: There are several reasons for using superconducting magnetic energy storage instead of other energy storage methods. The most important advantages of SMES is that the time delay during charge and discharge is quite short. Power is available almost instantaneously and very high power output can be provided for a brief period of time. Other energy storage methods, such as pumped hydro or compressed air have a substantial time delay associated with the energy conversion of stored mechanical energy back into electricity. Thus if a customer’s demand is immediate, SMES is a viable option. Another advantage is that the loss of power is less than other storage methods because electric currents encounter almost no resistance. Additionally the main parts in a SMES are motionless, which results in high reliability.
Current use: There are several small SMES units available for commercial use and several larger test bed projects. Several 1 MW units are used for power quality control in installations around the world, especially to provide power quality at manufacturing plants requiring ultra-clean power, such as microchip fabrication facilities.
These facilities have also been used to provide grid stability in distribution systems. SMES is also used in utility applications. In northern Wisconsin, a string of distributed SMES units was deployed to enhance stability of a transmission loop. The transmission line is subject to large, sudden load changes due to the operation of a paper mill, with the potential for uncontrolled fluctuations and voltage collapse. Developers of such devices include American Superconductor. The Engineering Test Model is a large SMES with a capacity of approximately 20 MW•h, capable of providing 10 MW of power for hours.
The information above has been extracted from Wikipedia
Ultraconductor Advantages: Once polymer Ultraconductors can be made into long wires, assuming they can sustain, as expected, persistant currents as is the case with superconductors, they are likely to perform at least as well, without the expensive and complex cryogenic cooling required with superconductors. Some years ago, Magnetic Power Inc. cooperated with a scientist at the Los Alamos National Laboratory who invented a technique of fabricating SMES eight feet in diameter that could be produced in a factory and easily transported to their ultimate location. They could then be linked together by utilities to provide whatever amount of energy storage was needed. This would allow base load power plants to run at constant speed all day and night with great economic and fuel saving advantages.
Comment by Mark Goldes February 27, 2008 @ 2:48 pmIn California, it’s hard not to justify Solar Panels.
Lots of Sunshine
State Subsidies
Property Tax Exemption
Time of Use Net Metering
High Electric Rates
I’ve had panels for several years and the “smile factor” of knowing I’m part of the solution is by far the most important benefit. Having it cost justified is just a perk.
Comment by Gordon Green February 27, 2008 @ 4:09 pmbent1: “How many in your household and did you compare against a tankless hot water system?”
There’s 3 of us but the teenage daughter makes it a real world 5. This kid does NOT have “conservation” in her vocabulary just yet. In all fairness though she is getting better and I’ve got her thinking. — The salesman was pretty cool. He actually talked us out of going with a tankless system. Mainly because the electrical panel is getting full and the other was cost. Going with the 80 gallon tank was about a third cheaper. (Or thereabouts.) Anyways, there has been no change of our hot water usage habits other than I shed the habit of paying the gas bill. Lovely.
Comment by Freewheelin' Franklin February 27, 2008 @ 5:04 pmJason, I found your link to the EETimes news quite amusing. The writer got quite carried away and suggested that with this new 85% efficient electrolysis that it would be pratical to create hydrodgen from water in your car to drive the fuel cell. What a joke. Where is the power going to come from for the electrolysis? Now he has a battery and water to create hydrogen to drive a fuel cell to drive an electric motor! And this is supposed to be better than hooking the battery up to the motor?
Comment by Roy February 27, 2008 @ 5:13 pmNot to drift to afar from solar, we have a whole house tankless system with one unit doing 4500 sq ft, kitchen, kitchenette, 2 laundrys, 5.5 baths and it works great. Never had an issue. I think they’re great as a new install as you can locate the system in a cener mass point and shorten the plumbing runs. On a retrofit, you’re still stuck in the old garage.
back to solar,
There is a social value, enviromental value, and economic value. We have discussed the economic equation at length, but in my opinion the social value and enviromental value of solar are equall if not greater in value.
Afterall, if it’s just economics, what the hell are we all doing here?
Cheers
Peder
Comment by Peder February 27, 2008 @ 7:10 pmGreat post Martin!
I totally agree with your logic.
We live in a country, where parts (solar panels, misc. hardware) are cheap, and labor (installation) is expensive.
It ’s much cheaper to plan for “options” to anything ahead of time. We do it with cars, computers, why not houses too?
My dad has two huge tanks in the cellar, that would be used for diesel oil heating. He did that because it was cheaper to install them ahead of time, before we built the house on top of them.
We’ve yet to use them, but my dad doesn’t feel bad about installing them. (He gambled that heating by oil would become more energy efficient within 20 years. (which is why we have the house set up heated floors.-same reason, cheaper to snake pipes before the floor goes in) – Unfortunately efficiency hasn’t gone up.
We decided to use inverter technology and heat the house electrically instead. (inverter technology works by “pulling” the ambient heat from the outside air in a 4 to 1 ratio. 4 parts heat “produced” for 1 part electricity)
Who knows what we’ll use the tanks for in the future. Probably not fossil fuels.
Comment by Max February 27, 2008 @ 7:24 pmMartin- it’s no longer the Uniform Bldg. Code but the International Bldg. Code (IBC-2006))-here (Nv.) and in most of the country, must be so in Calif . too. Local bldg. depts. can add whatever addendums to it they want (they’ve added a few to our code)-re. solar or whatever. Re. taxing the oil companies, in ‘48 (I believe it was) the Truman admin. justice dept. was trying to figure out just how much the oil companies actually made-they suspected taxes were being evaded. They subpoenaed oil co. records, specifically Standard Oil of N.J.-also, records relating to Saudi Arabia, etc. This action was blocked by: the CIA and NSA for: “reasons of national security”. Wonderful: the CIA telling Truman and his justice dept. what to do. Some “freedom & democracy” we’ve got here-Truman was elected, the weasel head of the CIA (probably Allen Dulles at the time, a cousin of the Rockefellers-they being Standard Oil personified) wasn’t. The same thing happened re. 28 pages of the 911 commission report relating to: 2 of the hijacker pilots living in an apt. in San Diego with an FBI informant ( ! ? -yeah: ! ? ). Sen. Phil Graham, head of the Senate Intelligence Committee, and all the other committee members wanted these pages released. They were overidden by: the CIA for: “reasons of national security”. Don’t ask why as in /slash/ don’t get me started. Suffice to say that: you can’t herd the U.S into a bogus war without a nice big event happening as a pre-reason. Truman said, at some point, that his worst mistake was allowing the formation of the CIA. Later JFK threatened to “scatter it to the four winds” (and fired Dulles). So: to halibut with the precious oil companies, they’ve made vast money forever, and not paid taxes on all of it either. To paraphrase Marie Antoinette: “let them eat cabbage” with cabbagecake for dessert. Re. solar, if I had your kind of cash- with more (an’ a Tesla) on the way- I’d do the same. I looked into solar, but my power use is very small-with the small “starter system” I wanted to get, the company I talked to was saying “it’s so small the inverter will hardly work”, they didn’t sound enthusiastic-and with supposedly a lot cheaper, lighter Nanosolar one the way I decided not to mess with it yet. However-if the stupid fed. govt. could have matched the state rebate then “now we’re talkin’”-but nooo, that would be bad for coal biz-”wouldn’t be prudent,not gonna do it-need those 1000 points of c02″. Someone should slap Al Gore around to plaster his Tenn. house with solar, with the kind of cash he makes he’s got no excuse: bad for his image. But then so is this: his daughter marrying Drew Schiff, great grandson of Jacob who was part of the cabal that set up our IRS/Fed. Reserve act c. 1913 and who was also a descendent of the Frankfurt Schiffs, c. 1765, who happened to also be the next door neighbors and best friends of the original Rothschild patriarch & 5 sons, later buddies/benfactors (”to say the least”) of: John D. Rockefeller- & 5 sons. Any questions re. all of this are, and shall remain, but of course, “just a theory” (as usual).
Comment by T.J. February 28, 2008 @ 12:07 amI think you should develop several housing designs and make them available (for a price) to people that have an interest in having a home built for them. I also think you should lead the way yourself by starting a building company to actually get these homes built for people, perhaps by having your design services available to existing building companies to incorporate your energy efficiency options into their building designs as options to their customers. It would be nice to have standards dictated, but we don’t even have the option in the interim!
You did get involved with a Solar company recently didn’t you? How about having them begin being proactively marketing solar upgrades to US builders.
Comment by Michael February 28, 2008 @ 3:04 amRoy,
Yes, clearly the writer has never heard of thermodynamics, much less entropy.
The important part of the story was that the innovators have created nano-techs to reduce the size, weight and cost of building and operating hydrogen fuel cells and hydrogen generators to a point where it is cheaper than building and operating gasoline ICE’s.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 28, 2008 @ 8:18 amNews story: 280-megawatt solar power plant to be built near Phoenix
Comment by TEG February 28, 2008 @ 9:01 amThunderstruck Bike sets new speed record:
http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/February2008/28/c7010.html
Batteries produced by Lithium Technology Corporation:
http://www.lithiumtech.com/
I absolutely love that these techies aren’t just producing whitepapers and trace charts from their analyzers. They are going out and partnering with racing teams to produce vehicles that PROVE what their products can do.
It seems that LTC have had the goods for awhile, but never properly marketed their tech in the right venues and industries. A123 created a racing bike and sold in volume to power tool companies, eclipsing LTC’s claim of having a better tech for 20 years, and snagging GM as a customer. LTC has learned a hard lesson, and now has their own racing bike.
Now comes the time for side-by-side races between LTC and A123.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 28, 2008 @ 10:25 amJason, you’re still wrong that taking back the tax break would increase the burden on consumers. You are correct that congress cannot set prices, but you miss the fact that neither can the oil companies. As I said before and you ignored, they are selling a commodity in a market controlled by a cartel of which they are not members. Their costs have absolutely no relationship to their selling price. Pull out any intro microecon textbook and it’ll tell you the same thing. This tax break is going directly to corporate profit (which was already at record levels before the giveaway), and is doing absolutely nothing to reduce the price at the pump.
Comment by Hunter February 28, 2008 @ 10:28 amHunter,
Yes, commodities do receive downward pressure from market prices, but all American oil companies are going to be hit with exactly the same cost increase, creating pressure for American oil companies to raise their prices.
Now, I suspect you believe that the Venezuelan owned company Citgo will undercut American gasoline prices, causing American oil companies to keep prices low. While it may prevent American gasoline prices from going as high as they might otherwise, I believe they will still increase significantly.
All Congress has done is allow Citgo to make a better profit too. I suspect Citgo gives the Dems plenty of donations, so now more of Citgo’s money can go to the Dem party.
All of this comes on the backs of everyday people who are just trying to drive to work.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 28, 2008 @ 10:46 amJason, you are so wrong it’s comical. Where did you come up with the idea that these companies decide their pricing for themselves? Have you ever heard of a commodities market? Let me say again: OIL COMPANIES DO NOT SET OIL PRICES.
Oil prices are determined on an ask/bid market like other securities. Exxon can’t decide to charge more for a barrel of oil any more than Microsoft can decide to charge more for shares of its stock. Furthermore, when price is determined on the market, the cost of production never enters into the equation. Seriously, taking away part of American oil companies’ vast profits (which we just gave them as a handout for no decent reason) will not affect the price of oil. It will not be “on the backs of everyday people” but rather on the backs of the rich few who extracted an unfair windfall from the government using massive special interest lobbying and contributions. Please, pretty please, go take a microecon course someplace and stop spewing this garbage.
Also, your wild-eyed Citgo conspiracy theory would be laughable, if it weren’t for the fact that oil companies really are giving millions of dollars in contributions to the Republicans who gave them this outrageous windfall tax break (among other things). Somehow that takes the humor out of your fiction. I searched opensecrets for Citgo and found nothing at all. The only fault Republicans have found with Citgo’s U.S. political dealings (at least publicly) was when they cried foul over a deal to provide discounted heating oil to poor New Englanders in the winter. Why are they mad? Turns out most of the poor people up there are Democrats, so they are getting most of this cheap oil. Funny, they don’t seem to find a problem with the dividend tax cut going largely to wealthy Republicans. But whatever; saying the Democrats are beholden to oil money is definitely addressing the speck in your neighbor’s eye without considering the log in your own. And saying that taking away the oil companies’ windfall will impact ordinary Americans is completely false.
Comment by Hunter February 28, 2008 @ 3:24 pmHunter,
I am not talking about oil prices. I am talking about gasoline prices at the pump. The commodity price of oil is one compaonent of the price of gasoline. Cost of refining and transporting the oil is another component. TAXES are another significant component of the price of gasoline at the pump. If the oil companies lose the tax incentives they currently have, then their costs go up, increasing the cost of gasoline at the pump.
Don’t know why you are intentionally trying to obfuscate this issue by talking oil commodity prices, which is only one component of gasoline prices at the pump, but you are not simply being stupid, you are being balefully deceitful.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 28, 2008 @ 4:15 pmI’m a novice at online discussion groups, and unfamiliar with their psychodynamics. A friend pointed me to this article http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Troll_%28Internet%29 which cleared up a lot of questions I’ve accumulated. Here’s some of it:
———-
“An Internet troll, or simply troll in Internet slang, is someone who posts controversial and usually irrelevant or off-topic messages in an online community, such as an online discussion forum, with the intention of baiting other users into an emotional response[1] or to generally disrupt normal on-topic discussion.[2]”
“The basic mindset of a troll is that they are far more interested in how others react to their (posts) than in the usual concerns of … accuracy, veracity, comprehensiveness, and overall quality.”
“Trolling is a game about identity deception, albeit one that is played without the consent of most of the players. The troll attempts to pass as a legitimate participant, sharing the group’s common interests and concerns….”
“Trolls can be costly in several ways. A troll can disrupt the discussion …, disseminate bad advice, and damage the feeling of trust in the … community.”
“Experienced participants in online forums know that the most effective way to discourage a troll is usually to ignore him or her, because responding encourages a true troll to continue disruptive posts — hence the often-seen warning “Please do not feed the troll”.”
———-
Ignoring doesn’t seem appropriate for this blog, because a lot of people are using it to gain a better understanding of important technological and social and economic issues, which can be very confusing even to bright and well educated people. The presentation of a lot of deceptive, misleading and fatuous statements without them being challenged isn’t a positive outcome.
It would be a shame for the level of annoyance and misinformation to get so high that it would damage the benefit of this blog, only because one or more visitors seemed to have mild but persistent sociopathic personality disorders and a lot of free time on their hands.
I have no previous experience with this problem, and would be happy to learn more from those who have about various ways it plays out. Is any sort of method for dealing the problem in place on this blog?
As an example of the confusing nature of even straightforward and long-standing technology, a survey of Harvard graduates, who were familiar with the word “photosynthesis”, found that a very low percentage of them were able to correctly identify the source of the bulk of the material that constitutes a tree.
Most well-educated people in the world are taught that the reason airplanes can fly is that the top of the wing presents a longer path to the air than the bottom, thus causing a lower pressure according to the Bernoulli principle. Those same people can watch a moderately powered airplane flying along upside down at an air show without a second thought.
Comment by Steve S. February 28, 2008 @ 5:06 pmAside to Hunter comment: the discounted heating oil to the poor in New England program was set up by Joe Kennedy II, who quit congress to do this. When people slammed him for dealing with Chavez of Venezuela he said that poor people don’t care where the help comes from, since the fed. govt. isn’t doing it. He also said big deal re. Chavez since forever we’ve been getting oil from the usual gang fo midestern dictators/despots. Now what Joe has to do is contact Nanosolar and work to put some of that on poor people’s roofs down the round,over time -to end the endless cycle of power that has to be bought, rather than gotten free (after the payoff period) from our buddy the sun.
Comment by T.J. February 28, 2008 @ 5:41 pmSteve S:
Did you ever read The Hobbit or The Lord Of The Rings? In The Hobbit Bilbo gets saved by the Sun from being eaten by 3 trolls.
My point is yes, trolls can be troublesome but eventually Solar Power wins out.
Frank
Comment by Freewheelin' Franklin February 28, 2008 @ 6:53 pmTJ,
Nanosolar should keep selling its products in the most lucrative markets, which are Germany and Spain, where they can receive much higher margins than in the US.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 28, 2008 @ 6:54 pmJust read online artcle on Li-ion batteries on National Institute of Standards & Technolgy website. Japan makes 80% of Li-ion batteries. They said U.S companies looked into making them but couldn’t make enough money vs. alkaline battery profit-and by time they looked at it, the Japanese were lowering battery costs fast-partly because they had a ready market via all the Japanese consumer electronics companies with products using li-ion. They said if U.S. makers had gotten with U.S. companies needing the batteries, like Dell and Motorola, maybe they could have made making li-ion batteries pay off. Article said that China has designated li-ion batteries & fuel cell systems as “strategic tech.” The Korea Institute of Standards has a goal of transferring good tech.ideas developed by small U.S. companies to the large Korean manufacturing companies. Also, Japanese industry has agents in U.S. on the lookout for new tech. to produce. As if we didn’t know it already, it’s really important for U.S. to keep up big private/govt. spending on R & D. The next president will no doubt be better re. this, and pushing green tech. Already home builders are offering solar-such as solar roof tile. One local builder just announced a project where all the homes will have this as a standard feature. Builders are always looking for things to make their homes stand out, energy savings is a big one. I see some solar on homes (in the 2/3’s of country good re. solar) as being a common feature -standard or optional-within the next 5 years even.
Comment by T.J. February 28, 2008 @ 7:31 pmFreewheelin’ Franklin,
I’m not much on fantasy; as a kid I was more fond of the adventures written and illustrated by Gilbert Shelton and S. Clay Wilson. I think Solar Power could use a little help from W. W. or the Checkered Demon.
Is this a good example of what I was talking about? http://thinkprogress.org/2008/02/16/fbi-received-unauthorized-e-mail-access/
The edits and formatting make sort of a dog’s breakfast out of the text; the key thing to remember is that the original line 3 is gone, but part of it starts off line 8. The rest can be inferred from context.
Hopefully this part of the blog will get back on topic.
Comment by Steve S. February 28, 2008 @ 9:24 pmMartin,
Comment by John1 February 28, 2008 @ 10:51 pmI absolutely agree with your posting. I just wanted to add for the technical people for “when does the solar panels pay off itself” that the maintenance such as oil changes, oil, oil filters, smog tests, spark plugs, should be added to the savings for having an EV and counteracting the Solar Panels’ costs. Thank you for posting great blogs entries.
Another hydrogen / gasoline hybrid, allowing driver to decide which fuel is used:
http://www.autobloggreen.com/2006/09/12/bmw-officially-announces-the-bmw-hydrogen-7/
Hydrogen ICE vehicles would be good cold start vehicles, as opposed to alcohols, which require a blend of gasoline to insure enough atomization to achieve ignition.
Edward Norton just took the keys of the latest vehicle to be delivered.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler February 29, 2008 @ 8:30 amSporadic installations of solar is fine (way to go guys above), but mainstream USA thinks you’re all Ed Beglys or rich hobbyists. Single digit solaradoption rates isn’t going to solve the problem.
Germany’s figured they needed to make it simple. And it worked. The leaders dangled a huge carrot with a simple message “We’ll pay you handsomly to feed the grid” which helps Germans get off coal, gas and nuclear.
It’s a BIG carrot too. Germany offers a feed-in tariff of 54.5 €cents/kWh for 20 years, reducing 5% per year. There is no effective cap on this program.
Germany’s message is “Feed the grid” and get paid.” Why can’t we do that? Too simple I guess.
The message… buy solar hardware, get payback and make a profit. We’d instantly have hundreds of thousands of solar rooftop businesses spring up. Germany has it happening in spades. Who can deliver this message to congress and the people? Maybe Lindsay Lohan would wear a button that says “Feed the Grid”.
Comment by Dale D February 29, 2008 @ 4:54 pmDale-do google search on this: “Las Vegas Concordia homebuilder goes solar”. They are building homes that are powered 100% by solar. They say that when the dust setttles on cost, it saves people money each month. The houses will cost around $300,000 and use GE “Ecoimagination” products. Since homebuilders are always matching the competition in features, in a few years I see homes (except maybe those in the lower price ranges) having solar as standard equip.-if in good solar climate areas. When Nanosolar type solar becomes generally available in the U.S. ( if anywhere near the cheaper price they project) then watch out: “here comes the sun” for sure. Our fed. govt. is trapped by the fossil fuel lobbies, as usual- the head of the German solar program said on PBS show on solar energy that the reason Germany can go big on solar is that ,unlike U.S. , there isn’t a vast coal & natural gas “establishment”. I saw a full page coal ad in the local paper-put there because they want to build 2 coal plants in central Nv. The ad said “modern coal power is very clean ” of course they failed to mention c02-which is an air pollutant “officially now” per U.S. Supreme Court ruling. Ad also said: “we need a balanced energy future”-ha!~- no kidding: right now renewable energy (including hydroelect.) in the U.S. provides about 7% of our power-the rest comes from coal, gas & nuclear power. Con artists at work, per typ. Corp. P.R. M.O. When Obama gets elected (I forsee when not if) maybe there will be significant green changes, based on fact that Goldman Sachs has been in the news as an unusually green investment co. In Feb. 25th Business Week mag. article on Obama they say that his biggest business backers (in terms of employee contributions) are: Goldman Sachs, UBS, Lehman Bros.,National Amusements and JP Morgan Chase. Wikipedia search on UBS says that it is based in Switzerland, is world’s largest manager of private wealth and second biggest bank in Europe. In article it says that U.S. division CEO Robt. Wolf met Obama: ” ‘…I found him unbelievably refeshing and smart’ says Wolf, who first met Obama in the offices of financier George Soros, Wolf has raised more than $1 million for the Obama camapign”. Soros: Rothschild “assoc./front guy” of long standing. Ditto for the original Mr. J.P. Morgan. Re. Goldman Sachs, wikipedia sez: “they act as financial advisor to some of the most important companies,largest govts. and wealthiest families in the world….due to its secretive firm culture and revolving door relationship with the federal govt., Goldman Sachs has recently been referred to as ‘Wall Street’s Secret Society’ “. Obama’s been “on the farm team” since when he worked for that strange think-tank like co. called Business In’tl Corp. for a year between graduating from Columbia Univ. and going to Harvard law school. This explains the Bill Clinton-like Cheshire cat grin. They both knew early on that they were set for life on the farm team, in some capacity. If you’re on the farm team you will get good media attention and there will be backers for your career, coming from somewhere. Successful “international bankers” (is there any other kind?) do like to plan far ahead- and they have all the “free time”, money and “associates” in the world to do so.
Comment by T.J. February 29, 2008 @ 7:12 pmSpeaking of farm team media attention, just a few short years ago I was sitting around, minding my own proverbial business, reading news mags., papers, watching news shows when “Boom !” in John Madden style out of nowhere suddenly Obama was everywhere: Time, Newsweek, local paper editorials, syndicated columnist editorials , ABC, NBC, CBS news. It was like someone had suddenly thrown on a media lightswitch-and “someone” had, in fact. Knowing what I know I correctly smelled ” the pre- planned pre- -build-up”. Especially since the question was ” who’s this guy and what has he ever really done anyway to get this PR? ” . As for Clinton, he was no doubt first noticed by the farm team scouting system when he worked at age 18 on the election (or was it re-election? I forget) campaign for the gov. of Arkansas, whose name happened to be Winthrop Rockefeller. This will get “an ambitious, smart (or smartish) charismatic poor boy who just wants to be on the winning team” ( like Nixon) noticed for future training as in: Yale, Oxford-Rhodes Scholar (Cecil Rhodes being a Rothschild team member assigned to the wealth of Africa-like gold, diamonds, railroads)-”and the rest is pre-fab history” .
Comment by T.J. February 29, 2008 @ 7:46 pmTJ,
What you say about Clinton / Obama has a ring of truthiness, although there is no way either of us could really know. I believe your assessment is correct, because I noticed the same “occurances”, which could only have been orchestrated by unseen hands.
I’ve had people try to tell me that Obama created all the infrastructure in all these states that are getting him nominated, and I just laugh. I tell them that the infrastructure has been building for a few years, and they chose him.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 1, 2008 @ 7:34 amDale D,
While individual home installments may seem insignificant, I believe that the future requires both in home solar power, as well as renewable energy plants feeding the grid, to fill all our needs. Plug-in vehicles require a lot of energy, so, unless you have a large home / property, you will need grid energy.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 1, 2008 @ 7:37 amSadly, this is so common…this absolute positioning of anything and out of context to the whole. It is either white or black and nothing in between.
Like the other discussion on ‘lean’ for production. Just addressing the process for leanness is out of context, as there is more to than just production. ‘We’ HAVE to conscientiously change the way we think and do it, but the Japanese do not, it is a ‘natural’ thing and invisiable to them. It is just business as usual
Solar is a good thing and a direction we must go, but it is NOT the end all solution. Just one component of the whole.
Like the marketing demographics that has Toyota and all of the other Hybrid OEMs not supply a charge cord with their vehicles. Those studies says their consumers would NOT buy a hybrid if it had a charge cord. To me, pure stupidity, but must admit to testing that and confirm that most of the folks I’ve asked either don’t care, or don’t understand how that would make much of a difference. The big issue is that they don’t understand KWH vs a gallon of dino.
To that, why am an advocate of a change in how we compare. MPG does not work. MPB does, but folks have said to use Joules as that is a better unit of measure, but think if those folks don’t understand KWH, they surely will NOT understand joules per mile.
For now, how/what/etc solar is broken down in cost and ROI is just an exercise in details that will not matter down the road. Getting the nation going is what matters, IMHO.
I think politics and business in this country has too much cross influence without regard for the ‘good of the country’ metrics.
Plus we have too many special interest folks/organizations/etc that don’t care for the good of mankind, but only for their very narrow focus of interest. To the detriment of all others.
Because of all this, our system will never have a ‘good’ government (big business) supported program.
Comment by bent1 March 1, 2008 @ 10:21 amhttp://www.inhabitat.com/2008/02/25/world’s-largest-solar-power-plant-coming-to-arizona-in-2011/
All I can say is it’s about time.
Comment by Freewheelin' Franklin March 1, 2008 @ 10:28 amAttempt to fix Franklin’s link
Comment by TEG March 1, 2008 @ 2:45 pmThanks TEG.
Comment by Freewheelin' Franklin March 1, 2008 @ 4:03 pmModern Marvels just covered this particular solar tower plan in its last episode. The solar chimney in Spain works, while becoming a greenhouse for the plants to grow beneath the “skirt”.
I think the longterm sustainability of this design is more promising than those solar techs that require tracking systems, etc., which over time, break down. The only moving parts in this design are 30+ turbines at the base, which have simple maintenance / replacement schedules, as opposed to thousands upon thousands of actuators for PV and CPV, and hundreds for solar trough.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 1, 2008 @ 4:25 pmJason- you’re right: very . Years ago I did a lot of reading on “the strange cases of JFK, RFK and MLK”, ending with books by David Icke, while a friend at work was reading up on the fed. reserve and all of that (Eustice Mullins). Let me tell you, the evidence “on all of this” is slam dunk-it could be proven in a civil court of law to jurors. The various” trails to follow” and details going back decades on end, leading to centuries in fact, are absolutely endless- I followed some of them until it was just too much. My brother refuses to even consider any of it- that’s smart in a way for cabbage sure: “blissful ignorance” , happy life and all of that. He even doesn’t want to let global warming bother him. Me and my nephew bought him enough green light bulbs to outfit his enitre house (the Christmas before last)- like around $200 worth. He hasn’t installed any-except when a couple of his old bulbs burned out. My brother thinks that if he can’t do something about “the way things are” he basically doesn’t want to think about it . It is really hard to know “this stuff” ( and there’s plenty of details I don’t know) and see how people around the world are conned- it’s like a soap opera. Also, I have “a small problem” re. JFK, RFK, MLK-they weren’t part of the approved soap opera, but rather were running the real thing: as in an awarding winning broadway play by comparison. The powers that be don’t like independent productions running outside the realm of their long-terms plans- productions of real substance run by people that they can’t control/manipulate/persuade- productions that are good for “avg. people” , peace and the environment worldwide-”it’s bad for (their) business”.
Comment by T.J. March 1, 2008 @ 6:03 pmPV to EV I heard that it’s possible. Instead of inverting the DC (solar) up to AC (85% eff) and running the battery charger on AC to DC (85% eff), just series up your solar panels to match your car’s battery voltage. In the meantime I’m running an inverter to run my EV charger and I’m getting ‘free’ power, even tho it’s only .7225 Watt for the 1 solar watt. Grid tie is the way to go unless you are a survivalist or off gridder. You will NEVER get paid by the power company, only get credit and at the end of the year kiss your excess credit goodbye, and keep paying those service charges. You have to pay the power company for a new power meter and I heard many billing errors where the meter went backwards to much and they figure you owe many thousands of dollars. I’d be interested in hearing Martin’s billing stories, if any.
Every house should have some solar power if just for emergency lighting and communincations services. My mini solar system runs my computer modem and portable phone 24/7 and never goes down.
Hey Martin was it EE383 Kuo Control systems, he used his own textbook or EE386 circuits with Babcock? I forget the exact course number, those were the days.
Comment by Patman3 March 1, 2008 @ 7:24 pmJason-to go “off topic” again, though not really ’cause “it’s all related” I’d just like to say I have about 30 books on my bookshelf re. the above (and at least 3 more never came back after I loaned them to people). But if you want one book that covers a lot of it that would be “And the Truth Shall Set You Free” by David Icke. He has some wacky-like metaphysical stuff in parts of this book, but you can take that with a grain of salt-he should have put it in another book. However at least 3/4’s of the book is the real deal (his bibliography includes many of the books I have). Icke used to be a journalist in England. I would love to start typing some of what I’ve read, much from other sources than Icke, and still remember in detail (after years even) but it would get slightly out of hand: as in I’d be typing for hours and you’d be scrolling and scrolling down this blog looking for the end of it-only you wouldn’t be finding an end.
Comment by T.J. March 1, 2008 @ 7:29 pmHello Martin,
Not sure how to contact you directly, so I’m posting this here hoping that you’ll read it.
It goes without saying that I love your blog. I have already complimented you on your writing style that is so engaging and fun.
My blog is now being featured in a local newspaper. I have put a link to your blog, which I call “Martin Eberhard’s blog”. I like that title better than “Tesla Founders Blog” (which is missing an apostrophe – this affects me as a perfectionist).
Anyway, I just wanted to give you a heads up. I might make some references to your blog and wanted to make sure that’s okay. I have been reading your blog almost religiously, and I have even purchased a book you recommended (still waiting for it to arrive – used books are cheap but can take forever to be delivered).
Here’s my blog:
http://blog.seattlepi.nwsource.com/electricvehicleguide/
You are the real thing, thus I know that we’re in this battle to promote electric vehicles together. Perhaps we’ll work together someday – it’d be an honor just to be in your presence.
Best Regards,
- Ricardo Parker
Comment by Ricardo Parker March 1, 2008 @ 7:35 pmPatman3:
“You have to pay the power company for a new power meter and I heard many billing errors where the meter went backwards to much and they figure you owe many thousands of dollars. I’d be interested in hearing Martin’s billing stories, if any.”
I posted earlier on this blog about installing a solar water heater. Dealing with the gas company was easy. With a phone call they came out and shut it off. It was that simple.
The electric company I am learning is a different animal. There’s permits, inspections and issues I’m sure I haven’t discovered yet. It’s understandable because we do need to keep the house and the utility workers safe. That I can deal with. What I wouldn’t be able to deal with is if the electric company tried to impregnate me.
I too would like to hear if Martin or anybody else has had to review their bills with their electric companies post PV installation.
Thanks all in advance.
Comment by Freewheelin' Franklin March 2, 2008 @ 7:15 amYou are so right. California has plenty of free sun, and financing a solar system over a long period will be better than cost neutral. We are going to embrace your concept, not because we want to necessarily, but because we have to. It will reverse the decline of the American dream.
Comment by John Harlan March 2, 2008 @ 11:14 amNo problems with billing on our 4.4 kwh system.
First, you are dealing with high voltage utility grade power that you are producing and pumping it back into the grid. This is stuff you don’t want to play with. Inspections and permits are very necessary, but from the homeowner point of view it was painless.
SDG&E did not charge us for the new 2 way spinning meter that replaced the old. The solar provider was responsible for getting the permits, doing the work. When the work was completed, the city inspected first and then mailed a letter to SDG&E saying the system was good to go. In a few days SDG&E came and turned on the system. All this was handled by the solar provider and the utility.
We signed a net metering contract with the utility and only have to pay our bill once a year if we wish. I opted to keep my auto-pay bill every month. I also check my meter every week and keep a spreadsheet of usage. It tracks exactly what the bill meter reading is.
So in a nutshell, very easy and no blips or headaches with SDG&E and or billing at all.
About the comment in a prior post “mainstream USA thinks you’re all Ed Beglys or rich hobbyists”
I tend to agree, that perception although false is the norm.
My comment on the rich hobbyists part is that solar is simply a choice available to most homeowners. Our system was $25,000. That is in the range for the vast majority of us to purchase. We spend that much or more on cars, motor homes, desert toys, planes, boats, swimming pools, in ground Jacuzzi, landscaping, kitchen remodels, I think you get the picture. How many of those improvements pay you $140 per month? I would suggest that a solar P.V. system is simply a choice, a conservative choice, available to many, as opposed to a luxury for rich hobbyists.
Cheers
Comment by Peder March 2, 2008 @ 11:45 amPeder
Martin,
Another great post on a great topic. I am almost as interested on solar panels as I am on electric cars (because the two go together as you explained).
Several comments:
People like you who have the finances and are willing to purchase solar panels before it makes “perfect financial sense” are the people who are investing in and driving the PVs technology. This is something to be admired. The people who have the means, but are “waiting for prices to come down” are making no contribution to the development of PVs – not to mention that prices should be on a continual decline so there’s never a good time to buy based on this view.
I have been listening to Michael Pollan, who is an expert on food (as you are on electric cars). He is brilliant, and his talks can be found on KUOW.org and TED.com. Anyway, Mr. Pollan makes the argument that organic food is not expensive (as many people claim). He says organic food is the REAL PROCE of food. It’s just that people are used to paying less for processed foods, and there’s a reason why these processed foods are cheaper.
Anyway, the same can be said of cars. The cars we buy now are artificially cheaper. I.e, we’re not paying the true cost of manufacturing – we’re definitely not paying the true price of the natural resources being used and the effect on the environment. Even Rick Wagoner of GM has expressed this – you have been in touch with him, so you can say this is true. I read an article the other day in which he suggested it’s only a matter of time until car prices are much higher.
My point is that eventually we are going to have to pay the true cost of cars, and it’s going to be a lot more than we’re paying now.
I have a sense this is the case of you buying the Tesla. Just like the solar panels you purchased for your home may not make perfect financial sense (looking at it as an investment), the same can be said about purchasing a Tesla Motors. I’m surprised you didn’t also say that in your last post about PVs. But life is not about always paying the lowest price (I refuse to enter a WallMart) as you explained well, and one can reduce their carbon footprint by buying an expensive electric car with a yet unproven and darn expensive battery pack (or should I call it Energy Storage System – ESS?)
Thank you for your posts and for being in contact with your loyal readers. You are an inspiration to be followed.
Comment by Ricardo Parker March 2, 2008 @ 1:14 pmMartin,
Another great post on a great topic. I am almost as interested on solar panels as I am on electric cars (because the two go together as you explained).
Several comments:
People like you who have the finances and are willing to purchase solar panels before it makes “perfect financial sense” are the people who are investing in and driving the PVs technology. This is something to be admired. The people who have the means, but are “waiting for prices to come down” are making no contribution to the development of PVs – not to mention that prices should be on a continual decline so there’s never a good time to buy based on this view.
I have been listening to Michael Pollan, who is an expert on food (as you are on electric cars). He is brilliant, and his talks can be found on KUOW.org and TED.com. Anyway, Mr. Pollan makes the argument that organic food is not expensive (as many people claim). He says organic food is the REAL PROCE of food. It’s just that people are used to paying less for processed foods, and there’s a reason why these processed foods are cheaper.
Anyway, the same can be said of cars. The cars we buy now are artificially cheaper. I.e, we’re not paying the true cost of manufacturing – we’re definitely not paying the true price of the natural resources being used and the effect on the environment. Even Rick Wagoner of GM has expressed this – you have been in touch with him, so you can say this is true. I read an article the other day in which he suggested it’s only a matter of time until car prices are much higher.
My point is that eventually we are going to have to pay the true cost of cars, and it’s going to be a lot more than we’re paying now.
I have a sense this is the case of you buying the Tesla. Just like the solar panels you purchased for your home may not make perfect financial sense (looking at it as an investment), the same can be said about purchasing a Tesla Motors. I’m surprised you didn’t also say that in your last post about PVs. But life is not about always paying the lowest price (I refuse to enter a WallMart) as you explained well, and one can reduce their carbon footprint by buying an expensive electric car with a yet unproven and darn expensive battery pack (or should I call it Energy Storage System – ESS?)
Thank you for your posts and for being in contact with your loyal readers. You are an inspiration to be followed.
Comment by Ricardo Parker March 2, 2008 @ 1:16 pmOne more thing:
Many people say “wind power” is the way of the future as far as renewable energy because of its potential.
I think PVs or other solar power technology is the way of the future as far as generating energy. Wind power seems to promise bigger returns at the moment (perhaps), but look at it this way: almost all of the power we use, if not all, comes from our biggest star, the Sun. Oil (petroleum) is stored solar energy; so called “ancient solar power”. So to me it makes sense to go directly to the sun for collecting energy. The whole biofuels industry is actually a process of collecting solar energy – just in a messy and roundabout way.
To Martin:
I invite you to go to TED and do your own talk. I’m sure you’ll be well received and I’m confident you’ll promote electric cars (and it’s okay if you don’t – I’m sure you will still have something awesome to say).
TED is a meeting of the greatest “thinkers and doers” – if you check out ted.com you’ll understand what I’m talking about and may be interested in participating. It’s a fantastic web site with talks on a variety of topics including renewable energy and the like. I do think something is missing on that site, and I think it’s a talk by Martin Eberhard on electric cars.
Sorry for my typos in my previous post. I meant to say you bought a “Testa ROADSTER”.
Best regards,
- Ricardo Parker
Comment by Ricardo Parker March 2, 2008 @ 1:30 pmDon’t think Martin is intentional being disengenuous (as some commenters have said) by calculating his soon to arrive Roadster in his solar payback example. One should consider the usage and costs associated with such a large addtion to power usage. I do agree that using the $ saved in gasoline to offset his EV cost is unsound accounting, but they are his costs so he can allocate them where he sees fit. This just means his EV total cost would be that much higher. More conventional accounting would have him adjust his power savings amount for the 6 Megawatts to what it would cost for this additional power. In Florida residential power is tiered to usage, thus the additional electricty to charge an EV would be charged the highest rate in nearly all circumstances unless the homeowner supplements his power with another source like Solar. Using the expected rate that would be paid for the additional electricity for an EV could then shorten your cost payback time as Martin has mentioned in one of his responses.
Comment by David Kosowsky March 2, 2008 @ 2:32 pmWe installed a 4kW solar plant in November of last year and I drive an EV (1998 Chevy S10EV). It is fun to “drive for free”. I have been signing my local EV club emails with “EV + PV = No CO2″.
Nice idea about the PV-ready house. If PV were cheaper, we would have installed another couple kWs.
Comment by Celtic Solar March 2, 2008 @ 9:10 pmActually *knowing* the tax breaks given to the “extractive industries” (fossil fuels and other mining), I think it’s quite clear they should be abolished. It distorts the market; removing them would instantly make renewable energy more competitive.
If you want to avoid the regressive nature of this, just cut income taxes for the poor, or provide them with cheap public transportation, OK? There’s no rule that says the proceeds of removing tax breaks has to be wasted.
Comment by Nathanael Nerode March 3, 2008 @ 2:47 amNathanael Nerode,
That is a moot point, as Bush will not allow the tax incentives to the petroleum industry, which were implemented after Hurricane Katrina, to be lifted.
Congress only needed to renew the legislation that was already on the books, but as usual, they got greedy and arrogant, and accomplished nothing, but keeping their own poll numbers low, low, low.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 3, 2008 @ 7:38 amMartin,
I did manage to read the Wiki write up on Ayn Rand and Objectivism. This may come to you as no surprise, but I am thoroughly an objectivist, minarchist, John Locke-ian property rights advocate and so on.
Saw a documentary on William Buckley this weekend, in which they stated that he and his supporters, while agreeing with most of Ayn Rand’s anti-communist doctrine, weren’t Ayn Rand’s advocation of destruction of communists (something of that sort).
I do support Ayn Rand’s belief that communists need to be utterly annihilated. These are the “looters”, who intend to take from those who are productive, and re-distribute it to everyone else, rewarding their non-productivity / non-viability. Communists want to tie drowning men to anyone capable of treading water, thinking that will prevent drowning, when it only causes those treading water to drown. In the old West, a man’s horse was his livelyhood, without which, sustaining his life was substantially more difficult. For that reason, horse thieves were hung on the spot, no trial. In the same way, communists must be sought out and annihilated, as they violate property rights, which is the foundation of each individuals sustainability.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 3, 2008 @ 7:52 am[...] about two-thirds of its output will go toward energizing the Roadster. In the latest post on the Founders Blog, Martin runs through some of the ways you could calculate payback on the system. Based on just the [...]
Pingback by Martin Eberhard goes solar, getting ready to plug in his new car » Hybrid News March 3, 2008 @ 8:44 amJason, sometimes your posts are downright frightening. It’s certainly enlightening to listen to your admiration of hanging thieves without trial; now we know why right wingers don’t see anything wrong at Guantanamo. Couple that with the final bit that reads like a HUAC memo, and you’ve gone off the deep end.
In other news, making “the communists” (which you’re still using as a name-calling short hand for everybody left of Ronald Reagan) out to be Robin Hood with you playing Prince John doesn’t help your point. And substituting “productive” for “rich” just displays the basic sociological and economic misunderstanding that fuels the immoral flat-tax fantasy that it’s just “being fair.”
Comment by Hunter March 3, 2008 @ 1:03 pmArticle about Solar City (Elon’s cousin’s company)
Comment by TEG March 3, 2008 @ 1:47 pmJason, every time you take such a radical approach and use words such as ‘annihilate’, you can put yourself on the categories of Al-Qaeda and the like. Radicalism never helps anyone.
Have you seen the movie Memento? You remind me of the main character who has a short memory span, and the last thing he remember is that someone broke into his home and murdered his wife, and so he makes it his life’s mission to find and kill the murderer. He keeps searching, finding and killing “the murderer”, but because of his condition he forgets it, and so he keeps on the hunt for his wife’s murderer, kills another man who fits the profile, forgets it all (due to his condition), and winds up living this never-ending cycle. It’s a great movie.
Anyway, I suggest you try to see GOOD in everyone and everything. If you don’t see good it doesn’t mean it isn’t there.
We have many aspects of communism in our capitalism (even in the US), and taking a radical approach is never going to create utopia. Unemployment insurance is one example of a strand of communism, and if we read the news we’ll see that the government wants to keep unemployment insurance because it’s extremely important that people who are unemployed can make basic purchases in order to avoid a recession.
BTW, the topic here is Solar Synergy, but as someone mentioned, your post about Ayn Rand is scary so I thought I’d say something.
Comment by Ricardo Parker March 3, 2008 @ 2:40 pmLOL – Martin was right, you read just a little Ayn Rand and you should spend the next few days decompressing before posting.
Still, “looters” are insiduous, sidling up to you, taking inventory of what you have, then inciting resentment and jealousy in others to force you to “share” in your “luck”. “Looters” are never cured or reformed, and must be exposed for what they are, then driven out (does that sound better than annihilated?).
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 3, 2008 @ 2:55 pmHere’s the book to read for anyone interested in where “organized” communism, as in the U.S.S.R., really came from: “Wall Street and the Bolshevik Revolution” by Anthony Sutton ,formerly of the Stanford Hoover Institute think tank- and so “a guy in a position to know”. The bottom line is: “organized” U.S.S.R. style “communism” was set up on purpose by the formerly mentioned ” banking, et al powers that be”, funded out of 150 Broadway, N.Y.C. by a front group called, if I remember right , “American International Corp.”-where both Bush’s grandfather and George Schultz’s also (former Reagan sec. of State, now at Bechtel) worked. As a prelude, Czar Nicholas had to go-especially since he had allowed absolutely no ” bankers” to operate in Russia. Why communism?- it’s the usual “us vs. them M.O. ploy for fun and profit” . When you can’t have continual hot wars, a nice cold one lasting from 1917 to c. 1990 is conveniently very profitable. Some U.S./western tech. was leaked to the Russians on purpose: so the Russians get better weapons-oops how did they do that !? -now we need even better, more expensive ones, and more too. Also organzied communism is great for scaring people about the “domino theory”: if Vietnam goes commie, so will all of Asia. Yeah-right, look at Vietnam and China now: communist “in theory” but really also “capitalism at its finest” up and running there as well, with mega help from the entire “free world”. Nixon opened up China to the west-yeah, right-Henry Kissinger opened up China, as planned, on schedule, bringing Nixon along while he was at it to make it all look legit. The phony, pre-fab “cold war” benefited two groups: “the bankers” via huge war debts and their military/industrial complex associates that Eisenhower warned of . The small problem with the phony set-up that was Russian/east block communism was that it put tons of people under it’s thumb for decades and led to Stalin also-who bumped off countless millions. It also strssed out all of us in the “free world” -the pawns in the game, on the western side of the iron curtain, that Dylan sang about in his “Masters of War” song. There’s a writer called Susan Jacoby who’s getting media PR now (as in latest U.S. News & World Report mag. article and on PBS’ Charlie Rose Show). She’s written a book called “The Age of American Unreason”. The interviewer in the U.S. News article says to her : “Ultimately you put much of the blame on the American people” to which she replies: “Dumbness is us. When I hear people saying ‘you were lied to’, usually in relation to the Iraq war, I think the fundamental question we should ask is really why we as a people were so susceptible to lies”. I can tell her why (part of why): the entire mass media is controlled by “the bankers that be”. There is a book touching on this too: “The Media Monopoly” by Ben Bagdikian, a prof. at U.C. Berkeley. Since the avg. person in their busy life is only subject to what’s coming out of ” the mass media” (and out of “our esteemed and trusty govt. officials” , and ditto-like corp. America officals ) no wonder that pre-planned ignorance of the real score reigns as the norm.
Comment by T.J. March 3, 2008 @ 6:38 pmT.J., you really think everything is a conspiracy, don’t you?
Comment by Hunter March 3, 2008 @ 7:28 pmHunter- no, not everything, by a long shot- just some really big important “things” the things that really matter “to them” as it were.A whole bunch of Quite Reputable authors and researchers, many who are or were “part of the system” , like Sutton, sure have found info. on a whole bunch of conspiracies-all related, as it were- that sure as heck in halibut with cabbage on the side ain’t no “theory” either-despite what the mass media espouses, as in: the word “conspiracy” no longer exists in the dictionary except in the “new long form”: “conpiracy theory” . I personally have read/seen Quite Enough to tell you with 100% (yes, 100%) certainty that all this “conspiracy fact” is part of literally the biggest, most important ongoing con in the history of the world, bar none. Humans can be very cunning animals. In roman times, for example, there were all sorts of conspiracies. Does anyone think that the concept of conspiracy just disappeared in more modern times ? On the contrary, the potential for broad, really huge conspiracy just got a whole lot greater as, shall we say, wealth & power got consolidated over time. Someone once asked Einstein what the most powerful force in the universe was-he said “compound interest”. Take the wealth of “certain banking families” that have been filthy rich (more money than Cod,” nudge,nudge say no more”? ) since at least circa the mid 1700’s, and earlier for all I know-I’m no expert on all these family operations by any means ( a lot of them came out of Germany- or else they got really rich there- for some reason) and put just 5% interest on this wealth over all these years later, and then convert it to today’s value of the money-forgetting any big, fat , truly enormous investments they and their ” annointed associates” made-like in gold, oil, railroads, commodities, whatever-see what numbers you would come up with. Yep- Einstein was right again. I don’t know much about religion, but I heard that Jesus was only a real rabblerouser for about 3 years (without all that much attention being paid to him) wasn’t it ?-from the time he was 30 till he died at 33. Just before he died he had gone into the temple in Jerusalem, kicked over the “moneychangers” stalls there and said: “get the moneychangers out of the temple ! “. It was at this point, as it were, that the “shitte hit the fan”. Coincidence ? -methinks not , Horatio. Even way back then the moneychangers/bankers saw the Einsteinian power of their compound interest operation . This consortium of “banking interests” cleverly/cunningly thinks not in terms of years or decades, like the rest of us regular Joes or Josuahs, but in terms of generations-it’s a “family thing’ that makes the mafia’s “Cosa Nostra” thing look like a cub scout jamboree. By the way-who was the biggest mobster of all in the mob-and THE main money guy, without question? Well, he wasn’t no italian-imagine that: he was Meyer Lansky, card-carrying assoc. of: “the bankers” in question. Excuse me while I digress, but all this stuff is THE biggest thing in the history of the world-and how many Americans (or other people in the world for that matter) have a clue as to the real deal ? Incredible-yep, incredible-but nonetheless, like I said-it ain’t no theory. Try “conspiracy fact”, Jack.
Comment by T.J. March 3, 2008 @ 8:42 pmHunter- I don’t know how far back all of this goes, but some people (like David Icke) say that the “banker clans” (former gold & silver merchants, etc. ) or whatever you want to call them originated in the region of the Black & Caspian seas around like 745 A.D., later they migrated into the slavic countries operating behind the scenes/undercover as much as possible (that being “good for business”). Next they moved into Germany where they became established/visible- or is it really only their annointed associates/”front people” who are visible !? He says the ancestors of king Charlemagne may be in on it too, for what that’s worth. A comparatively small group of chimp-like creatures called humans, acting secretly in families having vast quantities of accumulated bananas, can cause “big events” to happen worldwide. Look what just one jackass chimp, named Hitler (financed, backed, promoted by “guess who”) caused in terms of disrupting, to say the least, the lives of millions. Of course “the powers that be” need a Lot of associates to make it all happen. But they’re not too hard to find: plenty of glorified chimps would love to be set for life (not to mention, in important cases, having their family line set for ongoing lives) as part of “the team”. Many lesser assoc. maybe have no idea as to the real score or how they fit in anyway-but the money is good to excellent (the powers that be having Plenty of that to spare in spades- an’ more on the way, Joe). So plenty of chimps are in the know, bigtime, worldwide-only they ain’t talkin’, see !? – Yeah, ain’t that swell!?- except, that is, behind the scenes amongst themselves, where they plan future events on the planet and how to best con, sway and manipulate multitude the lesser chimps of the world , when it suits their plans. Unlike cats, chimplike creatures are pretty easy to herd (not all of them by any means, but most of them- since many operate in large, controlled, “clueless re. the real deal” groups, such as “the military” for example), if you know how to do it.
Comment by T.J. March 3, 2008 @ 9:45 pmOur feed-in tariff ALONE here will allow the system to pay for itself in 12 years even in non-optimal scenarios and that’s not counting
Comment by MaxDZ8 March 4, 2008 @ 3:42 amthe savings. In fact, a system we’ve worked on will also pay for the whole structure in 20 years
(and that’s a roadway pay toll building so it isn’t exactly cheap)!
I’m surprised California gives only 1/4 of the cost, although having this from the start is a
real edge.
TJ…get help! Your brain is going to overheat. BTW, I wouldn’t give too much credence to anything David Icke says….he’s one of ours and he’s really not a well man.
Comment by Andrew Kelsey March 4, 2008 @ 5:03 amT.J., I assure you that “conspiracy” remains in the dictionary. Also, it may have escaped your notice that I did not in fact use the word “theory” in my post. But the problem with people like you who allege that the entire world’s history has been a conspiracy is that it’s too big a stage, with too many players. A conspiracy by its very nature must be secret, and all the participants must have the same goals. When you have over 300 billionaires in the U.S. alone, it’s just silly to claim that they all act in concert to screw everybody else over, and that none of them are whistleblowers. This doesn’t even get into the fact that these people often have demonstrably opposing views and goals: you think Michael Bloomberg and George Soros are playing on the same team?
Also, your idea that banking wealth is entirely hereditary and has been since 745 is just laughable. Sure, there are some families who have become very wealthy in banking. But your theory denies new entrants, which again, is demonstrably untrue. Similarly, acting like “the bankers” just “installed” Hitler sort of leaves out all the actual events that caused his rise to power. These people wield great influence, to be sure…but history is bigger than they.
If there’s a kernel of truth here, it’s just elite theory. They, like you, think that powerful and wealthy influences control most of society. The difference is that they are not crazy.
(BTW, I’m done with this. I thought I’d just use a one-liner to put the brakes on this absurd and OT tripe, but it didn’t help, so this is the more reasoned attempt. But regardless of where it goes from here, I’m not saying another thing in this thread unless it has something to do with electricity.)
Comment by Hunter March 4, 2008 @ 7:52 amT.J., A word to the wise: http://timpanogos.wordpress.com/2006/07/22/einstein-compound-interest-does-not-compute/
Comment by Steve S. March 4, 2008 @ 8:50 amEarlier in this blog I posted a link about the “worlds largest solar plant” being built in Arizona and online in 2011. For convenience here it is again:
http://www.inhabitat.com/2008/02/25/world’s-largest-solar-power-plant-coming-to-arizona-in-2011/
In this article it states that the plant will power 70 thousand homes. If those same 70,000 homes had a PV system installed would that compound the size of the power plant?
Comment by Freewheelin' Franklin March 4, 2008 @ 1:55 pmFreewheelin’ Franklin,
First, the solar plant in Arizona is contingent upon the federal government renewing the solar power tax incentives, so we shouldn’t count our chickens before they are hatched.
Second, currently, personal PV home systems are either too inefficient or too expensive to compete with a solar thermal system of that size. The solar thermal plant can produce the electricity cheaper, so it wouldn’t be economical to install PV instead of building the plant.
Third, if those 70,000 homes installed PV systems, then the excess capacity of the solar thermal plant would deliver power to the rest of the grid – it certainly wouldn’t be lost. A similar plant in Nevada allows the near-by hydro-electric power plant to shut down turbines during the day, resulting in the storage of that hydro-electric energy (water level) at night, when the sun doesn’t shine. I am assuming that, as more solar plant come online, the hydro-electric dam would keep storing more and more water, because the Colorado River’s water level has been dropping for the last few years.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 4, 2008 @ 4:13 pmHunter- I didn’t say you mentioned conspiracy theory, I was saying it’s trotted out by the mass media, as in “conspiracy theory/theorist/nut” to the “Nth” degree as if there is no such thing as the possbility (ever) of “conspiracy fact” . I can see where everyone is coming from who hasn’t read one book on any of this. Years ago I was in the same boat-I didn’t beleive any of it. However, in following “the strange case of JFK-and RFK and MLK” (and since I was around at the time, I was persoanlly motivated to follow the trail) you quickly find that a heck of a lot of people in the know and some in a definite, undeniable positions to know, have discovered a heck of a lot of “conspiracy reality”. As in: people in the U.S. Govt. ( like Fletcher Prouty, Harold Weisberg), in elite colleges and college think tanks ( like Anthony Sutton, Peter Dale Scott, Ben Bagdakian) journalists ( like Mark Brewster, David Icke, Jim Marrs) independent researchers (like Phliip Melanson, Gary Allen, Mark Lane, Eustice Mullins)-and the list goes on, and on. People who don’t believe in “the theory” without even reading one book on “all of this” are like scientists who study no evidence on an issue at all and then say “these theories aren’t correct”. All the authors “in question” like the above people aren’t National Enquirer reporters, they’re the exact opposite-and they’ve done some really heavy lifting in terms of writing and investigation for no money to speak of-who reads these books anyway? and they pretty soon go out of print. The fact is, what these authors from various walks of life have turned up dovetails right into the works of the other authors. Also, I never said, by any means, that tons of rich people have anything at all to do with a conspricay. In terms of the population of the developed world it’s a very very small number of people involved: “the banking families (over generations) and their associates”. I also never said that conspiracies are everywhere_ the conspiracy only applies to the huge, major, important events/trends of the world. As for the year 745 thing, that supoosedly applies to a very close knit, secretive tribe that supposdely changed their religion by decree of their ruler at this time. It’s an attempt to trace the roots of “this thing” back as far as possible, as is the hypothesis re. Charlemagne. As for Andrew comment, like I said when Icke talks about metaphysical stuff in his book you can take that with a grain of salt-it does make him look nuts and he should have put those parst in another book. However, I read his book after first reading all the others. When he talks about real human events, like I said-he’s right on the money. Check out his bibliography-what he’s doing in 3/4’s of his book is baiscally compiling info. from other sources, so if you only want to read one book, it’s a good one. As for the nutzoid 1/4 of the book on the metaphysical stuff, don’t throw out “the baby with the bath water” and discount his whole book, Like I said, when I first read the book I said to myself “man, Icke you should have left out the metaphysical stuff ’cause you just give people who have read nothing else the perfect excuse to chuck your whole book”. Anyway, I can see where everyone who doesn’t believe in conspircay re. the most important “human events” is coming from-it’s hard to take in and concieve of, but that doesn’t mean it ain’t true by any means- like I said if you ain’t studied any of the “facts in question” you absolutely can’t, like a faulty scientist, automatcially say “the theory ain’t true”. How did I get started on all of this anyway?-oh, yeah- someone brought up communism. Well, sorry-Anthony Sutton’s right, and ditto for the other major researchers into “the theory”.
Comment by T.J. March 4, 2008 @ 8:16 pmAs a final aside before I ditch the subject ’cause I don’t like thinking about it anyway. The “human nature” features of A). lack of complete information and B). not wanting to look into or come to grips with upsetting issues are very convenient in allowing certain forces to keep perpetuating certain manipulations with virtual impunity.The latest being our current phony $1 trillion war and our available choice of “viable” presidential candidates (as opposed to those with a snowball’s chance in halibut of winning) -on the democratic side for cabbage sure.
Comment by T.J. March 4, 2008 @ 9:05 pmHere’s another problem with ICE cars, even with their catalytic converters. Diesel soot has always been known to be a big health problem but article in latest U.S. News & World Report mag. (citing studies by EPA, UCLA and New England Journal of Medicine) sez: “virus size ultrafine particles produced by (ICE) combustion” can be a major health problem “…having a house near a freeway ups the risk of hardened arteries by some 60%…” the study in New Eng. Journal if Med. “…linked a 10-microgram-per cubic meter increase in fine particulate pollution-approximately the difference between Pittsburgh and cleaner air in Anchorage-to a 76% increase in the cardiovascular death rate”. Article states that diesel vehicles ” are a particularly potent source of both fine and ultrafine particles”, and that air filtering machines with hepa filters can screen out utlrafine pollution particles. The real question is, besides living near a freeway what’s the issue with working in offices next to busy streets all day-which applies to a lot of people? Article sez that for non-smokers “driving to work is probably the most unhealthy part of your day”. In which case working in an office next to your average size city blvd. can’t be too hot either, day in and day out , over years.
Comment by T.J. March 4, 2008 @ 9:54 pmCorrection to my earlier post above: the author was Pete Brewton ( of the Houston Post) not Jim Brewster. By the way, as a quick and easy “survey of the subject” do a google search or google search/wikipedia on the authors I mentioned-check out where they come from. Like I said, they ain’t exactly ex staff members of ” The National Enquirer” -toss out their “theroies” out of hand at your own peril to the truth of the matter(s).
Comment by T.J. March 4, 2008 @ 10:17 pmWhat about the human beings on planet Earth that may not own a dwelling? What about the billions that are about to buy their first-cars? What about the other billions that have never owned a car and won’t for the forseeable future? Finally, what about all the renters in the modern urban world?
How can we get solar into the shelter and transpo for the 4 or 5 of the 6,000,000,000 humans beings?
PS We’re approaching a billion vehicles soon and the fleet will double or triple within a decade or so as two more billion first-time car buyers come online. Do you remember your first ride? How can our world afford three times more traffic and smog? Traffic cops are dying in their 40s in Beijing where 1,000 new cars hit the roads everyday the weren’t there yesterday!
HOW DO WE GET THIS AWESOME TECHNOLOGY INTO THE PEOPLE THAT CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE???
Comment by John Acheson March 4, 2008 @ 10:38 pmRE Here in our over-regulated California, we have used about the same energy per capita since the 1970s, while the rest of the country uses more energy per capita every year…
GOOD POINT MARTING!!!
RESULTS TALK!!!
Comment by John Acheson March 4, 2008 @ 10:41 pmOne more comment… According to Christensen in the Innovator’s Dilemma, the people that make a technology affordable and mainstream so that it may disrupt the status quo, are the average consumers. The people that many not understand PV, EV, CO2 and AC/DC.
Christensen looked at all kinds of examples, and disruptive technologies were always worse. The other key was finding new markets. Think Segway driven by crowd control cops. This govt. market never crossed the minds of the Segway founders when they were in the early R&D stages much like Tesla before the PV issues came along.
What I’m trying to say is that the solar issue is like cops on Segways. A new market that could enable EVs to finally disrupt. Something like carshare with EVs in a urban areas with PVs built in so that housing and transportation become one.
In other words, EVs disrupt the REAL ESTATE industry AND NOT the world’s biggest business and industry that buys more computers than Silicon Valley (the auto industry) yet…
I would love to get on board a high density below market rate housing complex that was off the grid or hybrid and came with built in transportation for 100s of tenants EITHER renting or owning or leasing. THAT’S A NEW MARKET DISRUPTION!!!
Comment by John Acheson March 4, 2008 @ 10:49 pmAfter a google/wikpedia search on authors in previous post, do a fun, easy & educational search on some” banking types”, as in: Rothschild, Oppenheim, Jacob Schiff, Kuhn & Loeb, Rockefeller, Cecil Rhodes, Nelson Aldrich, and “warburg banking family”.
Comment by T.J. March 4, 2008 @ 11:46 pmMartin,
Many thanks for that great summary. It shows that depending where you live, it can pay off to install a PV system. As mentioned in some posts, in some areas it is possible to get a return on investment.
I know that it takes about 20 years in Germany or Switzerland but as you said, adding up the costs of gas over time reduces the time considerably!
But there is not only the money….How much is it worth to reduce dependency on oil and helping the environment? Thats not even included in the calculation.
I just paid 50 GBP the other day to fill up my 40mpg car and even though thats relatively efficient compared to the national UK average, I am tired to carry all my money to the gas station . “008 is the year I will order my EV!!!
Solar energy is not possible everywhere, but ususally there are other ways to produce renewable energy. Well done Martin, I hope you PV installation will produce clean electricity for many years to come.
Comment by Stefan Kaufmann March 5, 2008 @ 3:38 amJohn Acheson,
The advances in alternative fuel vehicles are most prevelent among transportation and shipping industries. There are many companies selling significant numbers of alternative fuel buses and trucks, and locomotives have been serial hybrid for years.
I’ve found that it is best for a tech company to productize it’s tech, then advertise, so that new markets find you. Alternative fuel vehicles have the greatest near term opportunities in transportation, shipping and government / corporate fleets. Selling in those industries will allow the tech price to drop and proliferate among individual car buyers.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 5, 2008 @ 5:39 amGE invests in both Think! and A123, who is now supplying batteries to Think!:
http://www.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20080305005217&newsLang=en
We might be seeing the beginning of GE becoming an electric automotive giant.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 5, 2008 @ 6:45 amShould the legacy company of Thomas Edison take advantage of all household outlets that came about because of this great inventor? Or should we build hydrogen stations whose cost is estimated at 400 billion and 500 billion in the US?
This is great news – thanks for posting!
I had been thinking that promoting EVs would be an uphill battle against large companies(auto and oil). However, if GE comes on board, then I guess most battles are over.
Comment by Ricardo Parker March 5, 2008 @ 12:01 pmRicardo Parker,
Yes, GE will really drive this technology forward. I would love if they came up with a new distribution system that challenges conventional dealerships, especially if EV’s are as low maintenance as advertised – current dealership models would suffer without the parts / services income – perhaps they can provide quick-charges for a premium.
As for hydrogen, both Modern Marvels and Future Car have shown that alkaline processes for dissociating water molecules is very efficient / cheap, and can be done locally, instead of requiring large scale processing plants. A unit the size of a refridgerator would produce enough hydrogen from tap water to supply a typical filling station.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 5, 2008 @ 12:13 pmBased on your figures and making some rough calculations, I think this system does pay for itself, immediately.
If you use a home equity loan to finance the installation, then your after tax interest rate is about 5%, but you need to factor in inflation and the annual degradation in output.
Assuming an annual increase in energy prices of 3% and an annual decrease in output of 1%, then you’re roughly paying (5% – 3% + 1%) = 3% per year for the capital costs or ($36,000 * 3%) / (750 * 12) = 12 cents per kwh.
If we give the panel a 30-year lifetime then we roughly double the price to about 25 cents per kwh, but since your electricity is so expensive that takes you right up to the “pays for itself line” or zero NPV.
For a new home your area, this system would almost certainly be NPV positive.
-Mercy
Martin sez:
I think you are right. Mercy. I am not used to contemplating the impact of mortgaging the system, but that is the way most Americans think about the value of their houses.
Comment by Mr. Mercy Vetsel March 5, 2008 @ 1:42 pmIt is very interesting to hear of GE’s investments in Think and A123. This fits in well with their power generation products and ecomagination intiative. They have made a huge investment in wind energy systems manufacturing and everbody knows their strength in the turbine market. I’ve been a bit surprised that they haven’t yet made a big play in the Solar market. Look for that next.
Comment by David Kosowsky March 5, 2008 @ 3:36 pmDavid Kosowsky,
I think wind power gives you a more rapid ROI than solar, so until solar gets cheaper, I suspect GE will stick with turbines. If the solar updraft tower planned for Australia pans out, we may see GE investing in those first, as those generate more power day and night than solar plants.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 5, 2008 @ 4:18 pmFisker claims to be receiving up to 100 orders for the Karma:
http://www.wlns.com/Global/story.asp?S=7970943&nav=0RbQ
… so they’ve got a few to several hundred pre-orders for their vehicle at this point. I hope to hear soon who their manufacturing partner will be – time to produce running prototypes.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 5, 2008 @ 4:47 pmArticle on G.E. and Think/A123 is great. G.E. is obviously as big as it gets so when these guys come on board with their resources and lobbying power, EV’s and other things green are going to go mainstream pretty fast. Norway looks like a happening country too, U.N. rated it “2nd best country in the world to live in” and they’re in the top 5 countires in standard of living / avg. yearly income ratings. Perhaps a new Viking invasion of Europe via Thinkmobiles, this time, is in order ?
Comment by T.J. March 5, 2008 @ 6:11 pmDavid, GE is in it for the long haul. They could invest in Solar AND Wind power technology. There’s no company more powerful out there that I know of. GE has a hand in pretty much everything and in every country on the planet. They are not looking at a quick ROI. Just thought I’d mention that.
BTW, I think GE is investing in Think and A123 because they know what’s coming down the pipe and they want to be ready. They’ll continue to be the biggest players on the block. But it’s all good because as far as I know they are doing great environmental things. Ultimately, you have to because that’s the only way to survive and perhaps thrive. I.e., you cannot sell oil that doesn’t exist and you cannot drink water out of a dry well.
BTW, how does one type Think with the inverted i? Why do they have to do that?!? I will need a new key on my keyboard if this company takes off.
Comment by Ricardo Parker March 5, 2008 @ 7:06 pm“BTW, how does one type Think with the inverted i? Why do they have to do that?!? I will need a new key on my keyboard if this company takes off.”
Try Th!nk.
Comment by Doug@Stanford March 5, 2008 @ 7:12 pmHere’s a link to a short video slide show to calm the mind: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-2366156032790931125&q=robert+crumb&total=142&start=0&num=10&so=0&type=search&plindex=4
Comment by Steve S. March 5, 2008 @ 7:14 pmIllustrations and piano by R. Crumb.
One day all things green will hit a critical mass and it will snowball into the mainstream. Saw on” PBS Nightly Business Report” that there is a company called Canadian Solar (on NASDAQ since 2006)- they design PV panels in Canda (stock and custom) and make them all in Chinaand they’re putting PV power in rural China. The company “First Solar” is almost every day one of the top companies in trading volume on Wall Street. On PBS show there was also a story on China green building boom: last year the govt. mandated that new buildings cut energy use by 50-65% from current standards. Also said that 1 in 5 major developers in China now want green buildings, they are a hot concept with the rising middle class. Given China’s rising ability to potentially burn energy like it’s going out of style this trend is good (as in no kidding).
Comment by T.J. March 5, 2008 @ 7:40 pmNews report (BBC News) sez that 8 states (Calif., Conn., Iowa ,N.J, N.Y, R.I., Vermont & Wisc.) are suing the 5 biggest U.S. co2 emitting power companies ( American Elect. Power Co., Southern Co, Xcel Energy, Cinergy & Federal Tennessee Valley Authority) to get them to reduce their co2 emissions . None of the power companies are in the states that are suing-but they can sue based on “public nuisance law” that provides the right to curb pollution from other states. “The National Assoc. of Manufacturers, which represents some of the power companies, said regulating co2 emissions would seriously depress the U.S. economy”. The scaremongers also “… argue that regulation of co2 emissions would limit their use of fossil fuels”. Per Dana Carvey- “well isn’t that special”.
Comment by T.J. March 5, 2008 @ 11:45 pmT.J., You might enjoy this: http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=8953172273825999151&q=%22century+of+self%22&total=49&start=0&num=10&so=0&type=search&plindex=1 . It’s a BBC historical documentary masterpiece, part 1 of 4, based on undisputed facts. Part 1 alone is almost an hour long, so it requires a healthy attention span and an interest in twentieth century history.
Comment by Steve S. March 6, 2008 @ 1:28 amJason, I don’t know what to think about the huge Australian convection tower thing. It sure seems cool…but the last time I looked into it I was hearing that the projected cost/watt was much higher than current solar-thermal projects. I’ve heard you say that it should be more reliable, but I don’t follow…an unbelievably tall stack of spinning turbines strikes me as much more maintenance intensive than an electric motor articulating a dish….and some solar thermal installations don’t even need to do that. Now, granted there’s another benefit in having a greenhouse for plants underneath, but is this really going to be used in this installation, or is that just a “what if”? Maybe this would be a good fit for algae-based biodiesel production. Plop one of these out in the desert and put a shallow pond underneath that you pipe ocean water into, then make the resultant algae into fuel for big trucks, ocean going vessels, planes, and other stuff that isn’t (with today’s tech) easily battery powered. That could be pretty slick…but in its current incarnation I’m not sold on the tower.
Martin sez:
Hunter,
This was my read on the project as well. It seems pretty complex and fragile. Compare it to the low-cost systems being installed by Bright Source Energy – simple, cheap, and reliable.
Comment by Hunter March 6, 2008 @ 8:25 amHunter,
The turbines aren’t in the tower, they are arranged radially around the base of the tower, with their axis’s (axes?) horizontal – there is a cross-section showing that somewhere. The tower is just one big hollow tube to create an updraft. With that one little change from the Spanish design, they made the structure extremely low maintenance – just 36 turbines on the ground, as opposed to 100’s of trough tracking systems or 1,000’s of array tracking systems.
Martin sez:
It is good to see innovation in this field. Ultimately, economics will shake out the best designs, which will be replicated around the world.
The most important optimization for this (and most solar applications) is not for area-efficiency (watts per square meter), but rather cost of the energy produced, amortizing the installation cost over the life of the installation, as well as the maintenance costs – dollars per megawatt-hour produced. Note that a steady supply of energy (such as that generated by a nuke) is more valuable than sporadic production (such as that generated by wind turbines. Even more valuable is energy that can be produced on demand, such as that produced by a hydroelectric dam. This is because storing bulk energy is difficult/expensive on the grid, so generation must always match consumption.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 6, 2008 @ 9:26 amI live in the Chicago area (snow). Are there any solutions to keep the snow off a pv system that don’t use more energy than the system is making. (besides me climbing up there and manually cleaning it
)
Martin sez:
Interesting problem. I don’t know of any existing solutions – I guess their blackness will keep off a very light snow, but once it gets going, the snow will pile up.
Comment by Mike Craven March 6, 2008 @ 11:33 amMartin,
You are 100% correct to look at cost per watt, and not some arbitrary measure of efficiency (land use, mech to elec energy conversion, etc.). People were doing that with solar, until Nanosolar came along with 6% efficiency panels that were so cheap to build and install that they are cheaper than coal – who cares they are only 1/3 as efficient at converting solar energy than the heavy / expensive silicon glass configs.
Nevada Solar One produces 134,000,000 kWHrs for an investment of $260,000,000 (plant is rated 64 MW with a peak of 75 MW, zero at night) – $1.97 / kWhr. The thermal updraft tower can produce 200 MW day and night, best case is 1,720,000,000 kWHrs for an investment of $700,000,000 – $0.40 / kWHr. That’s 5X the output per dollar of capital, so you can reduce true output of solar thermal plant by 50% and still get 2.5X the output. If you have significantly less maintenance and staffing (no steam turbines, pipes & fluids, just 36 wind powered generators), the economics of the solar updraft tower seem compelling.
There’s even talk of adding heat absorbing materials below the glass, so that a great heat / pressure differential is achieved at night.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 6, 2008 @ 1:33 pmBush plugs EVs…
Comment by TEG March 6, 2008 @ 2:49 pmMartin,
I was hoping that when you have time to spare, that you’d do a more detailed post on your PV installation. Questions you could address:
Why didn’t you install a huge solar panel (say, as big as your entire roof) so that the electricity meter not only spins the other way, but it spins the other way fast! I’m guessing it costs too much money, but you’d eventually recover this amount, right?
Another question:
There’s a project going on in the San Luis Obispo area (where a lot these energy ideas come from) to install large solar panels that will power the whole city – or at least that’s their goal. The idea is that it makes a lot more sense do large PV installations in a strategic place that can power lots of homes instead of installing small solar panels on each home, which is very inefficient use of resources if you think about it. But one is communal effort whereas the other is individual effort. Individual installs only work for people who are financially free such as yourself, but communal effort requires a minimum amount of investment from each person – and they also get to sell electricity to the power companies.
Inquiring minds want to know more. Thanks.
Martin sez:
Contrary to popular opinion, we are not financially free. Were I rich, I would not have needed to seek funding from the likes of Elon
We put as large a system on our house as we could afford.
Additionally, the local power company (So Cal Edison) will not let us (or anyone else) connect a PV array that is significantly larger than the historical consumption of the house. This is frustratingly, unbelievably stupid. I cannot tell you how mad I got when they nearly refused to connect our 5.2 kW array simply because we have endeavored to be frugal with our electric usage for the last few years!
Comment by Ricardo Parker March 6, 2008 @ 4:09 pmTEG: it only took him 8 years.
Comment by Freewheelin' Franklin March 6, 2008 @ 5:01 pmFuel cell / battery UAV flies 3 times longer than battery only UAV:
http://www.evworld.com/news.cfm?newsid=17689&url=
The fuel cell / battery hybrid will be adopted in aviation first, then works its way into trucking, boating, then automobiles.
Martin sez:
I don’t believe it. the fuel cost for a UAV is irrelevant – it is all about energy density: kilowatt-hours per gram. Liquefied hydrogen is very energy-dense, and is therefore a good fuel for UAVs, just as it is for rockets.
But if we are going to build a transportation infrastructure for our country, then the well-to-wheel energy efficiency (and therefore fuel cost) matters a whole lot. Making hydrogen from electricity + water or from natural gas, and then compressing, storing, and shipping it, and finally turning it into electricity in a PEM fuel cell will never be efficient.
The bottom line is that hydrogen is a dense way to store energy, but not a very efficient way. Batteries are much more energy-efficient, by at least a factor of two, realistically a factor of 3 or more.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 6, 2008 @ 6:12 pmI agree with you Ricardo, but I think you’ve confused Jason’s reply as my words. GE is a massive company and can certainly afford to invest in solar and wind and many other things at the same time. To Jason’s point, just because they can doesn’t mean they should. The solar market is a good fit for them. Demand has outstripped supply for some time and with the foreseeable energy dynamics, the solar market should only get better. F believe they could achieve effective synergies with some of their existing bearishness units as well as.
Martin Said:
“Even more valuable is energy that can be produced on demand, such as that produced by a hydroelectric dam.”
Speaking of alternative energy on demand. Does anyone know what happened to thought’s of utilizing ocean currents, e.g. the Gulf Stream. From Wickepedia: “Typically, the Gulf Stream is 80–150 km wide and 800–1200 m deep. The current velocity is fastest near the surface, with the maximum speed typically about 2.5 m/s[6] (approx. 4.9 knots).” Don’t need to lookup the density of seawater to realize is a little bit of energy. It is very close to the coast and long 2-blade screws shouldn’t pose an environmental risk.
Comment by David Kosowsky March 6, 2008 @ 7:13 pmDavid Kosowsky,
Here are a couple articles talking about a new “Gold Rush” for hydro-kinetic (wave / current energy) sites for which FERC is granting claims:
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgif=/c/a/2007/11/12/MNNPT8U6A.DTL&hw=Cordel+Stillman&sn=001&sc=1000
http://mendocoastcurrent.wordpress.com/2008/02/28/hydrokinetic-permits-abound-despite-objections/
Hydro-kinetic energy is also taking off in a big way, with everyone trying to “claim” various optimal sites for tech installation. Modern Marvels had a good episode on that tech during “green tech week” last week.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 6, 2008 @ 7:57 pmSteve- I don’t have cable so can’t pull up video you mention ( I have dial-up. When I got new computer about a year ago they didn’t even have dsl in my area of town for some reason. Now they do but I haven’t changed over yet-probabaly wouldn’t come up good with dsl anyway, right?). But I read comments posted by others about it. I know in England there is the weasel- run Tavistok Institute (and no doubt a bunch of other “think tanks” elsewhere) that figures out just how to manipulate “the masses”, they say. Dig this re. the terrorist subway bombings in London: remember one of the bombers “rather strangely” blew up a bus in another part town ? Well I was watching ABC Nightline, they said that the bus blew up in front of some townhouse where some famous guy used to live (maybe it was where Ben Franklin lived when he was in London -or maybe Mark Twain ?- I forget). However, anyway, I’m looking as they pan the door on the show and right next to it on the right, in the corner of the picture, what do I see?-a plaque on the wall next to the adjoining townhouse door saying: “Tavistock Institute”. Very interesting, Watson- to say the least. What’s also interesting is that Bin Laden & Co. , et al, surely know (”and don’t call them Shirleys”) about “the bankers cabal et al and all their world-controlling manipulations” and yet we don’t hear a peep from him / them about this. Also, he was trapped in those caves in Tora Bora, according to most accounts, and the U.S. Military didn’t go in, only the Afghans-what’s halibutin’ up with that, anyway ? Also, his family has been buddies with the Bush family like forever (”being one of richest families in Saudi Arabia and all of that”) Also, Binny(Ninny ) used to be an agent in the Saudi intelligence service .It’s all quite conveniently coincidental. Quite possible bottom line: the jackass is “on the banker cabal team”, Watson-or Ripley . Radical thought, you may say-and “shirley you can’t be serious ! ? “. Well if I, and plenty of other people know who’s really pulling the strings in the world at the top – namely the big strings Blah-Blah Laden says he has objections to, then why does the jackass blame the U.S. (and Israel even ? ). I mean soytenly he could blame us , but (hey Moe !) to not mention the real string pullers behind the scenes in the same sentence(s) is totally absurd “(to infinity-and beyond” ) -and yet: not a peep. The twerp of course can’t possibly so dumb/ clueless as to not to know (snowball’s chance in Mecca in July of that). So maybe what we have here is “another clue for you all”-besides “the walrus was Paul ” ? -And now for something completely different: I pulled up the Solarmisson Technologies website re. the solar wind turbine tower. That’s something else-3000 foot tower an’ all. Frank Lloyd Wright still has the record for the highest proposed building: the mile high skyscraper project in Chicago-nice, pretty spear of a building-” the design will pump YOU up !”-probably can find it on google image search- “Ya I vill now go to look now- it vill be fan-Tah-tic, and so on and so forth-unlike anything in Cal-ee-fornia” -I must now go image search (but I’ll be back).
Comment by T.J. March 6, 2008 @ 7:59 pmYa- Frankie’s skyscraper iz on google image- picture of him standing next to a huge drawing of it. Also to the right is Santigo Calatrava’s recent proposed tower project / cheaper imitation of it: the one that looks like a drill bit. Frankie should have gotten more big projects than he did. But then he wasn’t exactly a corporate team player type. The S.C. Johnson wax family gave him a shot though-he did a good job on their HQ, for the times-like 1938 I believe it was.
Comment by T.J. March 6, 2008 @ 8:16 pmJason-didn’t know there was so much hydro-kinetic grubstaking going on. Mendocino link mentions Mississippi River, which is a natural except for some depth problems maybe. Also, Columbia River and St. Lawrence Seaway seem great-but article didn’t mention them. It’s pretty amazing all the stuff going on in green energy-who are all these guys anyway and where do they all get the cash? G.E. should be licking its chops at the potential: wind, hydro-kinetic, geothermal and solar thermal all use turbines & elect. equip. G.E. has been an “establishment company”, with a capital E , since forever. Now they’re getting into EV’s & Li-ion batteries too- if this keeps up they could do a lot to put green power over the top. Re. solar, I like combo of central plants and Nanosolar type rooftop solar-there are a heck of a lot of big flat building roofs in cities (and house roofs) lying fallow re. sun harvesting. There can be up to 7% loss in power in transmission lines from central plants-7% is not much, but nationwide it could add up big-rooftop solar would get some of it back. Also, of course, once individual owners pay off cheaper Nanosolar type PV, they don’t have to pay a power bill to anyone (while sun shines)-until panels degrade-wonder how long this type of PV is projected to hold up ? I heard silicon type lasts for 25 years or more before starting to degrade significantly , unless this has improved lately.
Comment by T.J. March 6, 2008 @ 10:55 pmTJ,
Better than rooftops, they are now looking at building solar PV into highways.
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/story;jsessionid=D23E796AC417992CEA7845216FB6721C?id=51755
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 7, 2008 @ 4:44 amSolar roads sound great but seem a long way from practical. Roads take a lot of abuse. How about covering the highly traveled urban expressways with a solar canopy that integrates the lighting and signage underneath. This would obviously cost a LOT of money but would last and some of the cost would be offset by savings in lightpoles and sign structures. Also, if desgined right it might improve all vehicle’s efficiency by better channeling the disturbed air in the direction of travel. Recapturing, in a sense, some of the energy imparted to the air by traveling vehicles.
Clarifying my earlier comments about ocean currents: “long 2-blade screws shouldn’t pose an environmental risk.” This was referring to direct marine life risk. Obviously, absorbing too much of the current’s energy could have catastrophic consequences. Perhaps this is an overiding concern.
Comment by David Kosowsky March 7, 2008 @ 5:37 am“Does anyone know what happened to thought’s of utilizing ocean currents, e.g. the Gulf Stream”
Given that we are supposed to be within 100 years of the tipping point where the gulf stream shuts down do to desalination from melting ice caps, this could be a bad investment.
Comment by Mark March 7, 2008 @ 7:23 amI did a little googling for the Australian convection tower — and was rather surprised at how little I found, esp. that the top-ranking articles were all from around 2002. (Including one that predicted it would be built by 2005 or 6!).
I suspect that this concept is in a bit of a financial catch-22: it’s not economical to produce until you get up to sizes that are in the $1 billion cost range, yet who’s going to invest that much when there are no moderate-scale installations to help verify that the concept should actually work? Conversely, who’s going to put $100-$500 million into a scaled-down project that even calculations show won’t be economical?
All we really have to give us that 200MW number is some mathematical models and/or simulations. There could be new factors that come into play when you get up to that scale, that may not have been accounted for in the model, that cause the wind strength to not be nearly what you thought it would be. No one has ever even built a structure this tall before, much less a chimney.
At least, this is what the potential investors must be thinking.
Comment by Doug March 7, 2008 @ 7:59 amDoug,
Found the source of the cross-sectional diagram:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_updraft_tower#Australian_proposal
I suspect the final design will look more conical on the outside, with the base wider at the bottom, than the top, either straight line or curved like a water dam. The inner cabling to central rings help prevent the walls from bowing outward (perhaps they should be rods and rings for push – pull support).
Given that it is a very, very simple structure, it should be faster to build than those office or apartment towers that you see on Modern Marvels, etc., although cement curing may be the pacing item, so they could spend part of their time applying a thermal (or insulative? or both?) paint on the inside and outside. As they build, they can measure air flows to make sure structure behaves as predicted, even without surrounding glass, so that if something is significantly off, they can abort.
I would like to see the specs on the turbines, to ensure that 36 or so of them can produce a sustained 200 MW. Vestas produces the most turbines in the world, and their largest turbine requires a 30 mph wind to produce their max rated power of 3 MW, and its blade span is somewhere under 300 ft diameter.
http://www.vestas.com/en/wind-power-solutions/wind-turbines/3.0-mw
Turbine size isn’t the issue, as this structure is enormous, and you can just spread the turbines out in a larger circle around the base to accomodate their size. In the case of air constrained in a tube, more blades could be added without driving the air outside of the blades diameter, as in free standing turbines, and so on. Each turbine would just have to double the output of Vestas largest turbines, which doesn’t seem out of reach for a turbine with an airflow channeled into it – the turbines may end up being smaller diameter.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 7, 2008 @ 11:44 amMartin said: “Additionally, the local power company (So Cal Edison) will not let us (or anyone else) connect a PV array that is significantly larger than the historical consumption of the house. This is frustratingly, unbelievably stupid.”
What do you think the rational is behind this? Sounds like they don’t want customers to be able to sell a large positive net energy back to the utility.
Comment by Doug@Stanford March 7, 2008 @ 12:43 pmDoug@Stanford said: “What do you think the rational is behind this? Sounds like they don’t want customers to be able to sell a large positive net energy back to the utility”
Of course they don’t want; produce and sell electricity is their business… Would Baskin-Robbins buy ice-cream from some who makes ice-cream at home? … I don´t think so.
Comment by hectorrv March 7, 2008 @ 2:08 pmHectorrv, I’m sure what I’ve already said is part of it. But it doesn’t seem like the whole story. It’s not like they aren’t already making a buck by selling one’s extra electrons to the neighbors. They certainly have it worked out to make a profit regardless.
Martin, after you get your Roadster, your consumption will go up. Maybe after that SCE will let you add more panels. After you’ve built a “new” history.
Comment by Doug@Stanford March 7, 2008 @ 3:12 pmYes, I noticed that as soon as I hit “Say It!” and it was too late then as I cannot edit my posts. Not sure this is a feature or a problem. I suppose it’s good one cannot retrieve their words once they go out (so they have to stand by them).
Why shouldn’t they? They are in the energy business after all. They shouldn’t put all their eggs in one basket (or two, or three) – instead they should invest in every area that has potential – me thinks! And the fact is they have a hand in pretty much everything on this planet, so to speak.
Anyway, not sure you’re aware of this or not, but GE is a major player in the Wind Power production field. What was interesting to me is that now they ‘re investing in A123 and Th!Ink.
From their web site:
“GE is one of the world’s leading wind turbine suppliers. With over 8,400 worldwide wind turbine installations comprising more than 11,300 MW of capacity, our knowledge and expertise spans more than two decades.”
Cheers,
- R
Comment by Ricardo Parker March 7, 2008 @ 5:03 pmWow, I guess Tesla and Fisker should have asked for more money:
http://www.edmunds.com/insideline/do/News/articleId=125074#2
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 7, 2008 @ 5:28 pmRicardo,
Turns out GE is a partner in the solar updraft tower project:
http://www.enviromission.com.au/project/expert_consultants.pdf
Brilliantly, GE is partnering with TLT Turbo, a company that makes giant blowers for mineshaft ventilation, to create the 6.5 MW turbines for the project – I bet that company knows how air moves through tunnels better than mere academics.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 7, 2008 @ 5:33 pm# Jason wrote:
## Better than rooftops, they are now looking at building solar PV into highways.
Um, like wouldn’t those solar collectors get covered up by too much road grime? All the ICE vehicles spewing oil and exhaust over your solar panel array. Plus all this skid marks when people “burn rubber” or slam on the brakes.
Comment by TEG March 7, 2008 @ 8:20 pmTEG,
Survey any given stretch of interstate highway, and tell me what percent of the surface is obscured by skid marks. Yes, it will happen, but such a small percent as to be negligible. I just like the energy storage capacity for use to de-ice road surface.
How many rooftops get covered with leaves? Based on that, should we not put solar panels on roofs?
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 8, 2008 @ 6:05 amI’m glad to see that someone (Jason) brought up the subject of the solar chimney, or “solar updraft tower”, if you prefer. I’d like to ask Martin what his opinion of this technology is. I am not an engineer, merely a lowly biologist, but it appears to be a very promising solution to bringing down the cost of solar/wind energy. It looks like the initial start-up costs could be high, but certainly much cheaper than say, the Grand Coolee Dam. It looks like a solar chimney generating station could run 24/7 (or very close to it) with minimal running costs compared to hydrocarbon or nuclear powered generating stations. The design could even be slightly modified to produce pure drinking water from condensation on the underside of the solar collection surface. The plant can, and should be built on cheap desert land. Although it apparently has a very low efficiency due to heat loss through the chimney structure, when you’re getting all your energy for free this seems to be an issue of lesser importance. Anyway, Martin, I respect your opinion on all things relating to alternative energy (& many other subjects too), and I wonder if you would like to share your thoughts on this technology with all of us who follow your blogs. All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey March 8, 2008 @ 9:29 amI guess I should have included a link to their site, just to be helpful….
http://www.enviromission.com.au/
All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey March 8, 2008 @ 9:39 amAfter looking back over some of the earlier postings I realize that I missed a few comments about the Enviromission solar tower. So here are a few additional comments…. Jason, I think that the best material to cover the ground under the solar collection canopy would be black asphalt (Tarmac to all you Brits). Firstly, being black this material would absorb a large amount of visible light and ultraviolet, and convert it into infrared, which would re-radiate to heat the air between the ground and the solar canopy. This would add to the kinetic energy of the air driving the turbines at the base of the tower. Secondly, this layer of asphalt would store thermal energy during the day which would be released at night, which again would heat the air above it and keep the turbines spinning. Thirdly, asphalt is a relatively common and cheap building material that can be easily applied to the surface in the desired shape. Fourth(ly?), I believe that it is important to have smooth surfaces lining the space below the solar canopy so as to produce a smooth laminar flow of air towards the centre of the collector. Rough or uneven surfaces would introduce turbulence which would detract from optimal performance of the turbines.
Some possible design improvements might include the following…. One, in addition to the 32 turbines at the base of the tower, it should be possible to incorporate additional turbines within the chimney itself, without reducing the output of the turbines at the base, as the hot air flowing up the chimney would still be gaining kinetic energy due to its low density and the chimney effect. This could help improve the overall efficiency of the solar updraft tower design.
Two, by pleating the solar canopy slightly one could create a series of V shaped surfaces which could collect water that condenses on the underside of the canopy surface at night. This phenomenon was observed to produce large quantities of potable water on the prototype tower that was constructed in Spain. On the prototype this water was just allowed to run into the ground and resulted in abundant growth of vegetation below the solar canopy, which in my opinion probably reduced the efficiency of that tower. In drier parts of the world where this technology might be deployed, the water production could be considered a significant secondary output of the solar tower.
Considering the construction of the tower: It might be possible to build the tower of pre-formed concrete rings stacked one upon the other and either bolted together, or held together by high tension steel cables threaded through internal channels in the rings. This might be a more practical, and flexible, alternative to a simple poured concrete tube. Just some ideas, let me know what you think.
All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey March 8, 2008 @ 4:20 pmDavid Mills, CEO of Ausra solar thermal company of Palo Alto sez ( last week at “14th biennial CSP Solar Paces Symposium, a program of the International Energy Agency”-whatever this means): “An almost complete elimination of both fossil-fueled generation and oil usage for transportation in the U.S. appears to be technically feasible” he sees “solar electricity as the most likely means to nearly eliminate contributions to global warming from electricity generation by midcentury”. He states that solar thermal plants can store heat to make energy at night for 16 hours, and that solar thermal is becoming competitively priced with coal plants ” when the solar plants are built in the 500 megawatt to 1 gigawatt size”. Mills “suggested that the country could convert cars & trucks to elect. power and get the power from solar plants built over the next 30 years. Then, the annual generation replacement cost would be between $24 billion and $ 52 billion. For each year, however, the country would save $48 billion in imported oil….the payback for going solar would come in 18 months to 3 years”. A solar power “park” 92 miles x 92 miles sq. in Nev., or or good solar site, could power entire U.S. Also, 3 % of land in Morocco, used for solar plants, could power all of Europe.
Comment by T.J. March 8, 2008 @ 6:07 pmI am very impressed with your blog. I have been interested in Solar energy for years. I live in N. Central FL and a few years ago I was going to build a new home with my then boyfriend. We discussed Solar energy. We broke up before construction, and I decided I was going to install Solar on my exisiting home. My home was built in 1972, so I’d have to go through similar upgrades to have the Solar installed. However, this was not my hurdle. I found that my City Electric company does not support Solar energy. I’m not sure the name of it, but something to do with our Solar panel recriprocating with their electric panel so we can give and share electricity. I was very disappointed to say the least. I too wouldn’t do it for the financial benefits, rather the freedom from dependence on Foreign oil.
I am a Real Estate Agent and for the last few years have specialized in New Construction. I love your idea about integrating Solar options in a new construction home. And if the costs are as low as you mentioned, I can’t see why it wouldn’t be an offer. I’d like to explore this avenue with you further. Thanks for your information. Nicolerep@aol.com
Comment by Nicole March 8, 2008 @ 6:56 pmLatest issue of “Vanity Fair” Magazine has article on total cost of Iraq war, all things considered,which they spell out-total ultimate cost: $2.8 to $4.5 trillion. This is in-line with Bush family, back to grandfather Prescott, being part of the “military industrial complex” Eisenhower warned of. Do a google search on : ” American International Corp. and Bush family” and take your pick of the listings. Then google search: ” George Pratt Schultz: profile of an economic hit man” for further info. “the con that has been on” continues unabated.
Comment by T.J. March 8, 2008 @ 9:15 pmAs an aside to above, there was an abatement in progress from 1961-63. As an aside to this aside, google search:”Mary Pinchot Meyer-he was changing too fast, he knew too much” (do a “cached search”), then do a google wikipedia search on her, scroll down to the last heading at the very end : “Cord Meyer’s later statements” (he was her ex-husband), specifically, the last sentence.
Comment by T.J. March 8, 2008 @ 9:34 pmRelevance of the last post to the current global warming situation and all things green iz this: Roger Revelle was an oceanograhper at U.C. San Diego-the science college is now named after him. He was the guy who taught Gore about the global warming problem as a visting prof. at Harvard-he had it scoped out c. 1958. He was a science advisor in the Dept. of Interior during the abatement admin. years ‘61′-63. Had we had a series of real presidents since-with, notably, a congress to match , as opposed to soap opera actors, the world would be a lot better off in many ways-including the environment.
Comment by T.J. March 8, 2008 @ 9:47 pmChris Harvey,
I like your comments on the solar updraft tower, and there is nothing lowly about biologists.
1) Asphault is a good cheap solar heat collector. It and other smooth materials should be evauluated.
2) Canopy material does need to be a thin polymer, because thicker materials and glass wouldn’t allow enough of the sun’s energy through at low angles of incidence, reducing efficiency. Being thin, as in the Spanish configuration, they make the canopy taut by pulling down on the center of the paned sheet. Given this slight “pyramiding” of the sheet within each pane, “pleating” may not work, but collecting the condensation could still be done by having the wire pulling the canopy taut passing down the center of a drip collecting pipe with drip pan at the top, just below the lowest point on the canopy.
3) Turbines in the chimney would reduce efficiency of turbines around the base. The pressure drop caused by the rising air is necessary for the turbines around the base to generate power. In EE terms, think of the whole system as an RCL (resistor / capacitor / inductor or is it RLC?) circuit, in which the whole thing is an inseperable system that produces a steady state effect. The chimney is there to create the desired low pressure state behind the turbines, while the canopy is there to create the high pressure state ahead of the turbines. The height and diameter of the chimney is the minimum required to create the pressure drop and flowrate to make the project feasible. Further, turbines in the chimney are going to be harder to maintain than the 32 around the base and certainly more expensive to install, so everything should be optimized to make the 32 work as efficiently as possible.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 9, 2008 @ 9:38 amEUREKA!
It just occurred to me that you wouldn’t have to make an impossibly tall chimney, if you had a blower in a shorter chimney. It may not be as efficient, but the capital expense would be way, way lower.
As in the tall solar updraft tower, you need to have the pressure drop to get the hot air to move laterally towards the chimney. Once moving, the air will keep moving, so it is just the start-up transient state that needs the kick. The hot air provides the push, so it would be a net power gain, without the huge upfront capital expense.
This might allow smaller scale projects to be attempted to provide further proof of concept.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 9, 2008 @ 10:14 amThe blower would be placed at the top of the chimney, so that there is never a condition of outside air mixing with the hot air inside the chimney, which is what would kill the cycle. At peak output, during the day, when there is no threat of outside air mixing into the chimney, the blower could act as a turbine, adding to the net power production, but at night, the blower would actually maintain a pushing force against the outside air, keep the cycle moving, albeit less efficiently.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 9, 2008 @ 10:52 amWow, the more I think about it, the more I love having a blower / turbine at the top of a shorter tower, because it becomes an excellent closed loop control system, increasing and decreasing the back pressure on the 32 turbines to optimize their efficiency. If you look at how the free standing turbines work, above a certain wind speed, the turbines don’t create anymore electricity, so it is better to “store” the energy of the hot air, by going into turbine mode of the blower / turbine at the top of the tower, slowing the flow. Later, when flow is slowing to the point where cold air might start mixing with the hot air in the chimney, you can go into blower mode, keeping the air flow at a rate most efficient for the 32 turbines.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 9, 2008 @ 11:50 amIf you’re a car or motorcycle guy you’re probably already a Peter Egan fan. Here’s a link to some of his articles: http://www.roadandtrack.com/default.asp?section_id=26 .
Comment by Steve S. March 9, 2008 @ 12:26 pmHi Jason,
I noticed the inverted pyramid formations caused by the spreaders & weights used to to keep the PVC membrane taut. The thing is, I saw them as obstacles to smooth, laminar air flow towards the tower. That’s why I suggested the pleats (which would run radially from the base of the tower out to the periphery of the solar canopy) because I thought they would offer less resistance to the moving air, in fact they should help channel the air flow towards the tower.
You brought up an important point about the angle of incidence of the sun’s rays as they hit the canopy material, and the refractive index of that material. To be honest, I hadn’t considered that particular issue, but now that I think about it I think that the pleating may actually help maximize the transit of solar radiation through the canopy material. I suppose that it might require some computer modeling to settle that one though. I noticed that the lifespan of the canopy material that was used in Spain was only 10 years, and that it was composed of polyvinyl chloride (a petroleum product). Another problem with that material, as far as I’m concerned, is that it screens out UV radiation. UV, being relatively high frequency, contains a lot of energy which could be absorbed and re-radiated by the asphalt (or similar material) beneath the canopy, and contribute substantially to the kinetic energy of the air that will drive the turbines.
I like the idea of the blower/turbine system at the top of the tower. It introduces an element of control into the system instead of it being completely passive. I wonder if inflatable bladders lining the inside surface of the chimney would also work in this regard (by reducing the inside diameter of the chimney, thereby increasing back pressure)? They would only have to be deployed in a short portion of the tower, creating a bottleneck effect.
Anyway, let me know what you think. All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey March 9, 2008 @ 4:57 pmHi again Jason,
I just went back and re-read your EUREKA! post (a place where I wouldn’t mind living actually) and something jumped out at me that I didn’t notice before. You said:
“As in the tall solar updraft tower, you need to have the pressure drop to get the hot air to move laterally towards the chimney. Once moving, the air will keep moving, so it is just the start-up transient state that needs the kick.”
The design that I’m familiar has a gradually sloping solar canopy. It slopes upwards from the periphery to the base of the tower. The rising hot air following the upwardly sloping canopy is the “kick” that initiates the self propagating process. Of course, the lower pressure inside the chimney, caused by the chimney effect, does contribute to the movement of air into the tower, so in effect you end up with both a “push” and a “pull”.
I think that I should also say that one of the characteristics that drew me to this technology in the first place was the simplicity, the elegance, of the design. It could be built with cheap, abundant (and recyclable) materials (concrete, glass, asphalt, plus the turbines), and it is essentially a low energy system. No molten salts at thousands of degrees Celsius, no exotic (and expensive) materials, no complex (and sometimes unreliable) tracking systems, all of which should translate into low operating and maintenance costs.
Anyway, once again, let me know what you think. I enjoyed reading your ideas. All the best,
Chris H.
Comment by Chris Harvey March 9, 2008 @ 5:32 pmHere’s a material for the required black surface below the solar tower’s plastic “greenhouse”: Nanosolar PV-acres of it, no ?
Comment by T.J. March 9, 2008 @ 5:39 pmAlso, with a tower up to 3000′ tall, slap Nanosolar on all faces execept the north-that should make for some serious power. The real question is: what is Martin going to do next in the green world?
Comment by T.J. March 9, 2008 @ 5:55 pmChris H,
Oooohhh, I suppose if a span of the thin film is drooping between two rails, which extend radially from the tower, and you use a 3rd rail in between to pull the sheet down taut, creating the pleat, that would definitely work. The water would run to the 3rd rail, then downhill to the edge of the canopy. I guess the asphault could have gutters for the water to run in and collect somewhere, to keep things simple.
I like the adjustible oriface idea, to constrict flow, but it won’t ever increase flow at low power conditions, to prevent air mixing. This is important to create a shorter tower. A shorter tower might have lower output, but it will be much cheaper.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 9, 2008 @ 6:22 pmT.J.,
You are right, I forgot that solar panels do get ridiculously hot. The nanosolar panels would be great, since you can lay them flat and not worry about tracking systems, since they don’t have thick glass with a high refractive index. You would get extra power from the solar panels, but I don’t think they would absorb enough heat to stay warm all night, like asphault, but I dunno, maybe it would work.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 9, 2008 @ 6:35 pmTJ,
The solar tower is in Australia, so you would want solar panels on the north, but not the south.
It may just be best to keep the system simple, asphault under the canopy, nothing to maintain in the tower (except for a blower / turbine at the top, to optimize steady-state conditions with the 32 turbines).
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 9, 2008 @ 6:42 pmChris H,
You always have the push from the heat generated by the asphault, but you may not have the right kind of pull, from the chimney, because, at the top, cold air might rush down the inside walls and mix within the chimney, reducing / killing the pull – a blower would eliminate the threat of mixing, even on a short tower.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 9, 2008 @ 6:47 pmInstead of asphalt: lava rock, crushed fine and poured with concrete-no petroleum required. Bunch of lava rock nearby, like around Java maybe, no? – put under the Nanosolar maybe, for heat storage ? Australia is also building a solar plant that focuses sun via parabolic large mirror on PV cells-solar concentrating PV instead of thermal . Australians are getting serious with solar-Sydney area has had ongoing drought of historic proportions, apparently-like Southwest U.S. or maybe worse. Question is: are the drought states mainly permanent due to golbal warming ? Latest “Audubon Society” magazine has an article about dire effects of global warming with a further 2 degree c. temp. rise (3.6 degree f. ) and really dire effects with 6 degree c. rise- like a “runaway bio-feedback situation”. Also, due to warming of the ocean so far, global warming effects will go on for a very long time even IF there are drastic c02 reductions relatively soon.
Comment by T.J. March 9, 2008 @ 8:13 pmJason & Chris…
I don’t have much familiarity with the theory of the chimney effect, but from some general principles I can see some problems in some of your ideas.
The sloping of the canopy as it approaches the chimney would not itself be the source of any push; that would just be a way to accomodate the increasing speed of air flow as it approaches the center. Ultimately, it’s the pressure differential between the outer edge of the canopy and the base of the chimney that drives the whole thing. Getting the updraft in the chimney as strong as possible is the key. Especially when you’re going to a high altitude, at which the ambient air pressure will be significantly less, which means your chimney air has to be that much hotter.
I don’t understand your point of the “blower” or using bladders to constrict the air flow. I mean, you’re worried about cold air reducing the upwards air flow… so you add mechanisms to make *sure* that the air flow is reduced?? Worrying about maintaining hot air lower down in the chimney and under the canopy is pointless if the hot air is stuck at the bottom anyways.
On another point, most of the area under the canopy is not going to be a concern in terms of air flow; it’s only as you near the center that it would start to be an issue — at which point you’re raised the height of the canopy to accommodate it. I’d guess that most of the area under that big circle — maybe beyond 1/3 of the radius from the center — will probably have pretty low wind speed. This would reduce turbulence around plants or other structures to probably negligible levels. The main concern there in terms of wind speed would just be the total cross-sectional area free for air flow, for a given circumference. Basically, the main job of that part of the canopy should be heat collection, as long as there is enough pressure differential to keep the hot air from escaping the outer edge.
A note on asphalt — not only does it come from underground, it also tends to leach volatile organic compounds into the air. Which is why they have to resurface roads every so often. If you had that full 20-square-kilometer area or so covered with asphalt, that leaching might amount to a significant contribution to greenhouse gases. At least, you wouldn’t be able to say that this is a “carbon-emission-free” technology. T.J.’s suggestion of using lava rock or other darkish material would probably do just as well. Even water, or plants themselves, would collect and retain most of the sun’s radiation quite well. Heck, with plants, you’d also get some residual heat from the decay of dead material, which would help even more for sustaining the flow overnight.
I rather fancy the idea of even having a *town* under the outer portions of the canopy, actually. I mean, it’s shelter from the elements, thus supplying one of the main functions that our buildings give to us, right?
Might be interesting as a recreational area, at least.
Comment by Doug March 9, 2008 @ 11:58 pmDoug,
Regarding the blower / turbine, I am just imagining the difficulty of designing very tall / thin chimney that produces the desired air flow under all conditions – sun / rain, winter / summer, etc. If you create a completely passive system, then you would probably be forced to go very, very tall, which is extremely expensive. If you create an active system, you can make a significantly shorter / cheaper structure, with a non-significantly less efficient overall output.
If it cost the same to make a passive system and an active system, there wouldn’t be any question, but the additional height raises costs exponentially (or at least geometrically).
If you download the brochure for the 3.0 MW turbine, you will see that it cuts-off additional power above 30 mph (15 m/s):
http://www.vestas.com/en/wind-power-solutions/wind-turbines/3.0-mw
All I am saying, is that a system designed to operate profitably in winter would encounter circumstances during the summer, in which the air flow is so high, that the turbines simply allow excess energy through without converting it into electricity. If a blower / turbine went into turbine mode, it would convert that energy, while also reducing flow to store hot air under the canopy, to further heat the pavement for use at night.
In winter, you might have conditions in which the airflow isn’t enough to prevent air from mixing in the top of the chimney, which would sink deeper and deeper into the chimney, killing the cycle. A small amount of blower power might be required to maintain the cycle, while still extracting energy in the 32 turbines. Chris had a good suggestion of an adjustible oriface, or any other type of vent throttle, which would be sufficient under these conditions. I just like the blower / turbine approach, because it would be totally adjustable, to the point where you could lower the height of the tower significantly.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 10, 2008 @ 6:00 amPerhaps better than adding a blower / turbine at the top, burning small amounts of hydrogen or natural gas just before or after the turbines, to maintain airflow, so that worst case conditions are avoided. It would still be an active system, allowing you to build a shorter, cheaper tower.
Most of the time, the system would work as intended, with hydrogen or natural gas used during worst case conditions.
It would end up being a hybrid plant. Just thoughts on how to creep up on an eventual super tall design, without taking a blind stab from a 50 kW design to a 200 MW design.
You could first build a hybrid 1 MW plant, then 10 MW, then 50 – 200 MW.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 10, 2008 @ 6:14 amI missed your earlier note about the max turbine capacity before I hit “send” on my previous post — that’s a good point. Of course, if you’re looking at that aspect in isolation, adding a 37th turbine on the ground, or just designing the system such that the 36 turbines can all work at the max possible airflow rate, might make more economic sense. Remember that that last turbine at the top of the tower is not going to be very light, thus increasing the expense of the tower significantly. I don’t understand your point about a shorter tower — again, I’m not familiar with the theory here, but given the expense, there must be a reason why a tower of that height is being proposed.
I don’t see the “blower” idea as energy-positive: if it’s really a “blower”, you’re basically applying an additional upward lift on the entire airflow — that’s not going to be cheap, energy-wise, given that this same airflow is driving 36 big turbines. It seems uncertain as to whether that would take less electricity than what you’re trying to save for the generation.
If it’s about cool air trickling down from the top of the chimney, it seems to me that adding baffles at the *top* end of the tower might be useful. That would increase the flow rate at the very end, maintaining velocity even as the overall energy decreases. Though I think the chimney structure *itself* becoming too cold (it will be a pretty effective radiator, in terms of mass-to-surface-area), taking energy away from the hot air as it rises, might be the bigger problem.
Now what you’re saying about making it a hybrid system might make the most economic sense (unfortunately!). Especially if it somehow makes a smaller plant profitable. Overall, you only need a single working full-size plant to prove the idea; funding for additional towers would come quite a bit more easily, once investors can have that kind of certainty. This could be the way to bridge the gap. Though I don’t know how efficient the burning of natural gas will be in this application (a negative-pressure approach), vs. in a standard plant (positive pressure).
Btw, forget hydrogen for this — its only appeal at all is for automotive applications, due to the theoretical energy density (which is pretty hard to achieve in practice). You have no such mass/volume constraints here. And don’t forget that it has to come from somewhere, from some other energy source, only with an pretty big loss in the conversion/transportation. It would inherently be better to use that other energy source directly here instead.
Now if I might switch back from left brain to right — I wonder if putting more insulation in the chimney structure would help? Actually, I don’t see why it needs to be concrete all the way up, except that it’s a familiar material. It seems needlessly heavy. Couldn’t you have a steel-cage design: two concentric cylinders, essentially, and you fill the gap between them with an insulating foam of some kind. Since it’s so much lighter, you could make the walls much thicker, attaining an arbitrary amount of insulation. The main issue might be structural strength in high winds — but that would be an issue for a concrete design as well, and with a pure steel cage + foam, the structure should be quite a bit more flexible.
Comment by Doug March 10, 2008 @ 7:56 amAs I said before, if you are only trying to prevent air mixing, then baffles, contracting oriface, etc. will suffice. I think a blower / turbine approach gives designers far more flexibility in tower height and diameter. To have turbines working efficiently in poor conditions, I believe turbines would be maxed out in optimal conditions, unless you add natural gas boost so that poor conditions never exist.
I thought about those insulative foam spacers used in housing, where concrete is poured in and around interlocking foam shapes, to add high R values to the wall. It works well, but the walls are not very high. For a very tall structure with very high compressive loads, you would probably need carbon fiber molds – again expensive. I think the double wall approach might just be twice as expensive than single wall, no insulation.
I am starting to think that burning natural gas at the base of chimney, with baffles at the top would help the designers develop a shorter chimney that maintains a fairly constant air flow through the 32 (made mistake, not 36) turbines, so that turbines can be optimized for narrow range of air flow.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 10, 2008 @ 10:04 amFeed In Tariff:
I don’t think that I like this concept. Currently, investors can create long-term contracts with power companies, so that they can make a business case out of building a power plant, renewable or otherwise. The price people pay for their electricity is the cost of building, operating and long term financing the power source, in other words, the REAL cost of creating the energy.
With the Feed In Tariff, power users are charged a tariff (fee or tax, same thing), which the electric companies use to build a power plant. Consumers pay for the plant, but consumers don’t own any piece of it, or share in the profits. They still end up paying the full operating cost for the electricity, and get no rate cut in return.
Either the power utility, or the government, ends up owning the plant, setting prices. If it is the government, then that is blatant communism, and if it is the electric utility, then that is absolute theft.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 10, 2008 @ 12:00 pmHere’s an amusing link showing one of the many ways some children and other irresponsible people can easily control and manipulate adults, and become the center of attention:
Comment by Steve S. March 10, 2008 @ 2:43 pmhttp://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-1395493197112560766&q=%22didn%27t+your+mom%22&total=8&start=0&num=100&so=0&type=search&plindex=0 . A more sophisticated technique is making erroneous and annoying statements. Another is merely asking a lot of pointless questions. Most adults are trained to have the social grace to share information.
Steve S.,
Wuzzah madder Stevie Weavie, not getting enough attention? Perhaps my posts aren’t exactly pertaining to the thread topic, but your posts complaining about me and my posts are even more pointless and distracting. You forgot to tell everyone to Google my name again, to stir up dirt, while you hide your full name from the same scrutiny.
Good times!
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 10, 2008 @ 3:16 pmIf not lava rock, just pour a thin layer of conc. (like 2″) and , as Mick said once: “Paint it Black” and carpet w/ Nanosolar. Here’s an idea, wacky or otherwise- ground source cooling: drill some deep well holes around the tower, put in ground source cooling piping and blow cold air to near top of the chimney (insulate cool air ducts when they exit ground). Would this create added draft/draw , or no?
Comment by T.J. March 10, 2008 @ 7:02 pmForget the well holes- the tower, whether 3000′ ,or a third that height, will have on heck of a foundation- run the ground source tubes at the bottom of the foundation pit before the conc. is poured- ” mix them in with the rebar”.
Comment by T.J. March 10, 2008 @ 7:13 pmAlso, wonder what a high, cone shape inside the tube tower would do re. better airflow/draft- cone would have concave sides. There is also a thin f plastic film they make with tiny grooves in it-it was (is ?) used on America’s Cup sailboat hulls to cut turbulance (like a shark’s skin they say)- wonder if good for airflow turbulance as well? -or maybe some other aerodynamic devices, scoped out by aeronautical engineers) could in incorporated inside tower.
Comment by T.J. March 10, 2008 @ 7:24 pmOf course cone is at bottom of tower, to direct airflow coming in from all sides up smoothly, so airflows don’t collide but instead swoop up the sides of the cone and merge at the top of the cone into a better, steady airflow (?). I don’t know details of the tower, maybe has this item already.
Comment by T.J. March 10, 2008 @ 7:31 pmInfo. from a book review, in “Audubon” Mag., on new book “Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet” (Mark Lynas, National Geographic Books-Lynas is british journalist who “read thousands of research papers on climate change and molded the info. into the mother of all synthesis reports” ) : One degree C. more temp. rise = prolonged droughts, coral bleaching, speicies extinction, disappearance of serveral island nations. Another one degree more rise in temp.= large areas of the Southern Ocean and part of the Pacific will become effectvely toxic to organisims with calcium carbonate shells- “unfortunately , the creatures on which the entire marine food chain rests-plankton- have just such shells”. Other effects of two C. degree rise: obliteration of large swath of biodiversity and continued heat waves, wildfires, glacier melting, disappearing coastlines and trouble with urban water supplies in certain places. Past the 2 degree temp. rise ” the likelihood of sliding toward 6 degrees-or higher- increases due to ‘feedback of runaway global warming’ “. If methane locked up in oceans is released more, greenhouse gas levels could soar. In order to avoid global warming increase of 2 degrees more, co2 concentration can’t rise above 400 parts per million.. Now they’re at 382 and rising 2 parts per year. The European Union has set a target of 550, environ. groups are aiming at 450. Lynas says that by his count, “a point echoed in a December declaration by 200 top interantional climate scientists”-global emissions must peak by 2015, and by 2050 they must be 85 percent lower than today. Lynas suggests the following: doubling fuel economy, covering 5 million acres with solar panels, constructing 2 million wind turbines, halting deforestation and instituing mandatory ‘carbon rationing’ “.
Comment by T.J. March 10, 2008 @ 9:24 pmTJ,
For steady airflow, I believe a constant diameter pipe is best, as long as it is designed for laminar flow. Baffles, adjustible oriface, throttle, etc. would be used to prevent any reverse flow conditions at the top. You might be able to create a Venturi effect nozzle at the top, a special nozzle shape that constricts the pipe size, creating a much faster movement of the hot air out the top, which would make a better barrier against cold air trying to mix in – that should work. It would only have to be at the top, so that the rest of the tower could be built more uniformly, in fact the rest of the tower diameter and height would no longer be critical, and more tolerant of varying conditions, as the nozzle would allow for a wide range of conditions.
Yes, I think a “wide” diameter pipe, ensuring laminar flow, leading into a venture nozzle, should be very forgiving of environmental conditions.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 11, 2008 @ 7:36 amMartin, just read series production begins March 17th. Does that mean you will be receiving your car soon or is the article referring to Elon’s car (a month late)?
Comment by Brandon March 11, 2008 @ 12:24 pmhttp://www.innovationbeat.com/2008/03/break-through-for-all-electric-sports.html
Nissan Cube electric vehicle:
http://wot.motortrend.com/6232757/auto-shows/nissan-joining-plug-in-electric-crowd-concept-coming-to-nyc/index.html
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 11, 2008 @ 12:29 pmHi Martin,
How’s your house project going?
What have you been up to these days?
-M
Comment by Max March 11, 2008 @ 6:36 pmI’ve done a bit of homework on the solar chimney stuff. The best page I found is the wiki:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_updraft_tower
My main take-away from this is that the cost-benefit vs. other solar technologies is far more dubious than I had thought. It’s going to get just 0.5% efficiency, compared to up to 40% for solar concentrators. That’s up to an 80x difference. Meaning that to get the same 200MW as the Australian proposal uses 38 square kilometers for, you’d only need less than half a square km of mirrors. That difference is big enough that it could conceivably compensate for the extra expense of the 1000’s of actuators, etc., vs. just the sheer bulk of material + construction labor, simple though it may be, needed for the updraft tower.
To put it another way, if you really did carpet the updraft tower’s collector area with nanosolar, as several here have suggested, those panels would be generating (6/0.5)*200MW = 2.4 GW of power (assuming 6% efficiency for nanosolar). Basically, building the canopy + tower over the nanosolar would give a relatively small additional amount of power.
On to a few of the other ideas above:
T.J.:
No.
You’re paying the energy to lift cold, dense air up to the top of the tower… and then what exactly are you doing with it? If it’s going inside the tower, it’s going to act against the chimney effect; outside the tower, I don’t see how it interacts at all. Also, it’s unlikely that this cooled air will be any colder than the ambient air at that altitude.
Jason:
Could you explain why a blower would allow for a shorter tower height? That seems like it would give the system two hits to its efficiency (power to the blower + weaker chimney effect) with no benefit.
Carbon fiber helps under tension, not compression.
But you’re right in that the “cage” design I proposed might be more expensive, even if it uses less weight of material, because the concrete structure would be relatively simple to construct. Perhaps you could just spray a foam coating on the inside of the concrete chimney, to reduce the radiative heat loss at night.
Perhaps a solar chimney might be most useful for water purification, with some electrical generation as a side benefit. If you have a desert-ish area next to the ocean, you’d pipe in water under the canopy area. Then the central tower would be shaped to allow for increased reclamation of the water flowing up with the hot air — perhaps flaring out as it nears the top, as you see in power station cooling stacks.
Comment by Doug March 11, 2008 @ 11:22 pmDoug,
You’ve fallen into the efficiency trap, instead of looking at cost per Watt. Yes, concentrated solar is way more efficient, but, scaling Nevada Solar One’s costs, it would cost you $9.4 billion to build, instead of $0.7 billion. Assuming concentrated solar cost half what a solar thermal plant does (and I am sure it doesn’t), it would still be $4.7 billion. The whole push is to reduce cost per Watt, not efficient conversion of the solar radiation collected. Martin pointed that out in a post above.
As for the blower / turbine, it would be there to prevent the mixing of cold air at the top of the chimney, which would kill the air flow through the chimney, but as I determined later, a Venturi nozzle at the top would be sufficient to stop air mixing at the top. I still believe that it might be beneficial to include natural gas heating of air either just before or just after the 32 turbines, to keep things operating on cold winter nights.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 12, 2008 @ 8:24 amHey Martin,
Curious if there’s a way to contact you offline. My email is evdestination@gmail.com
I was talking to someone about P1 yesterday and they said you’re scheduled to get P2. I wanted to confirm this is true.
BTW, I continue to hold my opinion that you and Elon should work together. Just doesn’t make sense not to. Anything can be worked out in communication.
Cheers,
- Ricardo
Comment by Ricardo Parker March 12, 2008 @ 4:00 pmDoug-like Martin said, better to do “Volkwagen” type solar projects- with simple design, cheaper, less radical= more of them. Still, I think the “solar tracking dish stirling engine” type could be good-made cheaper in high volume, since it’s supposedly the most efficient solar system there is. In newspaper today is an article on new published research by 2 climate scientists (at Carnegie Institute and Oregon State). Bottom line: the world must bring carbon emissions down to near zero the prevent global warming. World would have to reduce emissions by 80% to limit c02 to 450 ppm by 2050.
Comment by T.J. March 12, 2008 @ 8:30 pmIn 1958 there was something called the International Geophysical Year, which I knew of later as a kid (wikipedia info. on it). It actually lasted for half of ‘57 till the end of ‘58. Another wikipedia article on Roger Revelle says he was instrumental in setting up this worldwide event, which I didn’t know till now. I remember a science book put out on the IGY research and findings (an interesting, glossy book, for the average reader, full of photos and graphics) -that my parents had when I was a little kid. When my brother was looking for a career my father suggested oceanography as an up- and- coming field, so my brother went to U.C. San Diego to study that- at the part of U.C.S.D. called Revelle College. But seeing as how he was amongst a lot of semi- genius/nerd types and he wasn’t , he figured optometry was better-and transferred to Berkeley for that. In 1957 Revelle first published his findings on global warming, derived from his oceanography research. As an “earth civilization” we’ve been hijacked -since then and way, way before as well- by “economic/political/military/ media ” forces beyond our ,as in “the average, sensible person’s ” , control, let alone knowledge of even . So now it’s going on 50 years since ‘58-talk about lost time and opportunity. The weasels really running the world are basically jackasses- no, actually that’s an insult the weasel & jackass species: they’re a bunch of conniving chimps is what they are. Bonobos are a lot less hostile, but they “cleverly” prefer to take after the chimps.
Comment by T.J. March 12, 2008 @ 9:05 pmIt’s obvious “right about now”, 50 years after the fact, that what the world really needs is a Branson Prize style c02 removal system, as gigantic as that proposition is. Every country putting out a certain min. amount of c02 should pay for removal units based on their emissions and/or GDP. What would this cost-2% of world GDP, 5% ? Seeing as how “the green energy revolution”, if pushed to the max. , would be a boon to the world economy, take some of that extra generated wealth and put it into c02 removal. But besides this point, another inconvenient truth is who (or what) really cares economic issues except humans anyway ? Nothing else on the planet gives a halibut about this item. Look at the minor required cost as the real price of doing business on modern planet earth.
Comment by T.J. March 12, 2008 @ 9:52 pmUnfortunately, the last 12 months have undone (-.64C°) all the global warming achieved since about 1990.
Oops.
Martin sez:
Interesting. Has the Arctic polar cap been restored then? The last I checked, it was the smallest it has been in the last ten thousand years.
Comment by Brian H March 12, 2008 @ 10:31 pmBrian H.
Did you also read the whole article?…
I guess you missed something:
“The website DailyTech has an article citing this blog entry as a reference, and their story got picked up by the Drudge report, resulting in a wide distribution. In the DailyTech article there is a paragraph:
“Anthony Watts compiled the results of all the sources. The total amount of cooling ranges from 0.65C up to 0.75C — a value large enough to erase nearly all the global warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one year time. For all sources, it’s the single fastest temperature change ever recorded, either up or down.”
I wish to state for the record, that this statement is not mine: “–a value large enough to erase nearly all the global warming recorded over the past 100 years”
There has been no “erasure”. This is an anomaly with a large magnitude, and it coincides with other anecdotal weather evidence. It is curious, it is unusual, it is large, it is unexpected, but it does not “erase” anything. I suggested a correction to DailyTech and they have graciously complied.”
Regards
Comment by hectorrv March 13, 2008 @ 6:37 amHere’s an excerpt from Joe Romm’s http://climateprogress.org, at http://climateprogress.org/2008/03/11/where-is-the-media-on-the-incredible-warming-and-extreme-weather-of-february :
Comment by Steve S. March 13, 2008 @ 12:37 pm———-
So what exactly is the news here? What is all the fuss about?
The major answer is big media swallowed the spin of disinformers. The minor answer is two sow’s ears of relatively meaningless weather-related factoids that the disinformers have spun into a climate disinformation silk purse:
First, while January 2008 was not especially warm compared to recent years and only 0.18°C (+0.32°F) warmer than the 1961-1990 mean, January 2007 just happened to be the warmest January in recorded history, a full 0.83°C (1.49°F) warmer than the mean. That means the difference between January 2007 and January 2008 was anomalously large, over a full degree Fahrenheit. This made for a factoid that was interesting from a weather/ meteorological perspective, but totally irrelevant from a climate science perspective.
You can call this a twelve-month long drop if you inclined to such meaningless hype, but only a disinformer would say this drop is “large enough to wipe out most of the warming recorded over the past 100 years.” Even the meteorologist who uncovered the original weather factoid disavowed that statement….”
———-
Elsewhere on the site is the news that February 2008 was much warmer than February 2007, and incidentally had a record number of tornados. If you projected the change in the same manner that was used for the January data, the climate would be 30 degrees F warmer in ten years, it goes on to say.
Idea for your next blog post.
Comment by Dan Frederiksen March 13, 2008 @ 1:09 pmthe cost of EV components with regard to projecting pricing of mass produced EVs. Some people have a hard time seeing past extreme prices like ACpropulsions 25k$ motor controller set and they feel EV components are inherently high priced. I think it could be very interesting for the world to hear your thoughts on how cheap we can expect motor, electronics and batteries to be in mass production. the small size of the tesla motor and current IGBT cost leads me to believe it can become very attractive pricewise. similarly batteries if you know something about that since they appear to be quite simple to make and raw materials in LiFePO4 can’t cost all that much
Ricardo Parker wrote:
“Anything can be worked out in communication.”
Not everything…
Comment by TEG March 13, 2008 @ 5:04 pmTEG-though Martin might like to have a wall-to-wall talk with Elon anyway, for exercise : ” well this planet ain’t big enough for the both of us, Pilgrim ! “. Speaking of a planet not being big enough, global warming fence-sitter Bob Lutz of GM should consider this: if the freeways were available in the required locations, he and a co-driver could get in a Pontiac Solstice and drive all the way around the world (getting fast food to save time, but of course) non-stop at 80 mph in 13 days-at the equator- maybe in 11 days at Detroit latitude. Or they could take a corp. jet at 520 mph or so and be back in 2 days-or like an hour and a half on the Space Shuttle. As Frank Nitti might have said :” Nice little planet we got here, wouldn’t want anything-more- to happen to it “.
Comment by T.J. March 13, 2008 @ 6:03 pmRising oil demand around the world should help elect. cars: vice chairman of Goldman Sachs said (on PBS Nightly Biz Report) that in next few years oil could go to $200 per barrel. It recently passed $100 (now $110). This will cause EV’s to look better. Of course I suspect the price of oil could artificially be nudged higher too if “they ” wanted to. I thought Russia was selling more than ever, same for Venezuela-so is entire price rise really on the level ?
Comment by T.J. March 13, 2008 @ 6:23 pmPrice rise in oil is supposedly tied to value of dollar-as dollar declines in value, oil producers just up their price to get the same dollar amount. Nice job there, if you can get it.
Comment by T.J. March 14, 2008 @ 5:22 pmThe Eliot Spitzer scandal offers another view of what a bunch of chimps we are as a country in many respects. Here’s a list of all the places in the world where prostitution is legal (according to the first listing you will find on a google search): Canada, Australia, Israel, most of Mexico and most of: Europe, South America and Asia. That just about covers the whole planet, since Africa is obviously open season in this re. too, per the AIDS rate. So what’s our excuse ?-religious turkeyism no doubt involved, but what else is new in this country re. that- besides “creationsim”, which sounds appropriately like cretinism ? Only in America-everywhere else the “scandalous Spitzer case” is a joke / non-issue. Only here is defense spending also 10 times higher than the next highest country and only we fight all the wars since WW II (or, “correction”: bear the vast brunt of them)- per Korea, Vietnam, First Gulf War & now Iraq-we also bore the brunt of the entire phony and pre-fabricated cold war (in the western world, that is-of course the Patton- style “poor dumb bastards” behind the iron curtain had it a whole lot worse) . We also have the largest prison population, by a big edge, over any country in the world. A couple of years ago I was vacationing for a few weeks in Ireland. After awhile you get to feel more like a local. It was a breath of fresh air to start considering “world events re. the U.S. in the papers” as “something foreign”- as in: “I’m glad I’m not caught up in their B.S. all the time-it’s a lot better to look at it from afar and be free of all the crapola” -and that goes for not having to put up with reading cons in the paper, every now and then , on editorial pages and in full page ads – like the coal lobby as they try to “con the populace ” yet again. Then we have the radio talk shows , fair & balanced Fox News, and cable stuff that I pay absolutely no attention to at all- yet that is directed at whole lot of people. I do believe the whole chimpification of America is not, to say the least and by any means a “complete happenstance “.
Comment by T.J. March 14, 2008 @ 6:32 pmMore on the chimpification of America from PBS’s Bill Moyer’s Reports. Item: massive waste & fraud in Iraq involving U.S. money- spending contolled by State Dept. Henry Waxman, Calif. congressman, had investigative committee-his investigation was impeded by Inspector General’s Office of State Dept. Condisleezy Rice stonewalled at every turn, claimed lack of knowledge even though she runs the State Dept. Waxman said, well-since you conveniently know nothing “then can we call specific employees of your dept. to try to get specific answers? ” She said yes-but only in closed door testimony. Which Waxman said is absurd because the American people can then never hear of what was said. Item: new U.S. embassy in Iraq now being built was given to a Kuwait construction firm-with no competitive bidding. It has so far cost $600 million, and now will cost a further projected $144 million, at least, before project will supposedly be complete. Kuwaiti firm (called ” First Kuwaiti”) has been using forced labor. It is by far most costly U.S embassy ever. By comparison, there is a new Mormon HQ/ office & conference center building covering an entire city block in Salt Lake City- finished about 6 years ago. It has the world’s largest indoor amphitheater space-with a gigantic span and a huge cantilevered balcony- looking like that alien senate building space in the Star Wars movie. This building is about 7 or 8 floors high, with roof gardens on the entire roof, and is totally (100 %) clad in granite. It cost $750 million. If built in Iraq it no doubt would have legitimately cost one third of that- or is it one fourth ? If built there with U.S. funds by First Kuwati it would have cost what $3 billion ? However, since the IRS / Fed Reserve act of 1913 the govt. has been able to skim money off of everyone working in this country with no real way for “us all” , at all, to control the spending of a vast amounts of it. Coincidentally, less than four years after the IRS act we entered Word War I- and the tax rate was increased, temporarily people were told at the time, to fund the war. But after the war this tax rate wasn’t in fact lowered. A short 23 years later the IRS act again came in handy to help fund WW II. According to “EH.Net Encyclopedia” website info. on WW II: “The number of Americans required to pay taxes rose from 4 million in 1939 to 43 million in 1945. Americans who earned as little as $500 per year paid taxes at a 23% rate, those who earned $1 million or more paid at a 94% rate. In 1940 the govt. extended income tax to virtually all Americans and began collecting tax via the now-familiar method of continuous withholding from paychecks, rather than lump-sum payments after the fact “. Uncle Sam-we’re a monkey’s nephews.
Comment by T.J. March 14, 2008 @ 9:47 pmSpeaking of the govt., etc.-came across this interesting blast from the past while doing a wikipedia search on John Phillips of the Mamas and the Papas (program just on PBS on them): The last 2 yrs. I was at Berkeley I knew, through a guy I knew at a frat house, a guy named John Phillips. He was only around for a year or two before he went to Princeton-which I found out one day when the frat friend said “remember John Phillips ? -he wrote a paper on how to build an A-Bomb for a class, it’s all over the news” (and his name now on wikpedia for this) . Turns out Phillips and his brother later founded apparently the largest political data-mining firm out there “used by every presidential candidate from Ronald Reagan on “. Apparently his company helped the likes of Rove too-too bad- should have fed that guy faulty data, and plenty of it. Phillips now lives back in Frisco-website is called Aristotle, Inc. Wikipedia said years ago he ran for congress (almost made it). That I can see, seems he was always talking and hanging out with people.
Comment by T.J. March 14, 2008 @ 11:42 pmA while ago Ricardo Parker mentioned http://www.ted.com , an annual conference of leading people from the worlds of technology, entertainment and design. The next one is in February 2009 in Long Beach, CA.
The site has a lot of videos of talks given at TED. My favorites so far are from the late great Paul MacCready, founder of Aerovironment where the prototype for the GM EV-1 was invented and developed; and James Watson, co-discoverer of the double helix structure of DNA. Both talks include a lot of humor and great stories.
Another interesting talk is from Philippe Starck, a designer. He’s French with a strong accent, which requires some concentration to understand, but one of his points has given me a lot to think about. He starts out describing two of the most commonly used design approaches. One he calls cynical design, the use of design as a weapon to sell products by making them look sexy, etc. He characterizes it with the English word for “merde”.
Another approach he has little use for is the narcissistic approach: an egotistical designer designing only to please himself and other egotistical designers.
The approach he uses (heavily paraphrased) is to not concentrate on the object being designed (!) but on the experience of using it. To that end, he wants to find out as much as he can about the habits and culture of the people who will use the product.
I often say that engineering is not usually optimization; it’s mostly the elimination of faults. That doesn’t just mean function, but includes other parameters like the annoyance level in operation, the difficulty of developing proficiency of use, the clarity of the manual, etc. Software applications strongly illustrate those issues.
The http://www.google.com website is a great inspiration. It’s simple, non-irritating, easy on the eyes, and loads quickly. The fact that it’s fantastically fast and powerful is a bonus.
Cars are discussed in terms of styling, acceleration, economy, etc, but cherished more in terms of lack of annoying characteristics, an underlying concern for and anticipation of distractions from a feeling of well-being, and dependability. There’s an old saying that has an analogue with products: people will eventually forget what you say, but they will never forget how you made them feel.
Comment by Steve S. March 15, 2008 @ 2:53 amSteve- I think maybe the most important thing design-wise or in other so-called creative stuff is Enthusiasm. Enthusiasm means something is going on ’cause it makes people way-stoked for some reason. It’s what puts a lot of people over the top, from Einstein to McCartney. I was watching a PBS show on the history of Rockabilly, they said Elvis swung thru Texas very early in his career and was seen first by Roy Orbinson in Midland and then by Buddy Holly in Lubbock. They both dropped what they were doing (namely country-western) and became rockers in a split second-they were already good in their field but enthusiasm kicked that up a notch, to say the least. Buddy and the Crickets were incredible-they pulled all that great stuff out of thin air in only 18 months before the plane crash. Then John & Paul got a load of Buddy in Liverpool (and Chuck Berry, Elvis & Little Richard) and the rest is history there. Then the Stones got a load of American R & B, and George Harrison said to a Decca Records guy- when he asked if George knew any hot new upcoming bands (since Decca had stupidly passed on the Beatles)- “Yeah, check out this new group called the Rolling Stones, they’re great- if you’re smart you’ll sign them up”. The Decca guy grabbed a pen and was outta there. Then later someone made McCartney aware of James Taylor-whereupon Macca said-”This guy’s great !” and signed him to Apple records. Of course these guys have to be wired with the “talent” to begin with, but it’s enthusiasm that brings that out and over the top. I know someone who used to be a big Nirvana fan- I Iistened to an early album he had that they did- it like had no melody in the songs to speak of, but they sure were playing whatever it was with enthusiasm-I gave them that. Later, through enthusiastically plugging away, somehow Kurt Cobain picked up the knack for melody and did some great songs, for their type. In architecture a big modern example is Frank Gehry. He was doing just regular design to make a living when a lawyer for The Rouse Corp. ( that he was doing work for) saw the wacky remodel of his ’20’s cottage- style Santa Monica house. He said to Frankie “this is the kind of design you really want to do right?- So why not just do it”. Of course the reason being, Frankie’s thinking to himself: ” ’cause I’ll starve, you macaroon”. Lucky for him he had saved enough corp. money to try the advice-he laid off employees and took his company from 30 to 3, and almost did starve. Now he gets away with design murder-but his style came from just picking up the design baton dropped by: Le Corbusier, Eero Saarinen, James Stirling and some Alvar Aalto. All but Stirling had dropped the baton only because they died-they were doing Frankie type stuff right at the end. Frank Lloyd Wright was headed that way too with the N.Y. Guggenheim Museum (one of the last bldgs. he did before he died). So Frankie just took it all to the next level-and now other people, with computers allowing all sorts of curvy things to be “visualized” , are taking it further. Without innate enthusiasm Frankie would still be doing dumb boxes and saying “it’s a living”. However, he also obviously had some kind of great PR mill- he was getting newspaper & mag. recognition early on- and he somehow came across customers with almost as much extra cash as Cod. Nice work if you can get it-but it all starts with being way-stoked.
Comment by T.J. March 15, 2008 @ 6:00 pmRe. design architects above, James Stirling is lesser known-but he was a big “deconstructivist” kinda guy, ditto for Gehry, who took that and, after a while, added curves to it and his “buildings as sculpture” M.O.-the best of both worlds, potentially. Do a google image search on : James Stirling Leicester University Engineering Building. That building is neat, especially for 1959. So are Le Corbusier’s Ronchamp Chapel and Eero Saarinen TWA terminal. But Stirling was really mechanistic/decon.-later his stuff was more watered down- he lost the scent- otherwise he might have headed in Gehry’s direction.
Comment by T.J. March 15, 2008 @ 7:08 pmT.J., this started out about a different perspective on the design of products that people buy and use, but the fine art worlds of music and architecture, and what motivates excellence in those fields, are fun to talk about too. Talent, and enthusiasm for learning about and developing a deep and thorough, almost instinctual knowledge and feeling for a subject, I would say are very important.
If you were choosing the music for a Tesla commercial some day, would you go with a cynical selection, common in advertising, of something loud and boisterous that might well be annoying, but at least wouldn’t be ignored? Or maybe a narcissistic approach that would reflect your and your friends’ sophisticated musical taste but would confuse and irritate most people who don’t know anything about it? Starck probably wouldn’t even think about music at first; he’d try to find out everything he could about the people who might be interested in the car, and try to help make the experience of watching the ad enjoyable and not annoying.
I once lived a block away from the only Le Corbusier building in the US, at Harvard, and often used the site to get from one street to another. I very much liked attending events at the Kresge Auditorium at MIT, designed by Saarinen, because I loved the building. In NYC I made a point of visiting the Guggenheim and the TWA terminal. Great stuff, but I personally never felt any compelling connection to large buildings. Incidentally, Philip Johnson once talked about how bizarre it had become that the design of most large buildings is controlled and dictated by real estate agents. It would be like the design of most automobiles being dictated by used car salesmen, although I suspect they wouldn’t be much worse at it than the people who do.
Everyone has different tastes in art and music. The most intense feelings I’ve had about architecture are for the early 20th century California craftsman residences of the Greene brothers: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greene_and_Greene . Their best known and preserved work is the Gamble House, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamble_House which is worth a visit.
Here’s a question for you: do you know the old book Architecture 2000, by Charles Jencks? I haven’t looked at it for a while, but now I will. It’s not only about architecture (the six major architectural traditions are discussed, for example) but about trends in technology in general. The graphic organization and representations of that wide-ranging material were excellent. I had never seen anything like it.
Comment by Steve S. March 16, 2008 @ 11:26 pmMartin,
Another area where government can be a big help is in incentives. As most of you know, Martin is my brother. My wife and I bought our solar system six years ago, with a major upgrade tow years ago (more capacity).
In AZ the power company (APS) pays 50% of the cost including installation. And we got 3,000 in tax credits — twice (once for the original and once for the upgraded capacity). Little trick we learned if you can pull it off, put the system in in increments and get more tax credits.
Out out-of-pocket cost for a total of 7.6 KWH was just over 20k! Not bad, really, and not only do we save money, but the added value to our house likely exceeds the 20k.
A critical point to consider: since we rolled it in to our home financing, we save more than the additional financing (e.g. the increase in monthly payment is less than the savings in electricity, so even on a cash-flow basis this is a “good deal”). Martin often pays cash for things so he does not always consider the more typical and correct way to analyze the cost is on a “monthly payment” basis.
Our system has more capacity and had less cost than yours in the “green” state of CA … something wrong there. Actually I have read in my Solar News magazine that AZ is the best state in the union for subsidized solar power. Who would have thought?
Of course, we need it more here — we use a lot of power just for A/C (my next house I a planning now will have geo-thermal heat-pump for heating and cooling).
What I strongly agree with is that at a minimum we should have regulation requiring “solar-ready” as you pointed out, a huge part of the expense is in retro-fitting. We are very lucky in our case in that we were able to mount the panels and most of the inverter stuff on/in horse barns and wire with wall mounted conduit (no drywall/plaster or cosmetics to worry about) and this saved a ton of money. I was able to trench everything with a plow on my John Deere, also saving money (and charged the solar installer so I could get the 50% of that back as well
).
Another good regulatory move would be to require “net metering” which AZ did a few years ago. Instead of purchasing electricity at retail and selling it back at wholesale they just take the net amount of electricity on an annual basis and charge us the difference (with lots of games played on the monthly bill to “estimate” this). Before the switch to net billing we were close to energy neutral, but paid a lot of money anyway. With the change to net billing we pay “nothing” (they still hose us for hookup fee, state tax, federal tax, and who knows what other taxes and fees so the bill is never zero even though we are a net producer of energy).
I think everyone should send letters to their local a state represenatives demanding net billing, higher incentives, and solar-ready construction. I mail mine
Spyderman (Eric)
Comment by Spyderman March 17, 2008 @ 11:58 amMartin,
I also wanted to add a rebuttal to TJ’s remarks on the Spitzer mess. I happen to agree that prostitution should be legal, regulated, and taxed.
However, the problem with Spitzer is much different. He was the state’s top law enforcement officer. He signed in to law the very laws he violated. He put people in prison for violating those laws.
As an elected offical, if he did not like a law he should have worked to change it. I suppose he could ignore it and would not be so bad. Letting him skate after putting people in prison for violating the same laws is beyond the pale.
In addition, he may have violated money laundering laws, used state funds, used campaign funds. If (I say if) that is so, then he deserves even more pain.
My point is, it is not about the sex or whether or not one agrees with a particular law and choses to ignore it. It is about public trust and public fianance.
Spyderman (Eric)
As an aside … why is this subject even on this web page?
Comment by Spyderman March 17, 2008 @ 12:04 pmOver on the Tesla blog, Ze’ev said that the production line was “switched on” according to schedule, on March 17th, and that first deliveries are about “month away.” Sounds like you have 30 days to tweak that solar array, Martin, and then you can start putting it to its intended use.
Comment by James Anderson Merritt March 17, 2008 @ 4:02 pmJay Leno takes you for a ride in a new electric sports car: http://www.jaylenosgarage.com/ . It’s a little hard to watch the first part with what seems like an imposter, but it’s a great car!
Here’s a link to an astronomy photo site http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/archivepix.html to help pass the time until more of the cars, which evidently have actually started series production, show up in California.
Comment by Steve S. March 17, 2008 @ 4:04 pmJust a quick correction: The Tesla blog announced the start of production as today. But it was in the San Jose Mercury News, where I read a US arrival date of “about four weeks” later for cars begun today. The SJMN attributed that estimate to Darryl Siry. So if your P2 is late, Martin, go knocking on Darryl’s door!
Comment by James Anderson Merritt March 17, 2008 @ 4:14 pmSpyderman (Eric) said:
“As an aside … why is this subject even on this web page?”
And your brother said:
Martin sez:
“The cost and benefit landscape for PV here in the States is indeed quite uneven. Electricity in New Mexico (which is almost purely coal-generated) costs about a nickel per kWh. In New York City, it is not legal to connect a PV system to the grid at all.”
And I say: Sometimes this thread has a tendency to wander from it’s focal point. Some people are right on target while others seem to stray or lose focus. I guess Martin’s one mention of NYC and solar triggered a thought process in someone’s mind about Gov. Spitzer and prostitutes. How this happens is beyond me.
Anyways Spyderman, on your first post you stated that you were in the APS area. I am in the TEP boundry (south of you) and in my solar quest I learned that there was a lot to learn. I educated myself as best I could on the subject and now that I’ve gotten to the bottom of it, a PV install in this state is pretty cut and dry. Your post substantiates that. Mine will be going in around the October time frame.
I’ve written my Congresswoman but get form letters in return. What was weird though was I wrote her saying that we need to build solar power plants like the one in Spain and about 2 weeks later, I start hearing news about the Solana Power Plant southwest of Phoenix. It’s being built by the same people that built the one in Seville, Spain. Man is it ever a small world.
Now, can I borrow your tractor?
Frank
Comment by Freewheelin' Franklin March 17, 2008 @ 5:26 pmA Subaru R1e cruises New York City:
http://www.autobloggreen.com/2008/03/17/breaking-subaru-expanding-r1e-pilot-program-to-ny/
Here are links to the solar power plant projects:
The Solana concentrated solar power plant
http://www.aps.com/main/green/Solana/Technology.html looks very good, at a glance, for areas without many cloudy days. Storing energy by heating liquid salt, to use up to six hours later, is a very encouraging part of it. It’s still only a supporting system for a continuous duty plant, but that’s very valuable if the costs are reasonable.
The plant is Spain, http://www.solarpaces.org/Tasks/Task1/PS10.HTM looks different but is still concentrated solar and also very impressive.
Comment by Steve S. March 17, 2008 @ 7:09 pmHi Martin,
When are you expecting your roadster to arrive? Are you going to post a blog? (e.g. “Driving P2″?)
Martin sez:
I do not yet have a promised delivery date, but I will most certainly write about my car when it arrives. I might even offer rides/drives to some of you
Comment by Nathan White March 18, 2008 @ 1:33 pmFantastic! I had a drive of a Cvette Stingray on the weekend, so I’m all up with driving on the wrong side now mate – now all I have to do is convince wifey it’s worth the trip over from NZ…
Comment by Nathan White March 18, 2008 @ 5:03 pmMartin sez:
“I do not yet have a promised delivery date, but I will most certainly write about my car when it arrives. I might even offer rides/drives to some of you”
Great! And, by odd coincidence, I’ll just happen to be in your neck of the woods right about that time!
Uh… whenever that is.
And, uh, where do you live?
Comment by Mark Tomlinson March 18, 2008 @ 7:49 pmSteve- I don’t know the book you mention, but I’ve heard of Jencks somewhere-so maybe I saw book in the bookstore once. Frank and Spyderman- I agree with Spyder-” Spitzer Scmitzer” shouldn’t have been such a goody-two shoes prosecutor, but with the subject being legal, he wouldn’t have had anything to prosecute. As for “why Sptizer item / & being ‘off topic’ “-everything in this country is related, all the way down the line. If this country were sensible in all respects we’d have a lot more cash (and attention) to throw at other, important issues- for example, to throw at the global warming problem. I like to look at “the larger picture”-as large as possible, because in the end (talking of “synergy”) it is all related, to one degree or another. Steve-Starck looks like (but maybe not-I must look into him further) he looks at things as the bay area architect Joseph Esherick (and his mentor William Wurster) did-and I dig what these guys did too, as well as similar bay area types like MLTW (Moore, Turnbull, Lyndon, Whitaker)-check out a google image search on Sea Ranch Condominiums. These guys used a lot of wood (or, except MLTW, bare conc.)- Greene & Greene were famous for wood, wood and more wood, inside and out-with curved, molded ends -and like put together with pegs. Esherick also did the Monterey Bay Aquarium. Esherick & Wurster said: “find out what the needs of the users and client are (and the particulars of the site), involve them “in the process” at every step and do sensible buildings that “solve the problem” as opposed to works of art or monuments. This, however, “doesn’t leave much room for high drama”- “and/or man does not live by bread alone”. All buildings are is geometry (or sculpture-even a dumb box is)- guys like Gehry play up that part “for the thrill of the chase”. Esherick had fun by making it all “very sensible and understated”-but actually he threw in some drama too, just “non-monumental” type. If I were doing a Tesla commercial I’d play up the high design and action of the car, like with dramtic Ansel Adams type photography (except in color-or maybe black & white & color, where it morphs from Adams-like B & W photo into technicolor. Outdoor shots on the road, in nature (per the green nature of the car)-with maybe some lightning storm action too-per the Tesla elect. nature. Like: a green tesla in a pure, deep green forest, then the Thunder Gray Tesla along the coast-gray stormy day & all that: color, nature & action: the car’s colorful, natural (green tech.) and made for action. Maybe morph into some Andy Warhol type distorted, shimmering color as the car moves. Could also have urban shots: N.Y.C. snowstorm with white car. Could use Helio Castroneves-the Brazilian Dancing with the Stars race car driver-seeing as how both he and the car are cheerful, agile, colorful, bon vivante-whatever. Yes, I can see it now (JB): Adams meets Warhol meets Gore meets Thoreau meets Formula 1 meets carnival time in Rio. Now I must meet Starck, per google search.
Comment by T.J. March 18, 2008 @ 11:07 pmSteve-checked out Starck’s website- some of his designs “look French” like the funky little scooter in vehicles section . I saw the other scooter design somewhere before (the “Aprilia” one) thought it was pretty nice. His designs aren’t in “one mode” as much as architect Michael Graves-check out his website- who also did stuff for Target Stores too, and Gehry, who has done some product designs (in his typ. sculptural, curvy mode)-like furniture (famously), outdoor benches and door knobs (also a car, with GM). I must go back and look at more Starck tomorrow.
Comment by T.J. March 18, 2008 @ 11:38 pmSteve-further Tesla car commercial ideas: use the song “Up Around the Bend” by John Fogerty (ex-of El Cerrito High School, like Martin)-checkout the lyrics online: quite appropriate for views of Teslas zipping around corners with Helio at the wheel: British Racing Green Tesla would zip past a classic Jaguar XK-120 of same color on green english countryside road, silver Tesla would zip past a German Racing Silver ’30’s style Auto Union race car on German Nurenburg banked track, a whilte Tesla would be on a winding Swedish mountain road, after a big fresh snowfall, passing a white Volvo P-1800. – & etc. : the new tradition in sportscar style & tech. taking the torch from the old. At the end, Helio Castroneves ( Brazilnut F1 & Indy Champ- a guy with a racy, upbeat personality & image, to match the Tesla ) dances on the hood (soft shoe of course)- maybe with a spliced- in Ginger Rogers- while Fogerty stands by the rear deck finishing the song. No doubt Fogerty would have done a Tesla spot-he’s a big environmentalist- but with Martin no longer being there he’d say “forget it !” (he could identify with that situation per his fights with Fantasy Records owner chimp & his bandmates who turned on him). Re. Phillpe Starck, those brand name design guys got it made in the shade. He’s doing the design for Branson’s Virgin Galatic Spaceport building in N.M.-along with Foster & Assoc. of England. He’s got it easy- Foster has to contend with: building codes, building & zoning depts., consulting engineers, handicapped accessibility codes, and a whole lot of working drawings & details, planscheck review comments . Industrial design avoids such “inconvenient / tedious / unfun complications ” . I just heard where Tata Motors of India is getting together the cash to buy Land Rover & Jaguar from Ford. Ford blew that opportunity-you would think, given the SUV market, they could have turned Land Rover into a lower-cost hit. But here’s an example where American car companies blow it. When that Jaguar sedan with the vertical oval grille first came out and my brother saw it at the L.A. auto show, he liked the looks-different for a sedan. But when he sat in the car, the interior was the usual Detroit-style unispiring, too cramped for the size of the car, with a bulky center console. I agreed- the promise of the exterior didn’t match the interior. This is the same problem that the Pontiac Solstice has- on the outside it’s a zippy, very lightweight kind of retro-English feeling car. The car needs a wide-open, lightweight, lithe interior to match (Tesla-like) -instead it blows it like the Jaguar. Almost any car fan would have seen this right away and said “send it back to the interior design shop, the car is half-baked: if it goes out this way you’ll just give plenty of people a reason not to buy the car”. The ’50’s style Land Rover had the cache potential of the new retro Toyota FJ-which looks to be selling very well. Detroit follows thru on things in fits and starts. We could all make a ton of cash as design consultants telling them (not all the time, but often enough) the obvious of where they’re going wrong- But Noooo….
Comment by T.J. March 19, 2008 @ 5:42 pmI just got out my CCR LP and played “Up Around the Bend”- yep, that’s the Tesla T.V. spot song alright (my favorite CCR song along with “Fortunate Son” ) – it’s got a heck of an opening guitar riff bit-can’t ignore that commercial when it comes on. Near the end of the song it says “and we’ll meet by the big red tree”- that would be at the foot of a redwood in a classic redwood forest shot, of course-to end the commercial. While the last song cord fades out and Helio jumps off the hood to high-five Fogerty , the announcer comes on with the few basic required facts- something like, maybe: ” The Tesla Roadster:- 0-60 in 4 seconds , no gas required, as green as your front yard- it’ll take you around the bend”.
Comment by T.J. March 19, 2008 @ 6:22 pmLatest issue of National Geographic Mag. has a photo off a low CD car by Mercedes Benz in a wind tunnel-based on low drag design of fish called a Boxfish- nice, funky looking little car, about size of the Mini-looks alot like the fish. Martin could start a design firm specializing in green design of all types (with offices on all continents-yes, Anarctica too) : industrial, product, building/interiors-mainly because (not) his initials are apropos: “see what Me can do for you” “products for you by Me” “why Me ?-why not?” “want to go green? ask Me”. Of course pure design firms are in a rarified atmosphere-very few hitting the big time. Picture online of Phillipe Starck’s Virgin Galactic Building design lacks one thing: where’s the solar (or wind) green power ? – don’t see it, unless its “horsehoe crab” shaped roof is actually covered with something like Nanosolar-could be.
Comment by T.J. March 20, 2008 @ 6:09 pmFoster’s Spaceport America bldg. is on their website (Foster + Partners)-does have a token amount of rooftop solar (not nearly enough), and “groundsource cooling”. Appropriate landformt shaped building but ” ME + Partners” (the M being in sea bluegreen, the E being in rainforest green) could improve on that design: where’s the rootop vertical element-viewtower, semi-soaring as it were- so friends & relatives can watch takeoffs & landings, and get a great view of the nice New Mex. desert, and the landform building below-which should have some fields of native wildflowers wending around it.
Comment by T.J. March 20, 2008 @ 6:33 pmFurther reading on Foster + Partners Spaceport Bldg. shows no trace of Phillipe Starck-must be doing interiors only. Project description sez they wanted to max out the landform nature of the building-but they’re already tearing up the desert with a lot of runway, tarmac, parking area (and other support stuff?) – so I would say that a vertical view tower element, “landformy” like the low building, wouldn’t be non-apropos-it might even be cranelike-rising up with the occupants (floor tilting to remain level as it rises) only when takeoffs / flights / landings were in progress. Foster is o.k., but rather blah in his buildings- Frankie Gehry goes for more fun and looseness-per one of ” his latest”- via google image serach on: “Frank Gehry Hall Winery”. He put a bending wood plank lattice-like trellis over a big sprawling building ( so much of it that it looks like burlap in the model). He better seal that wood real good, even though in moderate Napa Valley climate. Don’t know if I would have totally max-ed out with the wood, seeing as how it’s chewing up a lot of trees-but it sure will be festive walking around under all of that. Foster’s building lacks the Gehry-like playfulness/festivity, so ultimately it’s nice-but on the typical Foster-like semi-blah side.
Comment by T.J. March 20, 2008 @ 8:12 pmSpaceport rising view tower: counterweighted at end with tons of conc. or rammed adobe earth (like ski area trams) so it can pivot up very easily. Tower viewers walk down hollow tube of tower arm while it’s still horizontal, floor of tower top tilts as it rises to 45 degree (or 60 degree) angle about 100′ above building. Tower top also has a big outdoor deck area-so have choice of staying in climate -controlled area or outside on panoramic deck. So as the space farers take off on their ride, their friends/ neighbors / relatives, and whoever else wants to watch, get a ride /experience of their own-and a great view, albeit an earthbound one.
Comment by T.J. March 20, 2008 @ 8:42 pmWhile Tesla has yet to show any design for the Whitestar, Th!nk cars has design for 5 seat car called “Ox” on its website. Website has job openings for various spots-descriptions in Norweign. Maybe since they’ve teamed up with GE they are headed towards being the Tesla / pure EV version GM Volt of Europe.
Comment by T.J. March 20, 2008 @ 11:07 pmBro —
I guess I can’t escape commenting on some of the silly political comments on here.
First thing to consider — corporations are NOT people. They don’t eat food, go to school, or otherwise do “human” things.
They are “collectives” — that is, share holders own corporations. Corporations employ people.
So who are these shareholders (of major corporations)? Surprisingly approximately 65% are union pension funds, 24% are other pension funds, and the balance are “investors.”
When Exxon gets an “outrageous” tax break that manifests itself as “profit” The profit is paid to the shareholders. So retired blue collar workers in fact get the cash, other pensioners, and some investors.
Simply imagine the extreme — if corporations were not allowed to make ANY profit, what would that do to the world? Answer, every single person living on a pension would enter poverty. Their income would be eliminated almost entirely. Their assets (stocks) would become worthless. I have seen my father in laws pension — it is almost entirely blue chips stocks. Look at the makeup of most major pension plans and you will see I am correct.
Secondly, a corporation is there to make a profit. Martin certainly had good motives for founding Tesla — but rest assured, he expected to make a profit. At the end of the day, if taxes are higher than they are in other parts of the world (we are in a global economy) then corporations simply move their plants over seas.
And who does that affect? Once again, blue collar workers. Steel workers. Auto workers. Those that need the jobs the most. Instead they get more government “programs” to make up for their lost jobs … after the government takes their 40% cut for overhead.
The truth of the matter is that substantially larger taxes on corporations (remember a corporation is not a person) would have the most adverse affect on lower and middle class people who would lose pensions and jobs.
The rich, of course, would just invest overseas and do just fine until the taxes made the USA competative again. Somehow, the rich always find a way to survive (the Kennedy family as 1/2 billion dollars in overseas trust funds to avoid US inheritance taxes which Teddy supports raising).
This should not be a simplistic discussion of Republicans versus Democrats. People need to look at the issue in light of a global economy, with understanding of who owns corporations, of who benefits from corporate profit, and a slough of other things … to try and find an answer that is better than “it is all the (insert party you like to hate here) fault” or whatever. As long as either party can keep us pointing fingers at each other with simplistic arguments, they keep power. And for politicos that is what it is all about, maintaining power for themselves and whomever their particular constituents are.
If the public instead demanded multi-level, multi-variate, deep intellegent analysis that sought to gain solutions rather than point fingers, then I expect something good would result. Don’t hold your breath so long as people (including people here that seem otherwise intellegent) continue to tolerate the sound-bite finger-pointing politics we have now.
Spyderman
Comment by Spyderman March 21, 2008 @ 11:56 amSpyderman- the first sentence of your last paragraph is on the money. But in the U.S. certain ” corp. / lobbying interests” continually seek to promote the opposite-and in fact promote the Chimpification of America. Here’s the latest example from tonight’s PBS Show “Now”. There is a chemical in soft plastics-used a lot in children’s toys and a lot of other things, like food wraps, perfumes, cosmetics-called Phthalates. EPA -funded research has shown it to cause hormonal problems. The European Union, following in part our own EPA research, has banned Phthalates for some years now-along with hundreds of other chemicals in the past 17 years. In those 17 years the U.S. has banned no new chemicals. The European Union follows what they call “the precautionary principle”-if something is having an effect on “the human system” they will not wait 30 years down the line in terms of people’s health to find out exactly what this means. This is a very good idea in light of the vast number of chemicals we are all exposed to-and the unknown possible interactions between all of them re. humans and animals. A guy named Robt. Shapiro has written a book called “Exposed” re. the chemical industry & this. San Francisco banned Phthalates and was immediately sued by The American Chemical Council and the Toy Industry Assoc. (kind of reminds us of the case of Detroit suing over the Calif. higher milage standards-yet another case of “the Chimpification of America” ). So then the State of Calif. banned Phthalates in toys too-as in: “touche, you turkeys !” . The chemical and toy industries claim that the costs of getting rid of Phthalates would “be too much”. However the toy industry in Europe found alternative chemicals, slightly more expensive perhaps, and is thriving-in fact in China all the plastic toy makers have two assembly lines, one-for Europe and other countries, like Japan- making soft plastic toys with chemicals shown (so far at least) to have no ill effects and another assembly line making Phthalate-laced toys for the U.S. – with up to 730 times the Phthalate percentage that the Europeans have determined to cause ill effects on the hormonal system. American chemical and toy industry lobbyists actually went to Europe and tried to get the European Union regulators to “go American” and get Chimpified-the Europeans told them to take a hike- and a long one, into the depths of the Black Forest. Shapiro said that since the European market is huge, they are now driving the environmental movement on this and other things (Germany’s great solar program is another example). Shapiro sez that as a result of being progressive, “real” and “non-Chimpifed” Europe is benefiting by driving innovation on progressive, 21st century alternatives to ” faulty business as usual, America Style”-and this is leading to economic benefits. Almost 10 years ago I found online the fact that Denmark had banned transfats in all foods. This is when I cut it out from my diet -cold. Even though the Danish eat a lot of cheese they have a very low rate of heart disease / clogged arteries. In other words, about 50 years ago by now the Danish saw some research, that you can bet your halibut the U.S. food industry knew of, and they “did the right thing”. Now, after all these years, “zero transfat” is now THE big U.S. rage-and yet Corp. America knew “it was a probelm” decades ago and yet foisted it on Chimpified America- for as long as they could possibly get away with it. Just as the tobacco industry has in the last few years, even, upped the nicotene content of cigarettes by up to 15%- yet doctors say nictone is similar in addictive properties to heroin. In fact, decades ago a tobacco co. (Brown and something-forget the other name) bred tobacco in South America specifically for higher nictone content, then they exported this strain to the U.S. to be grown here-on the sly basically. Big segments of Corp.. America has a “very nasty habit”-and that includes the banking system and the military-industrial complex and the media – of conning the halibut out of every one in this country that they can for as long as they can in the service of their own Chimpfiied interests and outlooks. One in 25 residents of New Orleans are now homeless- the U.S. Army Corp. of Engineers knew the levees weren’t good for a category 4 or 5 hurricane-and they had definite plans to fix them-but all the money they had put in for went to the Chimp-driven phony lie of a war in Iraq. The term “neo-con” sure as cabbage fits per the second part of it-the first part too, for that matter: “the con goes on”. As for comment on the Kennedy trust funds-if they’ve got that much cash, good for them-seeing as how they are the best political family in U.S. history. Joe Kennedy II dropped out of congress (U.S. House or Reps.) to run a non-profit company providing heating oil to poor New England residents. RFK Jr. runs an environ. group called “Waterkeeper Alliance” and is a lawyer for NRDC environ. group. He and another author did a detailed study of voter fraud in Ohio (published in” Rolling Stone Mag.”) that showed that Kerry would have been pres. if not for that. Caroline Kennedy sure seems to be following the Google guy’s credo of “do no harm”. Teddy voted against the war in Iraq (one of the very few) and accurately predicted exactly what has happened since. 4000 U.S troops have been killed and 29,000 injured, some maimed for life, for the sake of point-blank lying criminals headed by Bush and Cheney. Would you want to risk getting killed or maimed as cannon fodder for the sake of the con foisted on us by those two (Vietnam era-draft dodging, no less) chimps? -Methinks, definitively , not. No U.S troops were in Vietnam under JFK-only military & govt. / CIA advisors. He told Sen. Smathers of Florida and his aide John Powers that he was getting the halibut out of Vietnam in ‘64 upon re-election. CIA head Allen Dulles, Dean Rusk and others were trying to con him into “going along with the con”-so he fired the criminal rat Dulles. JFK was the first casulty of the Vietnam war. RFK as on his way, no doubt about it, to being elected in ‘68- but “they” couldn’t have that, could they ? If he had lived he sure as halibut would have gotten out of the con called Vietnam by ‘69, as opposed to Nixon’s ‘74 date. This would have saved thousands of the 58,000 U.S. lives lost. Each one of those lives worth a lot more than LBJ’s chimp-driven life. If JFK and RFK were part of the “cabal con” they’d both still be around (along with MLK)-so the bottom line, which may be news to Chimpified America-which continually fails to “understand the concept”, no thanks to the controlled mass media. is: they were “one of us”. The Kennedys as a family definitely follow the Brin & Page credo of “do no harm” and add the credo: “do a lot of good and take no halibut” to it. However, the families (political, banking and otherwise) comprising the cabal “on the other side” (which also have so much more power and money and assets than the Kennedys that the Kennedys look like “alum. can- collecting- in- a- shopping -cart bums by comparison”) are so ,so far in the other direction that it isn’t even funny. If the rest of Chimpified America wants to be conned and manipulated by “these guys and corp. America”, be my guest, go ahead and don’t take the time to wise up to the facts – however, humans are supposed to be smarter than chimps, so, based on that theory, it might make sense to Get With It for a welcome change.
Comment by T.J. March 21, 2008 @ 9:27 pmT.J., you wrote a lot of good stuff about architecture. I won’t say much on this site, except to point out that the Greenes were famous for their superb stonework, stained glass, and weathered brass. One famous residence, on the ocean just south of Camel, was done almost entirely in stone. It’s partially visible from a turnout on highway 1.
They mostly stayed away from plaster, paint, and of course stucco and drywall, so you see a lot of wood. They designed most of the furniture and lighting, and the woodwork and stained glass are the best I’ve ever seen. They believed in exposing and featuring the structural components, not hiding them. Incidentally, the sophisticated joinery was designed to accommodate the earthquakes common in southern CA, and it worked perfectly. Here’s a link to one of the tours of the Gamble house: http://www.gamblehouse.org/tours/details.html
Your comment about carmakers often needing design consultants to point out where they’re going wrong, resonates with me. I’ve thought the same thing many times, and I’d even do it for free. A good start in lieu of that would be for them to put up photos on the wall of used cars that sell for far more than their original cost, and some of used cars from their company that sell for less than their scrap value. A beautiful car body doesn’t use any more material than an ugly one; almost always less.
Speaking of beautiful / ugly, a mid engine sports car is one of the most difficult design challenges. For my taste, the Elise is exceptionally ugly and the Tesla is one of the very best, especially in profile. My personal favorite is the Ferrari 250 LM / 275 LM, but it’s more appropriate to another era with its wire wheels and voluptuous lines.
Since you’re an automotive design and history buff, you might like this link to a history of one of the coachbuilding greats: http://www.coachbuilt.com/des/d/dietrich/dietrich.htm . I once did a brief investigation into the various custom bodies built for expensive cars. In the era before WW2, it was common to provide a complete chassis and let the customer select his favorite coachbuilder. To my eye Ray Dietrich’s designs were far more handsome than the others.
A lot of designers and other artists can talk a good talk, but only a few have that special genius, or superb eye or ear, or whatever you want to call it. It seems invariable that they’re also the ones who devote themselves most completely. My take on it is that it isn’t the hard work and devotion that got them there, but the other way around. They knew that they were close to that magical state of being capable of expressing anything they felt through their work, and achieving timeless beauty. It was worth any amount of effort to get there. Most people don’t have that option, so their careers and lives are more well rounded.
A few examples might be Van Gogh, Beethoven, Gershwin, Coltrane, Feynman, Stevie Ray Vaughan. Your list may differ.
The Th!nk Ox concept looks good to me. It’s apparently in a much more modest performance and price category than the Whitestar idea. Personally, I would increase the front and rear overhangs a little for safety and aerodynamics. Big factors in efficiency are light weight and aerodynamics, not small size.
What do you think about the company retaining ownership of the batteries? It seems a little creepy to me at first impression. I wouldn’t want to marry the company to be able to drive one of its cars. Maybe they’ll offer an outright purchase option.
ss
Comment by Steve S. March 21, 2008 @ 9:50 pmSome further info. on Kennedys and M.L.King. Almost exactly a year before King was killed he gave a speech on the Vietnam war that was so right on the money, for the time, it was incredible. Do a google search on “Martin Luther King and Vietnam war speech”-the first listing that comes up. JFK was almost killed in WWII, so “he knew something about wars” . He smelled a rat after the botched Bay of Pigs invasion ( pre-planned under Nixon & Eisenhower actually and foisted on JFK). Don’t know the particulars of what info. he found leading to the rat smell- but it looks like he then smelled the rat that was the Vietnam con-and was following the scent to its source. Of course he did have a trusted advisor, for one at least, in RFK, who was Atty. General. Since ” I was here at the time period in question” (as in: I saw JFK give a campaign speech in 1960 in New York when I was 10, and I was almost drafted in the last year of the Viet. war when my college deferment ended) I remember things like when rich kid RFK went to Mississppi for the first time, at the suggestion of MLK and others, to see the poverty first hand. He was shocked-he said : “we’ve got to do something about this”-and he allied himself closer with MLK and the concept of taking the stupid Viet. war expenditures and attacking “social problems” with it. The powers that be were looking at definitely 16 years of Kennedys in office (JFK, RFK-2 terms each), and quite possibly then 8 years of Teddy too. None of these guys could they control or con, at least in the long run. Add MLK to the team there was another guy who couldn’t be conned. The Kennedys -not including their father-were rich kids who didn’t use their money in military/industrial dealings (unlike the B
Comment by T.J. March 21, 2008 @ 10:01 pmSome further info. on Kennedys and M.L.King. Almost exactly a year before King was killed he gave a speech on the Vietnam war that was so right on the money, for the time, it was incredible. Do a google search on “Martin Luther King and Vietnam war speech”-the first listing that comes up. JFK was almost killed in WWII, so “he knew something about wars”-and so naturally, being “one of us” as well, followed the Muhammed Ali concept of “I don’t got no quarrel with no Vietcong”. JFK smelled a rat after the botched Bay of Pigs invasion ( pre-planned under Nixon & Eisenhower actually and foisted on JFK). Don’t know the particulars of what info. he found leading to the rat smell- but it looks like he then smelled the rat that was the Vietnam con-and was following the scent to its source. Of course he did have a trusted advisor, for one at least, in RFK, who was Atty. General. Since ” I was there at the time period in question” (as in: I saw JFK give a campaign speech in 1960 in New York when I was 10, and I was almost drafted in the last year of the Viet. war when my college deferment ended) I remember things like when rich kid RFK went to Mississppi for the first time, at the suggestion of MLK and others, to see the poverty first hand. He was shocked-he said, verbatum : “we’ve got to do something about this”-and he allied himself closer with MLK and the concept of taking the stupid Viet. war expenditures and attacking “social problems” with it. The powers that be were looking at definitely 16 years of Kennedys in office (JFK, RFK-2 terms each), and quite possibly then 8 years of Teddy too. None of these guys could they control or con, at least in the long run. Add MLK to the team and there was another guy who couldn’t be conned. The Kennedys were rich kids who didn’t use their money in military/industrial dealings (unlike the Bush family, back to the grandfather).Their father was a Wall St. banker, but I never heard of him being tied in with that “complex” either. They could have “gone along with the program” like all the other nice little chimps, named Bush and otherwise- or they could have been playboys for the rest of their lives. The bottom line, regardless of any other side issue, is that in the end they were going to try to do the right thing. So what do they get for this, after all these years- they get Chimpified America that still doesn’t know much of a halibutin’ thing. However America may “sense something”: a few years ago I saw a survey result where people were asked to name the best presidents-JFK came in 4th-that, friends and neighbors, is incredible in light of dumbed-down avg. America. Guess somehow, by osmosis, avg. America senses at least something of the light of the real deal going on-as much as the cabal and their mass media tries to keep the lampside down tight: as in “let there not be light”. Per Lincoln: “you can fool some of the people all of the time, all of the people some of the time, but you can’t fool all of the people all of the time”. For the cabal, they like that “two out of three”-and work endlessly to keep the last bit from rising to the forefront.
Comment by T.J. March 21, 2008 @ 10:23 pmAs a final aside (this won’t take long); do a Cached google search on: “Sargent Shriver and JFK phone call to Martin Luther king in jail”-which happened when he was running for president, at which point needless controversy is not exactly “desired”. Click on the first article (”Sleeping Beauties”, etc.)-scroll down till you find Sargent Shriver highlighted-and read on (Garth).
Comment by T.J. March 21, 2008 @ 10:45 pmAs a final, final aside (not taking long either)- JFK had assembled a geat team, from Stewart Udall & Roger Revelle in Interior dept. , to Sargent Shriver as advisor and Peace Corps head-and most notably, RFK as Attorney General. He came from a large, close-knit family that collectively might be fooled some of the time, but not indefinitely. So with a trusted brother, with his own trusted staff in the Justice Dept., you had even more of the ability to put two and two together. So: get this (friends and neighbors): do a wikipedia search on “United States Cabinet”, scroll down to the heading “The Cabinet in Federal Law”-and read on about the law “U.S.C.-3110″ passed in 1967 barring a president from having a relative in his cabinet- this law was passed, as the wikipedia article states, specifically because of the “inconvenient for the cabal- powers- that- be” situation of JFK & RFK on the same “unconnable, unmanipulatable” page / team. The Constitution didn’t bar relatives, after all congress does have to approve the proposed presidential appointments. But as soon as “the powers that be” saw a possible challenege to their grip on things, bingo-they get this absurd (to everyone but them at least) law foisted (”and for what” ask yourselves that ! ) on us citizens of the premiere country of “freedom and democracy”-it’s Easter, as in ” yeah, right-that makes us Easter Bunnies” time.
Martin sez:
My have we wandered far afield…
Comment by T.J. March 21, 2008 @ 11:33 pmT.J. – You really should stay on your medication schedule and possibly take this diatribe to another blog where it might be more appreciated. An interesting discussion of solar panel installations and the pros and cons of the technology is where this discussion started and what you’re interrupting. Stop being the weird uncle that no one wants to invite to dinner because he scares the children.
Martin sez:
Be nice. Remember what’s-his-name, the commenter who wouldn’t be nice even after I pointed out that I get to moderate?
Comment by Roger Richardson March 22, 2008 @ 7:25 amRoger-well why don’t you post something interesting then?-on solar panels or otherwise- global warming, you name it. This blog could have plenty of posts a day, you know ( with mine just fading into the background, to be skipped over by anyone who wants to)-you have something interesting to say ?. Spyderman happened to make an “off topic” (”technically”) post about which I had some commentary- which is the Only (capital “O” reason) I went into that area which you don’t want to deal with or contemplate . Over on the Tesla site I note a lot of “nice job” commentary re. the full production of the Tesla now. I personally would like some comments on something else interesting as well-like what Th!nk cars is or may be up to- but I don’t mind. If Martin minds about posts on various topics, which happen to be reality based, he could say so- or he could do what the Tesla website did to people now and then-delete posts they didn’t like. You could post on something and suggest a new Martin blog post topic- or something he could get into or look into next.
Comment by T.J. March 22, 2008 @ 4:28 pmSteve -I agree with your comment re. Lotus Elise vs. Tesla- Elise has too many black plastic fins, “vents” all over, Batmobile- like. Colin Chapman would not have approved. Tesla looks really solid. But the Elise would be good if they cleaned up the design to emphasize the lightness, raciness of it. I always liked the old Lotus Europa of the late ’60’s early ’70’s. Very low and slab-like but something about it I liked. If I had Leno’s kind of garage and job I’d have one. I looked for more on Dietrich via google image search, don’t see much on his designs-except a nice Packard. I think Gordon Buehrig was great-designer for Duesenburg, Auburn/ Cord-he did the great boat-tail Auburn Speedster. E.L. Cord was like Lutz of GM-he saw the value of neat design in selling cars. Re. mid-engine designs-in the early ’60’s Ford had a really clean proposed mid-engine design, to be in and around the “normal” price range-think it was Ford II, or Mark II Mustang-or something- had a fin type roll bar-must look it up. Re. artists-yeah, Van Gogh, and Stevie Ray-he’s the one bluesey kind of guy I like. I’m more of “a sucker for melody” as Billy Joel said once. Also: Andy Warhol too-except I think he was on the trail of something but never took it far enough, to the next place-but don’t ask me what that would have looked like. Also, at the risk of being repetitive re. your comment on devotion re. artists-dare I say Gehry ? He said in an interview once ” Where other architects leave off I’m just getting started ” . For years before the general public ever heard of him I used to flag the pages of buildings he did in the architecture mags. He said “I’m obsessed with architecture”- but he also likes hockey, and managed to get married twice. You want to see a neat, and different (boy howdy !) pretty early Frankie building ?- Do a google image search on ” Fishdance restaurant, Japan-Frank Gehry” . The bronze colored building shape next to the fish is a stylized coiled snake.
Comment by T.J. March 22, 2008 @ 6:26 pmSteve- finally after many attempts with different wording, I found the rare & elusive semi-funky, but very clean, Ford mid-engine car that Edsel Ford wanted to put into production, and I think almost did, except it would have cost too much: do google image search on : ” Ford ’60’s Mustang Mark II show car “- it’s the second photo from left on top row.
Comment by T.J. March 22, 2008 @ 6:39 pmTJ, you are ruining this blog. How about limiting the posts to once a day, and 100 words or less. I may speak for everyone here, you have stayed here WAY too long. Go to fox news or Bill Oriely’s blog. They love randon thoughts out of control.
Martin sez:
Yeah. it makes me realize that I am late in posting my next blog entry
Marc and I gave a talk in Maui last week, and I want to post my PowerPoint slides – does anyone have a good idea about how to do this in an easy way that works with WordPress?
Comment by Ben Gee March 23, 2008 @ 6:55 pmI don’t know about T.J. ruining blog-no one else is posting much.Like what have you posted Gee ? Also, he seems the opposite of Bill O’Reilley.
Comment by Ryan Loring March 23, 2008 @ 8:30 pmT.J., you’re absolutely right about Buehrig, who did a lot of Duesenberg work and the wonderful Auburn boat-tailed Speedster. We seem to have similar tastes in cars. Regarding music, I’m more of a harmony guy than melody. Feynman was neither; he concentrated on rhythm. It takes all kinds.
I found a video of a long interview with Gehry. He’s a very intelligent, articulate, friendly, witty, down-to-earth guy. He complained that clients often try to insist on having part of their buildings shaped like a fish, after he did several fish buildings. He seems to be quite successful and to be offered very impressive projects. Personally, I cringe at the thought of a building designed to look like an animal. I’m more of a serene, classical beauty guy and you seem to like unusual concepts and thumbing noses at convention. Again, it takes all kinds. But I’ve learned quite a bit about architecture from your posts and by following up on your suggestions.
It’s too bad you don’t have a high speed connection, because a lot of interesting documentaries, symposia, lectures and interviews, etc. are freely presented on video on the web, whereas despite Google’s efforts the same can’t be said for books.
As you suggested, I just skip by your political rants, but a friend brought something you posted recently to my attention:
——————————————————————————————————————————–
“Here’s the book to read for anyone interested in where “organized” communism, as in the U.S.S.R., really came from: “Wall Street and the Bolshevik Revolution” by Anthony Sutton ,formerly of the Stanford Hoover Institute think tank- and so “a guy in a position to know”.”
And, “As a prelude, Czar Nicholas had to go-especially since he had allowed absolutely no bankers to operate in Russia.”
My friend, who has a PhD in Russian history, made this comment:
“It just isn’t true that Tsar Nicholas didn’t allow any bankers to operate in Russia. The Rothschilds, among others, had banking operations in Russia, and in fact provided a considerable amount of financial support for such projects as the Trans-Siberian RR. Nicholas and his ilk didn’t like bankers, of course, but like other Russian rulers he couldn’t do without them. I’ve read plenty of complaints about the influence the Rothschilds exerted in Russia while doing research on the Yalu Concessions business of the early 1900s (which led to the war against Japan) from the people who were trying to establish Russian dominance in Manchuria in that period. The complaints were mostly to the effect that Sergei Witte, the Russian finance minister, was in bed with the Rothschilds and other bankers. Also, I don’t know who Anthony Sutton is, but being a former affiliate of the Stanford Hoover Institution (not Institute) think tank, which is by the way a very right-wing outfit, would not necessarily make him “a guy in a position to know”. There are plenty of nut-cases associated with the Hoover Institution, like Thomas Sowell. (Here’s a link: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hoover_Institution.)”
Personally, I follow the advice suggested by a paraphrase from the great Fran Lebowitz: “You might do well to consider the option of being the strong, silent type, as regards politics.” But, everybody’s gotta do what they gotta do.
Comment by Steve S. March 23, 2008 @ 9:38 pmAnother check and balance to public and private utilities is personal and enterprise installations. Nevada is considering blocking individuals and organizations from installing their own sources of renewable energy:
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/story?id=51908
I told you that government is joined at the hip with energy companies, so you can curse at big oil all you want, but the government is two-faced in their treatment of them – gladly extracting tax revenue from consumers through oil companies, while wagging a finger at their practices.
Comment by Jason M. Hendler March 24, 2008 @ 6:46 amRyan Loring wrote:
# I don’t know about T.J. ruining blog-no one else is posting much.
Well I backed off because the “signal to noise” ratio was getting too far out of whack.
Comment by TEG March 24, 2008 @ 7:13 amSteve-in deference to some other bloggers (who I note haven’t posted anything on “Solar Synergy”-or any previous blog, that I remember) and so as not to “hog the blog”, since I do get carried away- I’ll keep this short: Re. Thomas Sowell , man-I agree 100%. But reading Sutton, he’s decidedly no Sowell. Re. Gehry: last year there was also a movie on him, forget the title ( 1 1/2 hrs.). When I saw it there were like 5 people in the theater-ha ! Re: his design, I don’t go for thumbing at convention, I just like freewheelin’ geometry-why not ? , it’s more fun to me-this comes to 107 words so far: sorry ! (as Bluto would say) but where are some other people’s posts for yin yang balance ?-oh, and where’s Martin’s new blog post as well ?
Comment by T.J. March 24, 2008 @ 8:40 pmT.J., The movie is Sketches of Frank Gehry, and it’s directed by the great Sidney Pollack, who is a long-time friend of Gehry. I’ve seen a trailer and clips from Charley Rose interviews and elsewhere, and it’s more than interesting enough for me to buy the DVD when I find it for sale. I’m still not a big fan of his playful sculpture approach (although he denies that description) to architecture, but I’m sure I’d enjoy the experience of seeing some of it in person, maybe the next time I’m in L.A.
By the way, I learned that Gehry is an avid practitioner of sailing, which scores a lot of points with me. I was never exposed to sailing a kid, but as a young adult I was invited by a friend and his wife for a sail on a little open sailboat. His dad had gotten drunk and bought it as a gift for his mom, who had no interest in it. My friends knew almost nothing about sailing, and were a danger to everything afloat, so I took it on myself to learn the theory and practice. I’ve spent years with planing dinghies, high speed catamarans and cruising keelboats. It’s a wonderful way to get tuned into nature, and it’s not even all that expensive if you don’t care about racing: the energy source is free.
Sailing ties strongly into electric cars, for me. In a cruising sailboat it’s wise and responsible to use the diesel engine to motor out of a harbor, because of all the unpredictable traffic. One of the very best moments in sailing is after you run up the sails, fill them and turn off the motor. The annoying racket is replaced by quiet, and you feel yourself propelled by a strong, silent force. It’s an almost spiritual experience. I get close to the same feeling in an electric car or Prius. Chris Paine, I think it was, talked about how people who drive hybrids almost always try to avoid having the gas engine start up, and it’s not for any reason of economy.
I very much appreciate the fact that you’re always a gentleman, even when responding to the offensive remarks of those who aren’t.
Comment by Steve S. March 26, 2008 @ 1:04 amTo Martin
It may have been asked and answered before but to be honest some of these postings from some bloggers are downright boring and monopolistic so I haven’t read all of them in detail.
Anyhow, Do you know when you wil be getting your Roadster Matrin and when you do will you please post some pics etc. Many of us are living our dreams/fantasies through you so it would be appreciated
Thanks in advance,
Peter J Hedge
Comment by Peter J Hedge April 3, 2008 @ 4:59 amVictoria, BC
Tesla said that his car has been made and is on the way. Maybe a couple more weeks then we get to see it!
Comment by TEG April 3, 2008 @ 3:54 pmI believe that a physical top speed for personal automobiles has to be enacted, for use on public roads:
http://www.maxattainablespeed.blogspot.com/
I view the push to solar power, and the embrace of solar power at this point, to be the equivalent to the canal-building in the United States in the 1830s. Sure, the Erie Canal was a great success, but only because of unique geography. Nonetheless, that fact was ignored, to the extent to where one canal company built a route over the Alleghenies that included a stretch where the boats slid down a dirt path! Railroads superseded canals, and ocean wave energy will overtake wind and solar.
Comment by Scott Bergquist April 28, 2008 @ 8:16 amOcean wave energy is where the world of “renewables” will end up. More power density, less land cost, 24-hr a day potential.
Your inclusion of your car in your roof-top solar analysis violates the very first principle of engineering economic analysis: all projects must justify themselves on their own merits, not “tie-ins” to other projects outside the analyzed project.
Adding a government subsidy is also a no-no. If I said, “I paid $20,000 for my system, but my brother likes solar, so he gave me $8000, so it really only cost me $12,000..” is skewing the analysis. What if the Calif government simply gave the additional subsidy directly to the manufacturer instead of you? That would encourage wider usage, but your calculations would be different.
Martin sez:
I would have installed the solar with or without the subsidy. But I disagree with your point about including the car in my consideration of our solar project. My objective was to reduce/eliminate my own carbon footprint. Rooftop solar PLUS an electric car does that for me, so long as I size the PV array appropriately. When analyzing a project, you MUST consider the inputs and outputs. Imagine trying to justify a sewer treatment facility, for example, without considering the houses that create the sewer in the first place! No sewage treatment plant would ever be justified…
Comment by Scott Bergquist April 28, 2008 @ 8:27 amMartin sez:
“solar project. My objective was to reduce/eliminate my own carbon footprint. Rooftop solar ”
I was under the impression that current solar panels never generate as much energy as they take to produce (except for the new nano solar).
Am I mistaken? I suppose it depends on how you define the lifetime. Warrentees are usually..10-25 yrs?
Assuming they have such high energy cost, you will never regain the initial carbon footprint cost. Also you are assuming that over that 25yrs your area will only have non-green electricity. This is unlikely.
The new nanosolar of course change everthing. At $1 per W (let alone $0.30) I’d go solar immediately!
An interesting suggestion on the topic of storage: I don’t know how often your car will be parked at home during the day, but when it is there is a possibility of using it for storage.
Another idea is in heat storage for water and floor – assuming you don’t have solar water heating. With cheap electric solar, solar water becomes a less obvious solution.
Chris Gunn (NZ
Martin sez:
Modern solar panel production is more efficient than that. I don’t have the exact numbers here, but the energay payback for production is much sooner than in years past. Also, the warranties have become longer. Our SunPower panels have 30-year warranties, for example.
Comment by Chris Gunn May 5, 2008 @ 3:25 amtroublesome trucks wiki…
How does the rss feed work so I can get updated on your blog?…
Trackback by troublesome trucks wiki July 18, 2008 @ 9:07 pmHi Martin,
I am really enjoying reading about your driving experiences with your newly delivered Roadster. Hopefully without diverting you from sharing more of those experiences, I have a couple of solar energy questions for you.
You have related both in this blog topic “Solar Synergy” and in “Doing our Part” about how you modified your LA area home to install solar panels and become a net energy producer. However, since you have taken delivery of your Roadster in the SF Bay Area, and clearly are ALSO charging your Roadster using solar energy (by turning your meter backwards here during the day), can you share a bit of what you have done to your house in the Bay Area?
I ask only because I am in the process of buying a new house and want to install solar panels too. Did you also buy Sun Power solar panels for your Bay Area house (I think I read that was the company you used)? Did you learn anything since your LA house conversion that you applied to your house here? (I am assuming you converted your Bay Area house AFTER your LA home).
I’ll stop for now with one last question. I know the efficiencies of the Sun Power panels are much better than the panels that NanoSolar is producing (although the cost is higher), but what is your impression of NanoSolar’s technology and claims? That company’s CEO says they are soon to deliver a solar panel option for homeowners (as opposed to their current focus on utility scale projects) which will “completely redefine how residential solar is done”. Of course I am skeptical of that claim until they roll out their “revolutionary” product, but based on your familiarity with solar panels, what do you think about their technology? I would hate to invest tens of thousands of dollars in solar panels for my home, only to find out perhaps a few months later that the techonology has leap-frogged ahead.
Thanks much!
Martin sez:
You are right – our solar panels are in Souther California, while my car right now is in Northern California. We haven’t decided where the car will ultimately live, but we chose to put our first solar array in Southern CA because our electric bills were higher there, and because there are more sunny days. If we decide to keep the car in Norther CA, we will porbably add a couple of kW of solar there too.
If NanoSolar lives up to their claims then it is VERY exciting news. As I have commented elsewhere, the efficiency that matters most is dollars per fully-installed kWh/year. NanoSolar’s claim would be a big improvement.
Comment by Steve F July 21, 2008 @ 8:38 pm[...] Tesla Founder’s Blog [...]
Pingback by solar house + electric car = faster payback | materialicious July 23, 2008 @ 12:29 pmAre you able to sell excess electricity back to the grid?
(This may have already been asked).
Martin sez:
No. Once a year they clear out our account. If we used more than we produced, they bill us for the difference. If we produced more than we used, they keep the difference. Such is our net metering in California.
Comment by barnesen July 23, 2008 @ 12:41 pmI love reading about the Tesla and solar energy. Most of the conversation appears to be about investment and pay back on investment. There are ways to have solar energy without paying for installation, maintenance, or system. You can reserve a solar array for your property online at today’s rate…no cost. Your rate for your rental for the array is a flat rate for 25 years. You bypass rate increases by the utility companies and create your own clean solar energy power station. Most people are interested in clean energy but many don’t see how they can ever have it.
Anyone can enroll on the grid now. No cost. When it is time to install, the rate is based on the date of enrollment, not install. Basically, increases are avoided for 25 years.
Learn more at http://www.instantlysolar.com
Comment by Coppertop August 10, 2008 @ 8:12 pmBig SunPower/PG&E deal announced
Comment by TEG August 14, 2008 @ 5:57 pmMartin,
This new inverter tech looks pretty disruptive. http://www.teslamotorsclub.com/technical/1510-solar1-inverter.html
Can you comment on the use of this inverter in a car (or give them a hand?)
Comment by vfx August 19, 2008 @ 3:43 pmI’m having a modest new house built in southern L.A. county for a close relative, and I certainly want to make it “solar ready” as described in Solar Synergy. Having the solar panel system installed along with the new construction is also a definite possibility.
I’d be grateful for information about “standardized mounting points” and connections, if they’ve been established. Also for recommendations of providers of solar systems, to pass along to my contractor.
As usual, I also have an off-the-wall question: how well does three phase power integrate with Tesla’s, and prospective other EV and plug-in hybrid charging systems? I’m a big fan of three phase power, but as you know it typically provides about 208 V when two legs are used as a single phase “220/230 V” source, although that’s not usually a problem. Ideal would be a charger designed to use three phase power.
Comment by Steve S. September 1, 2008 @ 7:30 amSteve S,
A first consideration would be roof angle and slope, hopefully not involving any tree shading. I don’t know how much leeway you have but orienting the roof and picking the best roof slope will help with output. (Typically aesthetics come first, but do what you can).
Some info here.
Here too
For my RangerEV there are “public” AvCon charge spots different places, ans some are 220, some 208. They can hook to a 480v 3 phase circuit and pull off 208 for charging. It makes the charging take a little longer but still works.
Some info here.
Comment by TEG September 1, 2008 @ 9:04 pmTEG, thanks for the links and information! Fortunately the second story roof will have a beautiful southern exposure, with a small pitch and no obstructing trees. The roof area won’t be all that large, so I won’t have to give any thought to waiting for the possible development of cheaper but less efficient panels.
For me, exterior home aesthetics is in the back of the bus. My contractor describes the design as “not very attractive but an easy build” which is perfect from my point of view. If my relatives want to get arty they can do it on someone else’s dime.
The inside will be nice, including a big upstairs
Comment by Steve S. September 3, 2008 @ 6:54 amdeck with an ocean view, and more importantly, garage space for four cars and some motorcycles. I may eventually kick them out and live there myself.
Steve S.,
I opted not to wait for the cheaper thin films either. It is great to see them coming, but from what I hear, manufacturers like Nanosolar are targeting large commercial installations first, so it could be a bit of a wait. Also, I was roof space limited as well, so lower efficiency doesn’t work out for me either. I heard there may be some downsides to the thin films such as unproven lifespan, and a tendency to drop more in output over time compared to traditional silicon based cells. If you have cells that lose a lot of function over time you have the added downside of needing to buy an overly large inverter at first to deal with the initial level of output when the cells are new. Maybe newer thin films address some of these concerns? I wasn’t willing to take the chance on something not yet proven in the long term.
My panels have been working great the past couple of years and have reduced my power bill to practically nothing.
Comment by TEG September 3, 2008 @ 7:43 amPerhaps the output degradation concerns I mentioned about Thin-film PV don’t apply to the newer CIGS technology… Still, I don’t think we have 30+ years of usage data to know how well they will fare over decades. We know that traditional silicon cells have been used that long and generally hold up for 30+ years.
More about Solar cells can be found on the Wikipedia page
Comment by TEG September 3, 2008 @ 7:58 amThis is really a great article. I think it is great for you to provide so much detail on what the heck the reality is with getting a solar system up on your roof, and what it provides to you. Thanks,
Comment by Adam September 15, 2008 @ 8:29 pmAdam
Hope you have some cameras on them:
Comment by vfx September 24, 2008 @ 11:44 amhttp://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/24/technology/24solar.html?_r=1&ei=5070&emc=eta1&oref=slogin
You malign the Prius wrongly. I paid ~$30,000 cash for the Prius with the maintenance plan, by cashing in a CD that returned $75 a month.
My fuel costs at the time were $600 a month, which dropped to $120 a month now. As I plow that $480 back into savings, I’ll save up ~$30,000 over 5 years. We’ll drive the Prius for 10 years, so the actual savings is probably much higher.
In exchange for a $75/month return on a CD, I’m driving a comfortable new car that fits 2 dogs, can handle a road trip or small Home Depot runs, and isn’t any worse than the truck which was our only 4-door (the porsche backseat isn’t even large enough for a large dog, let alone a human over the age of 5).
Let me see… I started with $30,000…. I end up with $30,000 in 5 years… I’m saving wear and tear on an older truck and an expensive-to-maintain sportscar and all I’m sacrificing is the $75 return on a CD… I’d say the Prius will pay for itself. But there wasn’t another $25-30k car that would have been acceptable (for one thing, we needed rear seat legroom for a 6′+ passenger, and we wouldn’t buy an SUV) – so, yeah, a Prius is expensive when compared to, say, a Geo Metro, if you want to compare apples to bananas.
Even if the cost/savings netted $0, we preferred to send our dollars to a Japanese company with American plants, fair employee wages and benefits, and America-friendly politics, rather than send them to a host of oil-producing countries that disdain America. We voted with our little tiny wallets in a sea of SUV-fueling wallets. We voted against foreign oil dependence, against woman-beating Saudis and gay-murdering Iranians and just plain amusingly nutty Venezuelan leaders. We voted to save oil for ambulances and race cars and military defense and buses and solar panel production, and to sip oil for a mere commute. We voted for ingenuity over brutality, and we voted for America – she of inadequate oil reserves, a voracious oil appetite, and sprawling suburbs – to evolve and stay strong. And it cost us, if gas prices stay low, $75 a month. It would have cost us more than that to “upgrade” to a cadillac or BMW or new porsche.
Martin sez:
Don’t get me wrong – I think the Prius is one of the better cars on the road because of its high gas mileage and because it is a very usable car.
But it is still only methadone: we need to break our oil addiction completely, and we need to do so as soon as we can. I think electric cars will allow us to do so eventually, and I am pushing us all to work toward that end. Until then, a Prius is fine, maybe even the best choice – a lot better than an SUV or a minivan if you can fit your family in it. (I am looking forward to the new Insight as well.)
Comment by A different kind of elitist October 17, 2008 @ 11:48 pmThis summer, the Nikola Tesla Inventors Club will be hosting an unprecedented three-day celebration in Philadelphia, PA, commemorating Nikola Tesla’s legacy and world vision. A welcome dinner reception will be held on July 10th, followed by a free conference and outdoor celebration at Philadelphia’s historic Independence Hall on July 11th and 12th. By far the most unrecognized mind of our time, Nikola Tesla’s brilliance resulted in the implementation of alternating current, the AC motor, wireless technology, and many other influential inventions that we now take for granted in the modern age. The Nikola Tesla Inventors Club wishes to provide an opportunity for Tesla enthusiasts, inventors, scientists, and free energy advocates to gather together in solidarity, reflection, and exploration. Exhibitions and demonstrations will be on display from individuals and organizations across the nation who are dedicated to exploring and pioneering free energy systems. We hope not only to commemorate Tesla’s legacy, but also to set the stage for a new energy paradigm in the service of human potential.
Comment by Nikola April 28, 2009 @ 7:08 pm<